Sat, Feb 11, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Calgary Flames 7, Buffalo Sabres 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 56% of the time.
35%
8%
48%
BUF winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Noah HanifinD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 24:59 | 0.31 | 68.9% | 0.0 |
 Chris TanevD · #8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 23:24 | 0.00 | 70.4% | +34.2 |
 Nikita ZadorovD · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 20:49 | 0.08 | 80.7% | 0.0 |
 MacKenzie WeegarD · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 20:20 | 0.04 | 87.9% | 0.0 |
 Mikael BacklundC · #11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 18:59 | 0.13 | 60.9% | +19.6 |
 Nazem KadriC · #91 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 17:21 | 0.46 | 86.0% | +28.1 |
 Jonathan HuberdeauLW · #10 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 16:34 | 0.10 | 81.2% | +28.1 |
 Andrew MangiapaneLW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:31 | 0.34 | 53.8% | 0.0 |
 Dillon DubeC · #29 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 3 | 16:06 | 0.31 | 61.6% | +27.2 |
 Elias LindholmC · #28 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 15:56 | 0.25 | 60.4% | +20.3 |
 Jakob PelletierLW · #49 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 14:58 | 0.44 | 89.9% | +13.5 |
 Tyler ToffoliC · #73 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 14:25 | 0.33 | 69.7% | +6.9 |
 Blake ColemanLW · #20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:23 | 0.16 | 54.9% | +19.6 |
 Michael StoneD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:59 | 0.01 | 33.9% | 0.0 |
 Trevor LewisC · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:56 | 0.09 | 43.0% | 0.0 |
 Dennis GilbertD · #48 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 11:15 | 0.02 | 24.8% | +26.7 |
 Milan LucicLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:47 | 0.11 | 60.9% | 0.0 |
 Brett RitchieRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:01 | 0.22 | 60.9% | 0.0 |
 Jacob Markstrom#25 | W | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 3.04 | +1.0 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 23:17 | 0.03 | 59.5% | +16.4 |
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:57 | 0.05 | 26.0% | 0.0 |
 Mattias SamuelssonD · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:58 | 0.00 | 58.7% | 0.0 |
 Alex TuchRW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:51 | 0.00 | 31.3% | 0.0 |
 Henri JokiharjuD · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:41 | 0.02 | 33.3% | 0.0 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 18:29 | 0.19 | 38.0% | +16.4 |
 Jeff SkinnerLW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 16:42 | 0.69 | 42.0% | 0.0 |
 Dylan CozensC · #24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:36 | 0.29 | 23.3% | +16.4 |
 Ilya LyubushkinD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:22 | 0.00 | 25.0% | 0.0 |
 Jacob BrysonD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:02 | 0.00 | 19.9% | 0.0 |
 Casey MittelstadtC · #37 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 14:11 | 0.03 | 38.3% | +12.8 |
 Jack QuinnRW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:02 | 0.11 | 19.3% | 0.0 |
 Kyle OkposoRW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 6 | 13:27 | 0.81 | 23.9% | 0.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:07 | 0.19 | 24.1% | 0.0 |
 Tyson JostC · #17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 13:04 | 0.27 | 40.2% | +12.8 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:55 | 0.15 | 25.5% | 0.0 |
 JJ PeterkaRW · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:55 | 0.09 | 27.5% | 0.0 |
 Victor OlofssonLW · #71 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 12:45 | 0.14 | 50.5% | +12.8 |
 Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen#1 | L | 40 | 33 | 7 | .825 | 3.39 | −3.6 | 59:45 |