Sat, Mar 4, 2023·Rogers Arena, Vancouver
Toronto Maple Leafs 1, Vancouver Canucks 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Vancouver Canucks win this game 57% of the time.
49%
9%
8%
34%
VAN winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:51 | 0.02 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 4 | 21:55 | 0.38 | 54.3% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 3 | 21:39 | 0.19 | 35.2% | +22.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 8 | 21:21 | 1.02 | 38.9% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:16 | 0.00 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 18:17 | 0.17 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:18 | 0.16 | 35.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:55 | 0.00 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:43 | 0.00 | 28.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15:42 | 0.32 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:02 | 0.08 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:01 | 0.23 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:02 | 0.05 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:47 | 0.06 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:09 | 0.00 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:28 | 0.10 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:10 | 0.03 | 71.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:11 | 0.23 | 60.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 20 | 4 | .833 | 2.79 | −1.2 | 58:54 |
Vancouver Canucks
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 29:16 | 0.10 | 38.8% | +35.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 23:49 | 0.00 | 47.5% | +24.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 20:58 | 0.96 | 60.7% | +38.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 20:32 | 0.66 | 64.4% | +38.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 18:47 | 0.10 | 57.4% | +24.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:10 | 0.01 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:00 | 0.19 | 66.6% | +2.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:55 | 0.00 | 66.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:29 | 0.32 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:15 | 0.21 | 57.6% | +21.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:05 | 0.00 | 74.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:49 | 0.29 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:05 | 0.13 | 42.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:53 | 0.23 | 46.7% | +2.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:34 | 0.00 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:48 | 0.03 | 70.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:34 | 0.02 | 4.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:14 | 0.20 | 38.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 37 | 36 | 1 | .973 | 3.03 | +2.0 | 60:00 |