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Ice Lab

Fri, Feb 24, 2023·FLA Live Arena, Sunrise

Buffalo Sabres 3, Florida Panthers 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 70% of the time.

FLA winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

FLA forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Skinner–Tuch–ThompsonMittelstadt–Krebs–QuinnOkposo–Girgensons–JostOlofsson–Cozens–PeterkaSamuelsson–DahlinJokiharju–PowerClague–LyubushkinClague–PowerJokiharju–LyubushkinLyubushkin–Power
Staal–Cousins–Lomberg2:090.11–0.003:240.10–0.131:070.02–0.001:190.63–0.001:010.00–0.002:210.31–0.024:250.02–0.110:490.59–0.000:350.05–0.000:540.21–0.00
Verhaeghe–Tkachuk–Luostarinen3:300.00–0.170:400.38–0.001:060.05–0.013:450.21–0.081:590.00–0.13
Duclair–Reinhart–Lundell0:450.01–0.231:470.03–0.002:030.13–0.051:050.09–0.062:210.02–0.000:560.09–0.002:280.14–0.05
Reinhart–Tkachuk–Lundell2:380.12–0.310:440.10–0.004:490.39–0.31
Duclair–Verhaeghe–Luostarinen1:200.05–0.001:540.00–0.211:000.00–0.122:560.07–0.05
Dalpe–White–Denisenko0:470.00–0.002:040.03–0.141:340.11–0.001:170.00–0.140:310.01–0.00
Staal–Montour1:290.00–0.072:560.15–0.043:210.00–0.164:320.30–0.294:480.14–0.205:280.33–0.213:240.01–0.060:550.21–0.00
Ekblad–Forsling6:590.30–0.642:290.25–0.051:160.16–0.030:420.03–0.007:180.59–0.342:330.00–0.151:420.39–0.000:390.06–0.00
Gudas–Mahura0:520.04–0.002:480.10–0.073:220.04–0.032:150.42–0.022:480.08–0.163:290.09–0.023:200.01–0.100:370.53–0.000:300.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndTkachuk FVerhaeghe FLuostarinen FStaal FLomberg FCousins FLundell FReinhart FDuclair FWhite FDenisenko FDalpe FEkblad DForsling DMontour DStaal DMahura DGudas DBobrovsky GSkinner FThompson FTuch FCozens FOlofsson FPeterka FJost FGirgensons FOkposo FMittelstadt FKrebs FQuinn FSamuelsson DDahlin DJokiharju DPower DLyubushkin DClague DAnderson G
FLABUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mattias SamuelssonBUF3026:490:542:5625
Brandon MontourFLA2626:361:013:1691
Rasmus DahlinBUF3025:030:502:5634
Matthew TkachukFLA2223:531:053:1663
Sam ReinhartFLA2323:111:002:5056
Carter VerhaegheFLA2221:440:593:1671
Anton LundellFLA2421:310:541:4546
Aaron EkbladFLA2821:160:461:3975
Owen PowerBUF2820:230:441:40310
Gustav ForslingFLA2819:210:411:1954
Tage ThompsonBUF2318:270:481:4845
Marc StaalFLA2518:000:431:2273
Anthony DuclairFLA2117:260:503:1643
Henri JokiharjuBUF2517:190:421:1908
Ilya LyubushkinBUF1916:550:531:4135
Jeff SkinnerBUF2416:510:421:1856
Alex TuchBUF2316:410:441:3245
Eetu LuostarinenFLA2316:240:431:3761
Radko GudasFLA2315:240:401:2117
Eric StaalFLA2215:080:411:2027
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2214:420:401:1537
Peyton KrebsBUF1914:370:461:2035
Kyle OkposoBUF1814:110:471:1734
Victor OlofssonBUF1914:100:451:4843
Josh MahuraFLA2013:400:411:1205
Ryan LombergFLA1813:380:451:1325
Jack QuinnBUF1613:300:511:2043
Casey MittelstadtBUF1713:290:481:2935
Dylan CozensBUF2013:170:401:4334
Nick CousinsFLA1712:450:451:2032
Tyson JostBUF1612:270:471:2133
Kale ClagueBUF1411:370:501:2033
JJ PeterkaBUF1611:320:431:3331
Colin WhiteFLA136:550:321:0012
Grigori DenisenkoFLA126:380:330:5621
Zac DalpeFLA95:100:340:5220