Wed, Mar 1, 2023·Rogers Place, Edmonton
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Edmonton Oilers 5
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 75% of the time.
67%
18%
EDM winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:14 | 0.10 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 21:11 | 0.09 | 30.1% | +2.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:59 | 0.05 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20:36 | 0.14 | 31.9% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:08 | 0.05 | 35.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:00 | 0.03 | 11.2% | +2.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 17:25 | 0.18 | 25.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:52 | 0.00 | 11.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 16:47 | 0.03 | 26.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:33 | 0.31 | 35.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:19 | 0.15 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:12 | 0.13 | 20.7% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:15 | 0.00 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 12:52 | 0.16 | 33.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:36 | 0.00 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:25 | 0.12 | 23.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:56 | 0.13 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:12 | 0.08 | 25.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 32 | 27 | 5 | .844 | 3.21 | −1.8 | 60:00 |
Edmonton Oilers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24:56 | 0.40 | 71.2% | +7.4 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 7 | 22:30 | 0.85 | 85.2% | +31.9 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 21:44 | 0.59 | 83.7% | +46.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:25 | 0.10 | 55.7% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 20:50 | 0.07 | 62.8% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 19:05 | 0.05 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:21 | 0.00 | 58.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:59 | 0.00 | 41.2% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:55 | 0.07 | 72.1% | +7.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:54 | 0.00 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:23 | 0.12 | 77.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:23 | 0.05 | 60.0% | +2.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13:25 | 0.16 | 57.3% | +7.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:19 | 0.28 | 73.7% | +2.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 12:44 | 0.02 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 9:25 | 0.12 | 58.9% | +21.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8:58 | 0.29 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:05 | 0.03 | 77.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 26 | 2 | .929 | 1.74 | −0.3 | 60:00 |