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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 4, 2023·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Colorado Avalanche 3, Dallas Stars 7

Away

Colorado Avalanche

3

Final

Home

Dallas Stars

7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 58% of the time.

DAL winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:56Shot by Compher, saved by Oettinger
  3. P1 2:27Shot by Dellandrea, saved by Georgiev
  4. P1 3:19Shot by Hakanpää, saved by Georgiev
  5. P1 3:33Goal by Robertson (Hintz, Pavelski)+18 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Pavelski, Hakanpää, Lindell, Hintz, Robertson · COL Nieto, Hunt, Rodrigues, Byram, Meyers

  6. P1 4:17Rantanen: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Hakanpää, Lindell, Marchment, Dellandrea, Johnston · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar

  7. P1 4:17Hakanpää: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: DAL Hakanpää, Lindell, Marchment, Dellandrea, Johnston · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar

  8. P1 4:17Rantanen: Unsportsmanlike conduct (2 min)4v4

    On ice: DAL Hakanpää, Lindell, Marchment, Dellandrea, Johnston · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar

  9. P1 6:06Shot by Byram, saved by Oettinger5v4
  10. P1 6:13Shot by Byram, saved by Oettinger5v4
  11. P1 6:41Shot by Faksa, saved by Georgiev
  12. P1 7:42Shot by Robertson, saved by Georgiev
  13. P1 8:54Shot by Byram, saved by Oettinger
  14. P1 9:05Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Georgiev
  15. P1 10:09Goal by Heiskanen (Benn)+13 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Benn, Dadonov, Miller, Heiskanen, Johnston · COL MacKinnon, Rodrigues, Girard, Byram, Newhook

  16. P1 10:38Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Georgiev
  17. P1 10:42Shot by Dadonov, saved by Georgiev
  18. P1 11:42Eller: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Suter, Faksa, Olofsson, Dellandrea, Lundkvist · COL Johnson, Cogliano, Eller, Hunt, O'Connor

  19. P1 11:49Shot by Toews, saved by Oettinger5v4
  20. P1 12:15Shot by Robertson, saved by Georgiev5v4
  21. P1 13:03Shot by Nieto, saved by Oettinger5v4
  22. P1 13:25Shot by Domi, saved by Georgiev5v4
  23. P1 14:16Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Oettinger
  24. P1 16:03Goal by Girard (Newhook)+13 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Seguin, Hakanpää, Lindell, Domi, Marchment · COL Compher, Toews, Rantanen, Girard, Newhook

  25. P1 17:05Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Oettinger
  26. P1 17:42Goal by Pavelski (Robertson, Hintz)+13 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Pavelski, Hakanpää, Lindell, Hintz, Robertson · COL Cogliano, Eller, Toews, Girard, O'Connor

  27. P1 18:55Shot by Rantanen, saved by Oettinger
  28. P1 19:25Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Oettinger
  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 2:09Shot by Toews, saved by Oettinger
  32. P2 3:58Shot by Malgin, saved by Oettinger
  33. P2 5:25Goal by Marchment (Suter, Seguin)+8 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Suter, Seguin, Domi, Marchment, Lundkvist · COL Compher, Rantanen, Girard, Byram, Newhook

  34. P2 6:26Shot by Pavelski, saved by Georgiev
  35. P2 7:15Shot by Domi, saved by Georgiev
  36. P2 7:30Shot by Suter, saved by Georgiev
  37. P2 7:38Shot by Seguin, saved by Georgiev
  38. P2 8:56Shot by Robertson, saved by Georgiev
  39. P2 11:39Goal by Faksa (Lindell)+3 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Hakanpää, Faksa, Lindell, Olofsson, Dellandrea · COL Johnson, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Malgin

  40. P2 12:47Shot by Eller, saved by Oettinger
  41. P2 13:41Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Kinkaid
  42. P2 14:03Shot by Lehkonen, saved by Oettinger
  43. P2 15:38Shot by Malgin, saved by Oettinger
  44. P2 15:39Shot by Makar, saved by Oettinger
  45. P2 15:45Shot by Newhook, saved by Oettinger
  46. P2 16:40Shot by O'Connor, saved by Oettinger
  47. P2 16:58Shot by Girard, saved by Oettinger
  48. P2 17:27Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Oettinger
  49. P2 18:23Shot by Heiskanen, saved by Kinkaid
  50. P2 19:03Shot by Seguin, saved by Kinkaid
  51. P2 19:57Rantanen: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: DAL Hakanpää, Faksa, Lindell, Olofsson, Robertson, Dellandrea · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Makar

  52. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  53. P3 0:00Period start
  54. P3 0:30Shot by Pavelski, saved by Kinkaid5v4
  55. P3 2:17Shot by Hunt, saved by Oettinger
  56. P3 4:15Goal by Johnston, unassisted+1 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Dadonov, Hakanpää, Marchment, Heiskanen, Johnston · COL Johnson, Nieto, Hunt, Malgin, Meyers

  57. P3 4:27Shot by Marchment, saved by Kinkaid
  58. P3 4:48Shot by O'Connor, saved by Oettinger
  59. P3 5:26Shot by Miller, saved by Kinkaid
  60. P3 6:46Shot by Dadonov, saved by Kinkaid
  61. P3 6:55Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Oettinger
  62. P3 7:39Shot by Cogliano, saved by Oettinger
  63. P3 11:04Shot by Hunt, saved by Oettinger
  64. P3 11:16Shot by Lundkvist, saved by Kinkaid
  65. P3 11:49Goal by Cogliano (Girard, O'Connor)0 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Suter, Seguin, Faksa, Marchment, Lundkvist · COL Cogliano, Eller, Girard, O'Connor, Byram

  66. P3 14:16Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Oettinger
  67. P3 14:21Shot by O'Connor, saved by Oettinger
  68. P3 14:31Benn: Charging (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Suter, Benn, Dadonov, Lundkvist, Johnston · COL Johnson, Cogliano, Eller, Hunt, O'Connor

  69. P3 14:31O'Connor: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: DAL Suter, Benn, Dadonov, Lundkvist, Johnston · COL Johnson, Cogliano, Eller, Hunt, O'Connor

  70. P3 14:31Benn: Roughing (2 min)4v4

    On ice: DAL Suter, Benn, Dadonov, Lundkvist, Johnston · COL Johnson, Cogliano, Eller, Hunt, O'Connor

  71. P3 15:18Shot by Rantanen, saved by Oettinger4v5
  72. P3 16:19Goal by Rodrigues (Newhook, Girard)4v50 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Suter, Seguin, Miller, Hintz · COL Toews, Rodrigues, Girard, Byram, Newhook

  73. P3 16:37Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Oettinger5v6
  74. P3 16:53Goal by Robertson, unassisted5v60 pts WP

    On ice: DAL Pavelski, Hakanpää, Lindell, Hintz, Robertson · COL Compher, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar, Newhook

  75. P3 19:01Domi: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: DAL Seguin, Lindell, Domi, Marchment, Lundkvist · COL Nieto, Malgin, Girard, Byram, Meyers

  76. P3 19:10Shot by Toews, saved by Oettinger4v5
  77. P3 19:27Shot by Newhook, saved by Oettinger4v5
  78. P3 19:53Shot by Toews, saved by Oettinger4v5
  79. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  80. P3 0:00Final