Tue, Feb 14, 2023·UBS Arena, Elmont
Ottawa Senators 3, New York Islanders 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 63% of the time.
55%
30%
NYI winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
NYI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Joseph–Tkachuk–Stützle | Giroux–DeBrincat–Greig | Motte–Batherson–Pinto | Watson–Gambrell–Kelly | Batherson–Tkachuk–Stützle | Giroux–DeBrincat–Pinto | Motte–Joseph–Gambrell | Chabot–Zaitsev | Brannstrom–Zub | Hamonic–Larsson | Hamonic–Chabot | Chabot–Zub | Zaitsev–Brannstrom | Hamonic–Zub | Hamonic–Brannstrom | Chabot–Brannstrom | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palmieri–Lee–Nelson | 1:040.10–0.00 | 1:510.11–0.00 | 2:460.34–0.03 | 1:110.05–0.01 | 1:470.00–0.07 | 1:560.12–0.00 | 1:480.11–0.00 | 3:340.35–0.02 | 0:430.00–0.07 | 1:070.23–0.00 | 0:580.05–0.01 | |||||
| Parise–Horvat–Barzal | 3:010.15–0.13 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:350.00–0.12 | 0:380.06–0.04 | 2:230.31–0.02 | 1:320.00–0.00 | 1:290.05–0.00 | 1:340.06–0.15 | 0:590.06–0.13 | |||||||
| Bailey–Horvat–Barzal | 1:440.04–0.14 | 2:040.02–0.25 | 1:170.07–0.00 | 2:080.10–0.18 | 1:280.00–0.00 | 0:550.04–0.21 | ||||||||||
| Martin–Cizikas–Fasching | 0:530.03–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 1:160.11–0.22 | 0:350.05–0.00 | 2:200.17–0.08 | 0:350.05–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Parise–Cizikas–Holmstrom | 1:350.03–0.12 | 1:160.00–0.08 | 0:410.03–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.12 | 0:440.00–0.08 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Martin–Fasching–Koivula | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:320.00–0.18 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Martin–Cizikas–Holmstrom | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Bailey–Martin–Cizikas | 0:480.00–0.03 | 1:000.00–0.06 | ||||||||||||||
| Aho–Dobson | 1:580.13–0.00 | 4:570.42–0.03 | 1:180.11–0.01 | 1:090.05–0.12 | 0:510.06–0.00 | 0:430.06–0.04 | 2:250.20–0.00 | 2:360.15–0.00 | 4:350.35–0.03 | 1:240.06–0.15 | 1:040.08–0.00 | |||||
| Pelech–Pulock | 7:460.36–0.25 | 1:000.00–0.08 | 1:110.00–0.08 | 4:460.33–0.02 | 1:590.00–0.12 | 2:240.08–0.17 | 1:580.09–0.00 | 0:330.04–0.13 | ||||||||
| Mayfield–Romanov | 0:480.00–0.00 | 4:040.02–0.28 | 2:020.00–0.22 | 1:060.00–0.18 | 1:120.00–0.07 | 4:230.25–0.44 | 4:190.00–0.06 | 1:350.00–0.15 | 0:440.00–0.07 | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Pulock–Aho | 1:050.19–0.00 | 0:310.14–0.00 | 0:300.05–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Mayfield–Pelech | 0:330.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
NYIOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Bo HorvatNYI | 30 | 27:43 | 0:55 | 2:18 | 9 | 4 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 30 | 25:58 | 0:52 | 1:48 | 3 | 5 |
 Noah DobsonNYI | 24 | 25:57 | 1:05 | 2:14 | 8 | 1 |
 Mathew BarzalNYI | 26 | 25:44 | 0:59 | 2:18 | 7 | 2 |
 Travis HamonicOTT | 25 | 23:59 | 0:58 | 3:15 | 1 | 6 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 31 | 23:47 | 0:46 | 1:22 | 5 | 4 |
 Erik BrannstromOTT | 26 | 22:37 | 0:52 | 2:10 | 1 | 10 |
 Brock NelsonNYI | 25 | 22:27 | 0:54 | 1:46 | 9 | 1 |
 Nikita ZaitsevOTT | 26 | 21:01 | 0:49 | 1:45 | 2 | 7 |
 Adam PelechNYI | 29 | 20:53 | 0:43 | 1:19 | 6 | 5 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 28 | 20:38 | 0:44 | 1:52 | 7 | 5 |
 Anders LeeNYI | 24 | 20:04 | 0:50 | 1:32 | 9 | 0 |
 Claude GirouxOTT | 31 | 19:34 | 0:38 | 1:19 | 4 | 11 |
 Ryan PulockNYI | 27 | 19:30 | 0:43 | 1:31 | 5 | 3 |
 Sebastian AhoNYI | 24 | 19:19 | 0:48 | 2:13 | 7 | 2 |
 Zach PariseNYI | 26 | 19:10 | 0:44 | 1:52 | 5 | 2 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 21 | 18:59 | 0:54 | 2:11 | 2 | 2 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 22 | 17:59 | 0:49 | 1:41 | 1 | 3 |
 Alex DeBrincatOTT | 23 | 17:56 | 0:47 | 1:22 | 6 | 3 |
 Kyle PalmieriNYI | 26 | 17:35 | 0:41 | 1:17 | 7 | 1 |
 Scott MayfieldNYI | 22 | 17:08 | 0:47 | 1:53 | 0 | 4 |
 Mathieu JosephOTT | 24 | 16:21 | 0:41 | 1:05 | 2 | 3 |
 Casey CizikasNYI | 24 | 15:59 | 0:40 | 1:22 | 1 | 3 |
 Alexander RomanovNYI | 21 | 14:57 | 0:43 | 1:42 | 0 | 3 |
 Josh BaileyNYI | 15 | 14:36 | 0:58 | 1:52 | 2 | 4 |
 Shane PintoOTT | 18 | 14:14 | 0:47 | 2:14 | 1 | 4 |
 Tyler MotteOTT | 15 | 12:16 | 0:49 | 2:08 | 0 | 3 |
 Jacob LarssonOTT | 15 | 11:56 | 0:48 | 2:09 | 1 | 3 |
 Ridly GreigOTT | 15 | 11:32 | 0:46 | 1:24 | 3 | 2 |
 Matt MartinNYI | 16 | 10:18 | 0:39 | 1:37 | 0 | 1 |
 Parker KellyOTT | 13 | 10:05 | 0:47 | 1:15 | 2 | 3 |
 Austin WatsonOTT | 14 | 9:43 | 0:42 | 1:32 | 1 | 4 |
 Dylan GambrellOTT | 13 | 8:36 | 0:40 | 1:06 | 1 | 3 |
 Simon HolmstromNYI | 11 | 8:00 | 0:44 | 1:00 | 2 | 1 |
 Hudson FaschingNYI | 13 | 7:31 | 0:35 | 1:01 | 1 | 1 |
 Otto KoivulaNYI | 9 | 6:36 | 0:44 | 1:02 | 2 | 2 |