Sat, Feb 18, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Montréal Canadiens 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 85% of the time.
79%
11%
TOR winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 24:00 | 0.00 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 23:55 | 0.00 | 39.3% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 20:37 | 0.10 | 37.9% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:29 | 0.05 | 40.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:46 | 0.27 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:44 | 0.05 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:43 | 0.18 | 32.5% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:19 | 0.00 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:12 | 0.03 | 37.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:13 | 0.15 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 7 | 15:04 | 0.60 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:26 | 0.08 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:20 | 0.01 | 19.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:06 | 0.20 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:57 | 0.27 | 39.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:15 | 0.00 | 33.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:08 | 0.19 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:18 | 0.03 | 31.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 41 | 36 | 5 | .878 | 4.74 | −0.3 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:58 | 0.04 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:50 | 0.00 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 | 19:43 | 0.11 | 77.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 18:11 | 0.03 | 81.9% | +5.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:03 | 0.42 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 17:58 | 0.14 | 52.3% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:43 | 0.00 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:41 | 0.24 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 17:30 | 0.16 | 58.2% | +26.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 16:48 | 0.54 | 55.2% | +5.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:12 | 0.14 | 46.0% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14:22 | 0.48 | 75.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 14:19 | 0.28 | 86.5% | +21.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 14:07 | 0.45 | 86.5% | +0.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 14:06 | 0.35 | 85.3% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:05 | 0.23 | 78.6% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 13:46 | 0.69 | 65.3% | +35.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:03 | 0.43 | 77.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 29 | 1 | .967 | 2.21 | +1.2 | 59:35 |