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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 14, 2023·UBS Arena, Elmont

Ottawa Senators 3, New York Islanders 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 63% of the time.

NYI winsOTT wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:24Shot by Pelech, saved by Mandolese
  3. P1 2:21Shot by Chabot, saved by Sorokin
  4. P1 2:27Shot by Gambrell, saved by Sorokin
  5. P1 3:48Shot by Giroux, saved by Sorokin
  6. P1 4:45Shot by Dobson, saved by Mandolese
  7. P1 5:46Shot by Stützle, saved by Sorokin
  8. P1 7:39Mayfield: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Mayfield, Romanov · OTT Motte, Larsson, Batherson, Pinto, Zub

  9. P1 8:31Shot by Chabot, saved by Sorokin4v5
  10. P1 8:46Shot by Stützle, saved by Sorokin4v5
  11. P1 9:58Shot by Pulock, saved by Mandolese
  12. P1 11:38Shot by Romanov, saved by Mandolese
  13. P1 11:44Shot by Lee, saved by Mandolese
  14. P1 12:14Shot by Aho, saved by Mandolese
  15. P1 13:20Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Sorokin
  16. P1 13:27Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Sorokin
  17. P1 14:03Shot by Giroux, saved by Sorokin
  18. P1 15:07Shot by Palmieri, saved by Mandolese
  19. P1 15:42Shot by Pelech, saved by Mandolese
  20. P1 17:04Shot by Hamonic, saved by Sorokin
  21. P1 17:42Tkachuk: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Pulock, Barzal, Dobson · OTT Hamonic, Joseph, Larsson, Tkachuk, Stützle

  22. P1 17:50Shot by Dobson, saved by Mandolese5v4
  23. P1 18:05Shot by Barzal, saved by Mandolese5v4
  24. P1 0:00Period end
  25. P2 0:00Period start
  26. P2 0:18Shot by Pulock, saved by Mandolese
  27. P2 0:20Shot by Pelech, saved by Mandolese
  28. P2 0:27Shot by Barzal, saved by Mandolese
  29. P2 0:35Shot by Nelson, saved by Mandolese
  30. P2 1:36Shot by Zub, saved by Sorokin
  31. P2 2:31Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Sorokin
  32. P2 2:32Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Sorokin
  33. P2 2:49Shot by Parise, saved by Mandolese
  34. P2 3:14Gambrell: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Fasching, Koivula, Aho, Dobson, Holmstrom · OTT Watson, Chabot, Zaitsev, Gambrell, Kelly

  35. P2 3:36Shot by Barzal, saved by Mandolese5v4
  36. P2 4:06Shot by Dobson, saved by Mandolese5v4
  37. P2 5:18Shot by Palmieri, saved by Mandolese
  38. P2 5:47Goal by Pulock (Martin, Aho)+20 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Martin, Cizikas, Pelech, Fasching, Pulock · OTT Zaitsev, Gambrell, Brannstrom, Tkachuk, Stützle

  39. P2 6:44Shot by Lee, saved by Mandolese
  40. P2 8:13Shot by Pinto, saved by Sorokin
  41. P2 8:15Shot by Pinto, saved by Sorokin
  42. P2 8:50Shot by Watson, saved by Sorokin
  43. P2 10:14Shot by Aho, saved by Mandolese
  44. P2 11:11Shot by Motte, saved by Sorokin
  45. P2 11:29Romanov: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Martin, Cizikas, Mayfield, Fasching, Romanov · OTT Hamonic, Motte, Larsson, Batherson, Pinto

  46. P2 12:30Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Sorokin4v5
  47. P2 12:30Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Sorokin4v5
  48. P2 12:31Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Sorokin4v5
  49. P2 12:52Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Sorokin4v5
  50. P2 12:56Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Sorokin4v5
  51. P2 14:14Shot by Palmieri, saved by Mandolese
  52. P2 14:40DeBrincat: Boarding (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Martin, Palmieri, Barzal, Aho, Dobson · OTT Watson, Chabot, DeBrincat, Zaitsev, Stützle

