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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 1, 2023·Rogers Place, Edmonton

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Edmonton Oilers 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Edmonton Oilers win this game 75% of the time.

EDM winsTOR wins

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

TJ BrodieD · #78000−1223:140.1036.6%0.0
Morgan RiellyD · #44011−1121:110.0930.1%+2.0
Jake McCabeD · #220000220:590.0533.2%0.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #161120320:360.1431.9%+20.5
Justin HollD · #3000−1120:080.0535.5%0.0
Auston MatthewsC · #34011−1220:000.0311.2%+2.0
Mark GiordanoD · #55000−1517:250.1825.7%0.0
Michael BuntingLW · #58000−1016:520.0011.4%0.0
William NylanderRW · #88000−3116:470.0326.3%0.0
John TavaresC · #91000−2215:330.3135.8%0.0
Ryan O'ReillyC · #90000−1214:190.1560.1%0.0
David KampfC · #641010214:120.1320.7%+18.4
Alexander KerfootC · #150000013:150.0052.0%0.0
Timothy LiljegrenD · #37000−2212:520.1633.4%0.0
Noel AcciariC · #52000−1012:360.0037.7%0.0
Calle JarnkrokC · #190000212:250.1223.3%0.0
Sam LaffertyC · #280000111:560.1353.6%0.0
Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #12000009:120.0825.3%0.0
Ilya Samsonov#35L32275.8443.21−1.860:00

Edmonton Oilers

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Darnell NurseD · #250110524:560.4071.2%+7.4
Zach HymanLW · #18112+2722:300.8585.2%+31.9
Connor McDavidC · #97213+2321:440.5983.7%+46.3
Leon DraisaitlC · #290110121:250.1055.7%+14.4
Mattias EkholmD · #14011+2220:500.0762.8%+13.3
Evan BouchardD · #2000+2119:050.0568.7%0.0
Mattias JanmarkC · #260000018:210.0058.8%0.0
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsC · #930110017:590.0041.2%+14.4
Cody CeciD · #50110017:550.0772.1%+7.4
Vincent DesharnaisD · #73000+1014:540.0057.5%0.0
Derek RyanC · #10000+1014:230.1277.0%0.0
Warren FoegeleLW · #37011+1114:230.0560.0%+2.5
Kailer YamamotoRW · #561010413:250.1657.3%+7.4
Ryan McLeodC · #71011+1213:190.2873.7%+2.5
Brett KulakD · #27000+1112:440.0266.9%0.0
Klim KostinC · #21112+219:250.1258.9%+21.1
Devin ShoreC · #19000038:580.2961.2%0.0
Philip BrobergD · #86000018:050.0377.9%0.0
Stuart Skinner#74W28262.9291.74−0.360:00