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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 1, 2023·Rogers Place, Edmonton

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Edmonton Oilers 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 75% of the time.

EDM winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

EDM forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bunting–Marner–MatthewsJarnkrok–Kerfoot–KampfO'Reilly–Tavares–NylanderLafferty–Acciari–Aston-ReeseO'Reilly–Kerfoot–LaffertyTavares–Jarnkrok–NylanderAcciari–Aston-Reese–KampfTavares–Nylander–AcciariBrodie–McCabeHoll–RiellyGiordano–LiljegrenGiordano–HollBrodie–Liljegren
Nugent-Hopkins–Draisaitl–Yamamoto7:230.26–0.060:310.09–0.083:050.06–0.113:150.14–0.162:030.10–0.000:330.06–0.00
Hyman–McDavid–Ryan0:470.09–0.001:250.00–0.010:430.00–0.001:160.23–0.001:420.00–0.001:160.23–0.000:540.09–0.01
Hyman–Janmark–McDavid0:350.08–0.002:210.12–0.031:080.00–0.071:200.02–0.001:320.00–0.070:490.08–0.000:360.10–0.00
Janmark–Foegele–McLeod3:000.12–0.061:560.05–0.001:050.09–0.001:080.00–0.06
Shore–Ryan–Kostin1:220.04–0.001:050.04–0.000:540.00–0.00
Nugent-Hopkins–Draisaitl–Ryan1:030.00–0.030:540.00–0.130:500.00–0.000:400.00–0.13
Shore–Foegele–Kostin0:410.00–0.001:160.00–0.00
Hyman–McDavid–Kostin0:330.02–0.040:460.06–0.01
Foegele–Kostin–McLeod0:520.00–0.020:340.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:420.00–0.00
Hyman–Draisaitl–McDavid0:320.00–0.000:460.00–0.001:170.05–0.00
Foegele–Ryan–McLeod0:350.21–0.000:330.21–0.00
Hyman–Foegele–McDavid0:500.00–0.00
Ceci–Nurse10:290.35–0.090:420.00–0.000:460.00–0.004:090.11–0.033:260.14–0.193:270.09–0.00
Ekholm–Bouchard1:010.00–0.005:330.08–0.171:120.00–0.000:460.00–0.071:240.23–0.004:090.02–0.143:490.23–0.072:410.06–0.03
Kulak–Desharnais4:290.33–0.060:370.00–0.001:400.10–0.111:160.02–0.074:200.15–0.113:090.31–0.001:450.13–0.23
Nurse–Broberg1:110.10–0.022:060.04–0.091:290.06–0.000:470.00–0.090:500.08–0.00
Ekholm–Broberg1:110.14–0.000:340.14–0.000:320.00–0.00
Ekholm–Desharnais0:530.00–0.130:350.00–0.000:420.00–0.13
Kulak–Broberg0:320.00–0.000:330.00–0.000:390.00–0.07
Ekholm–Nurse0:550.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHyman FJanmark FMcDavid FDraisaitl FNugent-Hopkins FYamamoto FMcLeod FFoegele FKostin FShore FRyan FBouchard DEkholm DCeci DNurse DDesharnais DKulak DBroberg DSkinner GNylander FO'Reilly FTavares FBunting FMatthews FMarner FKerfoot FKampf FJarnkrok FLafferty FAston-Reese FAcciari FMcCabe DBrodie DRielly DHoll DGiordano DLiljegren DSamsonov G
EDMTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Darnell NurseEDM2924:560:522:0743
TJ BrodieTOR2923:140:481:3536
Zach HymanEDM2422:300:561:5613
Connor McDavidEDM2621:440:501:5624
Leon DraisaitlEDM2321:250:561:4964
Morgan RiellyTOR2621:110:492:0323
Jake McCabeTOR2720:590:471:1723
Mattias EkholmEDM2420:500:521:4036
Mitch MarnerTOR2320:360:541:4364
Justin HollTOR2420:080:502:0105
Auston MatthewsTOR2320:000:521:3562
Evan BouchardEDM1819:051:042:1443
Mattias JanmarkEDM2218:210:501:3135
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsEDM2317:590:471:1245
Cody CeciEDM2117:550:511:3634
Mark GiordanoTOR2417:250:441:0416
Michael BuntingTOR2016:520:511:2843
William NylanderTOR2216:470:461:2362
John TavaresTOR1815:330:521:2252
Vincent DesharnaisEDM1614:540:561:3123
Derek RyanEDM2014:230:431:1223
Warren FoegeleEDM2114:230:411:0460
Ryan O'ReillyTOR2114:190:411:1644
David KampfTOR2014:120:431:1707
Kailer YamamotoEDM1713:250:471:3212
Ryan McLeodEDM2013:190:401:2261
Alexander KerfootTOR1913:150:421:1715
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2012:520:391:1114
Brett KulakEDM1612:440:481:3020
Noel AcciariTOR1712:360:441:5800
Calle JarnkrokTOR2012:250:371:1726
Sam LaffertyTOR1911:560:381:0221
Klim KostinEDM139:250:431:1330
Zachary Aston-ReeseTOR159:120:370:5800
Devin ShoreEDM118:580:491:1520
Philip BrobergEDM118:050:441:0500