  53. P2 14:53Shot by Nelson, saved by Mandolese5v4
  54. P2 15:07Shot by Barzal, saved by Mandolese5v4
  55. P2 15:09Shot by Dobson, saved by Mandolese5v4
  56. P2 15:14Shot by Brannstrom, saved by Sorokin5v4
  57. P2 15:39Shot by Dobson, saved by Mandolese5v4
  58. P2 16:23Shot by Joseph, saved by Sorokin5v4
  59. P2 17:32Goal by Stützle (Tkachuk, Hamonic)+23 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Martin, Palmieri, Cizikas, Pelech, Pulock · OTT Hamonic, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle, Zub

  60. P2 18:07Shot by Giroux, saved by Sorokin
  61. P2 18:27Shot by Barzal, saved by Mandolese
  62. P2 18:43Shot by Horvat, saved by Mandolese
  63. P2 19:40Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Sorokin
  64. P2 19:59Shot by Chabot, saved by Sorokin
  65. P2 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Period start
  67. P3 0:48Shot by Parise, saved by Mandolese
  68. P3 0:49Stützle: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Parise, Mayfield, Horvat, Barzal, Romanov · OTT Giroux, Chabot, DeBrincat, Zaitsev, Stützle

  69. P3 1:22Shot by Nelson, saved by Mandolese5v4
  70. P3 2:08Shot by Barzal, saved by Mandolese5v4
  71. P3 2:09Shot by Barzal, saved by Mandolese5v4
  72. P3 2:33Shot by Bailey, saved by Mandolese5v4
  73. P3 2:47Palmieri: Interference (2 min)5v4

    On ice: NYI Parise, Bailey, Palmieri, Koivula, Aho · OTT Hamonic, Chabot, Joseph, Gambrell

  74. P3 3:35Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Sorokin4v5
  75. P3 3:41Goal by Tkachuk (Stützle, Chabot)4v5+26 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Parise, Mayfield, Pelech, Horvat · OTT Chabot, DeBrincat, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle

  76. P3 3:58Shot by Hamonic, saved by Sorokin
  77. P3 5:40Shot by Fasching, saved by Mandolese
  78. P3 5:51Shot by Watson, saved by Sorokin
  79. P3 6:09Brannstrom: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Lee, Nelson, Aho, Dobson · OTT Hamonic, Watson, Gambrell, Brannstrom, Kelly

  80. P3 6:18Shot by Dobson, saved by Mandolese5v4
  81. P3 7:13Goal by Nelson (Dobson, Barzal)5v4+31 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Nelson, Horvat, Barzal, Dobson · OTT Hamonic, Watson, Larsson, Kelly

  82. P3 7:28Shot by Pulock, saved by Mandolese
  83. P3 8:57Shot by Hamonic, saved by Sorokin
  84. P3 10:13Shot by Dobson, saved by Mandolese
  85. P3 10:34Shot by Nelson, saved by Mandolese
  86. P3 12:43Shot by Pinto, saved by Sorokin
  87. P3 14:14Shot by Pulock, saved by Mandolese
  88. P3 14:24Shot by Parise, saved by Mandolese
  89. P3 18:05Shot by Fasching, saved by Mandolese
  90. P3 19:36Shot by Lee, saved by Mandolese
  91. P3 0:00Period end
  92. OT 0:00Period start
  93. OT 0:21Shot by Horvat, saved by Mandolese3v3
  94. OT 1:02Shot by Nelson, saved by Mandolese3v3
  95. OT 1:24Shot by Cizikas, saved by Mandolese3v3
  96. OT 1:35Shot by Palmieri, saved by Mandolese3v3
  97. OT 1:45Batherson: Too many men on the ice (2 min)3v3

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Cizikas, Pulock · OTT Giroux, DeBrincat, Batherson

  98. OT 3:25Shot by Dobson, saved by Mandolese4v3
  99. OT 5:00Period endother
  100. SO Period start
  101. SO Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Sorokinother
  102. SO Goal by Stützle, unassistedother
  103. SO Shot by Palmieri, saved by Mandoleseother
  104. SO Goal by Batherson, unassistedother
  105. SO Period endother
  106. SO Final