Sat, Feb 11, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Calgary Flames 7, Buffalo Sabres 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 56% of the time.
35%
8%
48%
BUF winsCGY wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Backlund–Coleman–Mangiapane | Kadri–Huberdeau–Pelletier | Toffoli–Lindholm–Dube | Lewis–Lucic–Ritchie | Tanev–Hanifin | Weegar–Zadorov | Stone–Gilbert | Stone–Zadorov | Tanev–Zadorov | Tanev–Gilbert | Weegar–Hanifin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olofsson–Jost–Mittelstadt | 1:160.00–0.06 | 0:580.00–0.13 | 3:050.27–0.20 | 2:010.15–0.00 | 2:010.03–0.06 | 3:220.15–0.19 | 1:530.23–0.03 | ||||
| Skinner–Tuch–Thompson | 1:180.01–0.07 | 2:430.12–0.42 | 2:330.13–0.00 | 4:250.13–0.48 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 1:140.17–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||||
| Cozens–Quinn–Peterka | 0:480.13–0.00 | 1:550.00–0.05 | 2:540.00–0.09 | 0:430.00–0.05 | 2:360.13–0.06 | 2:350.00–0.13 | 0:580.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.10 | |||
| Okposo–Girgensons–Krebs | 3:520.00–0.48 | 2:160.00–0.29 | 1:590.00–0.40 | 2:370.00–0.07 | 1:400.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Tuch–Mittelstadt–Cozens | 0:560.00–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.05 | 1:210.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Okposo–Skinner–Thompson | 0:470.27–0.00 | 0:400.27–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.17 | ||||||||
| Girgensons–Olofsson–Krebs | 0:300.20–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Jost–Quinn–Peterka | 0:430.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Skinner–Thompson–Quinn | 0:580.00–0.11 | ||||||||||
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 3:430.27–0.11 | 2:070.00–0.03 | 2:550.00–0.06 | 2:460.15–0.00 | 2:130.27–0.07 | 7:350.15–0.20 | 1:220.00–0.02 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||
| Jokiharju–Power | 2:300.15–0.11 | 4:120.12–0.86 | 1:170.03–0.07 | 2:500.13–0.06 | 5:220.29–0.82 | 0:500.00–0.23 | 3:380.13–0.01 | 1:090.00–0.10 | 0:300.00–0.05 | 0:360.00–0.00 | |
| Bryson–Lyubushkin | 3:010.00–0.49 | 2:210.00–0.00 | 3:010.23–0.29 | 1:080.00–0.04 | 5:230.00–0.27 | 2:000.00–0.14 | 2:120.23–0.00 | 0:340.08–0.00 | |||
| Bryson–Dahlin | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Bryson–Power | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.10 | |||||||
| Samuelsson–Lyubushkin | 0:530.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Dahlin–Power | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Jokiharju–Dahlin | 0:390.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Noah HanifinCGY | 33 | 24:59 | 0:45 | 1:30 | 5 | 4 |
 Chris TanevCGY | 32 | 23:24 | 0:44 | 1:36 | 2 | 5 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 29 | 23:17 | 0:48 | 1:46 | 4 | 4 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 29 | 20:57 | 0:43 | 1:26 | 4 | 4 |
 Nikita ZadorovCGY | 34 | 20:49 | 0:37 | 1:25 | 1 | 4 |
 MacKenzie WeegarCGY | 30 | 20:20 | 0:41 | 1:48 | 2 | 4 |
 Mattias SamuelssonBUF | 25 | 19:58 | 0:48 | 2:01 | 2 | 5 |
 Mikael BacklundCGY | 23 | 18:59 | 0:50 | 1:44 | 1 | 4 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 22 | 18:51 | 0:51 | 1:39 | 4 | 1 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 28 | 18:41 | 0:40 | 1:22 | 2 | 5 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 20 | 18:29 | 0:55 | 1:39 | 2 | 2 |
 Nazem KadriCGY | 22 | 17:21 | 0:47 | 1:31 | 5 | 1 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 19 | 16:42 | 0:53 | 1:46 | 3 | 2 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 21 | 16:36 | 0:47 | 1:17 | 4 | 1 |
 Jonathan HuberdeauCGY | 22 | 16:34 | 0:45 | 1:28 | 5 | 1 |
 Andrew MangiapaneCGY | 23 | 16:31 | 0:43 | 1:16 | 4 | 1 |
 Ilya LyubushkinBUF | 25 | 16:22 | 0:39 | 1:17 | 2 | 5 |
 Dillon DubeCGY | 22 | 16:06 | 0:44 | 1:17 | 3 | 1 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 26 | 16:02 | 0:37 | 1:21 | 2 | 4 |
 Elias LindholmCGY | 23 | 15:56 | 0:42 | 1:17 | 3 | 5 |
 Jakob PelletierCGY | 21 | 14:58 | 0:43 | 1:11 | 4 | 1 |
 Tyler ToffoliCGY | 19 | 14:25 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 3 | 1 |
 Blake ColemanCGY | 22 | 14:23 | 0:39 | 1:04 | 1 | 2 |
 Casey MittelstadtBUF | 19 | 14:11 | 0:45 | 1:25 | 4 | 5 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 18 | 14:02 | 0:47 | 1:42 | 2 | 0 |
 Michael StoneCGY | 24 | 13:59 | 0:35 | 1:13 | 0 | 3 |
 Kyle OkposoBUF | 23 | 13:27 | 0:35 | 1:13 | 2 | 5 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 22 | 13:07 | 0:36 | 1:08 | 3 | 2 |
 Tyson JostBUF | 19 | 13:04 | 0:41 | 1:03 | 2 | 6 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 24 | 12:55 | 0:32 | 1:03 | 2 | 5 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 17 | 12:55 | 0:46 | 1:25 | 3 | 0 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 18 | 12:45 | 0:43 | 1:07 | 3 | 5 |
 Trevor LewisCGY | 18 | 11:56 | 0:40 | 0:57 | 2 | 2 |
 Dennis GilbertCGY | 18 | 11:15 | 0:38 | 1:12 | 2 | 0 |
 Milan LucicCGY | 17 | 10:47 | 0:38 | 1:01 | 1 | 1 |
 Brett RitchieCGY | 16 | 10:01 | 0:38 | 1:13 | 1 | 1 |