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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 1, 2023·Rogers Place, Edmonton

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Edmonton Oilers 5

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Final

Home

Edmonton Oilers

5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 75% of the time.

EDM winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:18Shot by Hyman, saved by Samsonov
  3. P1 1:01Shot by Marner, saved by Skinner
  4. P1 1:33Shot by Matthews, saved by Skinner
  5. P1 2:36Shot by Shore, saved by Samsonov
  6. P1 3:17Shot by Broberg, saved by Samsonov
  7. P1 3:21McCabe: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Hyman, Foegele, McDavid, Bouchard, Broberg · TOR O'Reilly, Rielly, McCabe, Nylander, Aston-Reese

  8. P1 3:48Shot by Draisaitl, saved by Samsonov5v4
  9. P1 3:49Goal by McDavid (Draisaitl, Nugent-Hopkins)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard · TOR Brodie, Holl, Marner, Kampf

  10. P1 4:17Shot by Yamamoto, saved by Samsonov
  11. P1 5:00McDavid: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Hyman, Ceci, Nurse, McDavid, Kostin · TOR O'Reilly, Rielly, Lafferty, Bunting, Liljegren

  12. P1 5:43Shot by Tavares, saved by Skinner4v5
  13. P1 6:51Shot by Liljegren, saved by Skinner4v5
  14. P1 7:44Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Skinner
  15. P1 8:27Shot by McCabe, saved by Skinner
  16. P1 9:30Shot by Shore, saved by Samsonov
  17. P1 10:47Shot by Brodie, saved by Skinner
  18. P1 12:15Goal by Kampf (Marner)+18 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Nugent-Hopkins, Ceci, Nurse, Draisaitl, Yamamoto · TOR Holl, Rielly, Kerfoot, Marner, Kampf

  19. P1 12:38Shot by McLeod, saved by Samsonov
  20. P1 13:53Goal by McDavid (Kostin, Hyman)+19 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Ekholm, Hyman, McDavid, Kostin, Bouchard · TOR Giordano, O'Reilly, Tavares, Nylander, Liljegren

  21. P1 15:13Shot by Nurse, saved by Samsonov
  22. P1 15:50Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Skinner
  23. P1 16:33Shot by Lafferty, saved by Skinner
  24. P1 17:10Shot by Ekholm, saved by Samsonov
  25. P1 18:05Goal by Hyman (Ekholm, McDavid)+13 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Ekholm, Hyman, McDavid, Ryan, Bouchard · TOR Tavares, Holl, Rielly, Nylander, Acciari

  26. P1 18:21Shot by McCabe, saved by Skinner
  27. P1 18:39Shot by Nurse, saved by Samsonov
  28. P1 19:29Shot by Hyman, saved by Samsonov
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 1:23Shot by Nurse, saved by Samsonov
  32. P2 4:10Shot by Hyman, saved by Samsonov
  33. P2 4:43Shot by Hyman, saved by Samsonov
  34. P2 5:21Shot by Tavares, saved by Skinner
  35. P2 7:07Shot by Yamamoto, saved by Samsonov
  36. P2 7:12Shot by Nurse, saved by Samsonov
  37. P2 8:17Shot by Holl, saved by Skinner
  38. P2 8:46Goal by Yamamoto (Ceci, Nurse)+7 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Nugent-Hopkins, Ceci, Nurse, Draisaitl, Yamamoto · TOR Holl, Rielly, Bunting, Marner, Matthews

  39. P2 9:07Shot by Kampf, saved by Skinner
  40. P2 9:27Shot by Foegele, saved by Samsonov
  41. P2 10:03Shot by Hyman, saved by Samsonov
  42. P2 10:15Shot by Giordano, saved by Skinner
  43. P2 10:23Shot by Giordano, saved by Skinner
  44. P2 13:14Shot by Bouchard, saved by Samsonov
  45. P2 13:44Shot by McLeod, saved by Samsonov
  46. P2 16:18Shot by Nylander, saved by Skinner
  47. P2 17:12Goal by Kostin (McLeod, Foegele)+3 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Kulak, Foegele, Desharnais, Kostin, McLeod · TOR Brodie, Kerfoot, Nylander, Liljegren, Kampf

  48. P2 19:29McDavid: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Ekholm, Hyman, McDavid, Ryan, Bouchard · TOR Brodie, McCabe, Lafferty, Acciari, Aston-Reese

  49. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  50. P3 0:00Period start
  51. P3 0:27Shot by Rielly, saved by Skinner4v5
  52. P3 1:08Goal by Marner (Rielly, Matthews)4v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: EDM Ekholm, Ryan, Desharnais, McLeod · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  53. P3 1:55Lafferty: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Hyman, Nugent-Hopkins, Ceci, Draisaitl, McDavid · TOR Brodie, O'Reilly, McCabe, Kerfoot, Lafferty

  54. P3 3:41Shot by Nurse, saved by Samsonov5v4
  55. P3 4:48Shot by Marner, saved by Skinner
  56. P3 4:57Shot by Matthews, saved by Skinner
  57. P3 6:22Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Skinner
  58. P3 6:33Shot by Giordano, saved by Skinner
  59. P3 9:23Shot by Kulak, saved by Samsonov
  60. P3 10:05Shot by Shore, saved by Samsonov
  61. P3 10:56Shot by Yamamoto, saved by Samsonov
  62. P3 11:07Holl: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: EDM Nugent-Hopkins, Ceci, Nurse, Draisaitl, Yamamoto · TOR Giordano, Holl, Bunting, Marner, Matthews

  63. P3 11:07Nugent-Hopkins: Fighting (5 min)5v4

    On ice: EDM Nugent-Hopkins, Ceci, Nurse, Draisaitl, Yamamoto · TOR Giordano, Holl, Bunting, Marner, Matthews

  64. P3 12:11Nylander: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: EDM Ekholm, Hyman, McDavid, Ryan, Bouchard · TOR Giordano, Jarnkrok, McCabe, Nylander, Matthews

  65. P3 13:15Shot by McDavid, saved by Samsonov5v4
  66. P3 13:34Hyman: Hooking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: EDM Hyman, Nurse, Draisaitl, McDavid, Bouchard · TOR Rielly, McCabe, Kerfoot, Acciari

  67. P3 15:16Nylander: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: EDM Janmark, Nurse, McDavid, Desharnais · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  68. P3 15:21Shot by Ekholm, saved by Samsonov4v4
  69. P3 15:43Shot by Giordano, saved by Skinner5v4
  70. P3 16:31Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Skinner5v4
  71. P3 17:32Shot by Hyman, saved by Samsonov
  72. P3 17:52Shot by Giordano, saved by Skinner
  73. P3 19:07Shot by Brodie, saved by Skinner
  74. P3 19:13Shot by Liljegren, saved by Skinner
  75. P3 0:00Period end
  76. P3 0:00Final