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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 18, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Montréal Canadiens 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 85% of the time.

TOR winsMTL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MTL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Anderson–Suzuki–Harvey-PinardArmia–Drouin–DvorakDadonov–Hoffman–BelzilePitlick–Pezzetta–YlonenDadonov–Hoffman–PitlickDadonov–Hoffman–DvorakBelzile–Pezzetta–YlonenKovacevic–HarrisMatheson–BarronSavard–SchuenemanSavard–MathesonSavard–HarrisHarris–Schueneman
O'Reilly–Tavares–Marner6:120.46–0.280:570.00–0.312:040.00–0.083:280.33–0.343:330.00–0.000:450.00–0.001:590.21–0.10
Kerfoot–Acciari–Aston-Reese1:250.30–0.001:020.00–0.002:570.38–0.032:030.03–0.181:080.35–0.140:390.35–0.003:550.39–0.214:220.33–0.140:520.03–0.00
Jarnkrok–Engvall–Kampf2:170.00–0.011:280.04–0.043:530.45–0.041:100.13–0.001:530.16–0.003:320.30–0.104:100.32–0.050:320.03–0.00
Nylander–Bunting–Matthews2:220.15–0.235:470.68–0.320:340.08–0.005:260.31–0.260:420.18–0.062:070.33–0.231:010.08–0.00
Kerfoot–Engvall–Kampf0:410.12–0.00
Brodie–Rielly3:580.14–0.303:310.23–0.033:200.38–0.141:210.03–0.000:370.08–0.000:300.00–0.142:010.00–0.063:200.01–0.034:200.38–0.143:250.40–0.001:210.08–0.08
Giordano–Liljegren3:440.12–0.003:590.45–0.121:500.05–0.002:070.16–0.180:380.35–0.006:270.81–0.074:130.09–0.181:430.18–0.061:060.11–0.00
Holl–Sandin2:050.35–0.233:000.00–0.502:260.03–0.102:120.12–0.041:210.13–0.000:360.30–0.004:100.35–0.502:460.13–0.044:430.42–0.040:570.07–0.34
Giordano–Holl0:300.30–0.000:410.30–0.030:420.00–0.00
Liljegren–Sandin
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMarner FO'Reilly FTavares FNylander FBunting FMatthews FJarnkrok FEngvall FKampf FAston-Reese FKerfoot FAcciari FRielly DBrodie DGiordano DLiljegren DHoll DSandin DWoll GSuzuki FAnderson FHarvey-Pinard FDrouin FDvorak FArmia FBelzile FDadonov FHoffman FPezzetta FPitlick FYlonen FMatheson DSavard DKovacevic DHarris DSchueneman DBarron DAllen G
TORMTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

David SavardMTL2124:001:091:5833
Mike MathesonMTL2523:550:571:3733
Morgan RiellyTOR2321:580:572:4731
Jordan HarrisMTL2320:370:541:5804
TJ BrodieTOR2419:500:501:2522
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2319:430:511:5333
Johnathan KovacevicMTL2119:290:561:3606
Mark GiordanoTOR1918:110:571:3813
Mitch MarnerTOR1918:030:572:0561
Rasmus SandinTOR2017:580:541:2903
Nick SuzukiMTL2117:460:511:2323
Christian DvorakMTL2117:440:511:3013
Justin HollTOR2217:430:481:2815
Josh AndersonMTL2117:430:511:1913
John TavaresTOR1917:410:561:4651
Auston MatthewsTOR1817:300:581:4220
William NylanderTOR1716:480:592:3720
Joel ArmiaMTL1716:190:581:4214
Ryan O'ReillyTOR2116:120:461:1431
Justin BarronMTL1716:120:571:2321
Rafael Harvey-PinardMTL2015:130:461:1922
Jonathan DrouinMTL1615:040:571:2211
Evgenii DadonovMTL1514:260:581:4223
Noel AcciariTOR1814:220:481:1503
Corey SchuenemanMTL1414:201:011:3752
Pierre EngvallTOR1714:190:511:2023
David KampfTOR1814:070:471:1715
Calle JarnkrokTOR1914:060:451:1723
Mike HoffmanMTL1614:060:531:4633
Alexander KerfootTOR1814:050:471:1501
Alex BelzileMTL2113:570:401:1225
Michael BuntingTOR1713:460:491:2110
Jesse YlonenMTL1612:150:461:1531
Zachary Aston-ReeseTOR1612:030:451:0501
Rem PitlickMTL1411:080:481:1840
Michael PezzettaMTL1410:180:441:0421