Sat, Mar 4, 2023·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Colorado Avalanche 3, Dallas Stars 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 58% of the time.
49%
10%
9%
33%
DAL winsCOL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
DAL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against COL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Cogliano–Eller–O'Connor | Lehkonen–MacKinnon–Malgin | Compher–Rantanen–Newhook | Lehkonen–MacKinnon–Rantanen | Nieto–Malgin–Meyers | Compher–Rodrigues–Newhook | MacKinnon–Rantanen–Malgin | Nieto–Rodrigues–Meyers | Compher–MacKinnon–Rantanen | Lehkonen–MacKinnon–Rodrigues | Eller–Nieto–Rodrigues | Girard–Byram | Toews–Makar | Johnson–Hunt | Hunt–Byram | Johnson–Toews | Makar–Byram | Girard–Makar | Toews–Girard | Johnson–Makar | Johnson–Girard | Hunt–Toews | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Faksa–Olofsson–Dellandrea | 1:370.00–0.00 | 1:010.08–0.00 | 1:150.01–0.03 | 1:280.06–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.16 | 3:280.00–0.07 | 1:070.01–0.03 | 2:070.00–0.00 | 0:450.06–0.00 | 1:120.08–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.03 | 0:380.00–0.16 | ||||||||||
| Seguin–Domi–Marchment | 3:110.03–0.14 | 0:380.00–0.09 | 1:550.15–0.04 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:450.20–0.01 | 2:380.07–0.21 | 0:460.20–0.01 | 2:210.16–0.02 | 0:400.00–0.10 | 0:500.00–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.04 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Benn–Dadonov–Johnston | 2:050.17–0.06 | 2:360.21–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.09 | 0:430.07–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.20 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:310.01–0.00 | 3:300.27–0.00 | 2:550.19–0.06 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Pavelski–Hintz–Robertson | 0:520.15–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.08 | 1:300.02–0.03 | 0:420.00–0.03 | 1:300.01–0.00 | 0:300.09–0.00 | 2:170.02–0.10 | 2:080.01–0.03 | 0:500.09–0.00 | 0:590.06–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.06 | 0:360.04–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Faksa–Marchment–Dellandrea | 0:450.00–0.06 | 0:330.00–0.06 | 0:420.08–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Hakanpää–Lindell | 0:360.12–0.03 | 1:200.08–0.00 | 4:160.11–0.14 | 3:300.07–0.26 | 1:280.00–0.06 | 1:440.00–0.11 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 2:410.02–0.11 | 3:160.01–0.03 | 3:320.17–0.18 | 1:210.09–0.06 | 0:550.08–0.00 | 2:090.00–0.11 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Miller–Heiskanen | 1:050.12–0.00 | 3:230.21–0.17 | 0:310.01–0.00 | 2:070.06–0.03 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.20 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 3:080.01–0.17 | 4:070.22–0.06 | 0:500.12–0.00 | 1:290.06–0.10 | 1:120.08–0.01 | ||||||||||
| Suter–Lundkvist | 5:370.12–0.28 | 0:360.06–0.00 | 1:000.00–0.00 | 0:470.20–0.01 | 3:060.07–0.23 | 2:080.25–0.01 | 2:070.02–0.05 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.16 | |||||||||||
| Suter–Heiskanen | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.07 | 0:390.05–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Heiskanen–Lundkvist | 1:190.00–0.02 | 1:230.00–0.02 | 0:420.00–0.11 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Suter–Miller | 0:590.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
DALCOLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Cale MakarCOL | 25 | 22:27 | 0:54 | 1:29 | 5 | 0 |
 Miro HeiskanenDAL | 24 | 22:13 | 0:56 | 1:51 | 3 | 1 |
 Devon ToewsCOL | 26 | 21:38 | 0:50 | 2:02 | 3 | 1 |
 Bowen ByramCOL | 25 | 21:07 | 0:51 | 1:25 | 3 | 1 |
 Esa LindellDAL | 24 | 20:45 | 0:52 | 1:59 | 1 | 3 |
 Jani HakanpääDAL | 24 | 20:10 | 0:50 | 1:43 | 0 | 4 |
 Samuel GirardCOL | 23 | 20:05 | 0:52 | 1:23 | 3 | 0 |
 Ryan SuterDAL | 24 | 19:22 | 0:48 | 1:47 | 2 | 3 |
 J.T. CompherCOL | 23 | 18:48 | 0:49 | 1:24 | 2 | 3 |
 Nathan MacKinnonCOL | 24 | 18:46 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 4 | 1 |
 Jack JohnsonCOL | 24 | 18:33 | 0:46 | 1:42 | 1 | 1 |
 Wyatt JohnstonDAL | 23 | 17:53 | 0:47 | 1:23 | 2 | 3 |
 Artturi LehkonenCOL | 24 | 17:46 | 0:44 | 1:24 | 4 | 0 |
 Mikko RantanenCOL | 21 | 17:26 | 0:50 | 1:30 | 2 | 1 |
 Colin MillerDAL | 19 | 16:44 | 0:53 | 1:16 | 2 | 1 |
 Evgenii DadonovDAL | 21 | 16:20 | 0:47 | 1:24 | 2 | 3 |
 Max DomiDAL | 22 | 16:12 | 0:44 | 1:19 | 1 | 4 |
 Mason MarchmentDAL | 23 | 16:08 | 0:42 | 1:19 | 2 | 5 |
 Ty DellandreaDAL | 25 | 15:57 | 0:38 | 1:15 | 1 | 3 |
 Tyler SeguinDAL | 23 | 15:57 | 0:42 | 1:07 | 1 | 6 |
 Brad HuntCOL | 18 | 15:43 | 0:52 | 1:44 | 2 | 1 |
 Radek FaksaDAL | 24 | 15:25 | 0:39 | 1:24 | 1 | 3 |
 Nils LundkvistDAL | 23 | 15:09 | 0:40 | 1:03 | 2 | 3 |
 Andrew CoglianoCOL | 21 | 14:52 | 0:42 | 1:36 | 1 | 3 |
 Roope HintzDAL | 24 | 14:44 | 0:37 | 1:05 | 4 | 1 |
 Lars EllerCOL | 21 | 14:43 | 0:42 | 1:14 | 2 | 2 |
 Jason RobertsonDAL | 24 | 14:41 | 0:37 | 1:03 | 3 | 2 |
 Denis MalginCOL | 19 | 14:37 | 0:46 | 1:18 | 2 | 0 |
 Joe PavelskiDAL | 23 | 14:22 | 0:37 | 1:04 | 4 | 1 |
 Jamie BennDAL | 23 | 13:45 | 0:36 | 1:07 | 4 | 4 |
 Logan O'ConnorCOL | 21 | 13:14 | 0:38 | 1:16 | 2 | 1 |
 Alex NewhookCOL | 18 | 12:26 | 0:41 | 1:07 | 3 | 1 |
 Evan RodriguesCOL | 16 | 12:24 | 0:47 | 1:05 | 3 | 2 |
 Fredrik OlofssonDAL | 17 | 11:30 | 0:41 | 1:16 | 0 | 1 |
 Matt NietoCOL | 16 | 10:55 | 0:41 | 1:23 | 1 | 2 |
 Ben MeyersCOL | 11 | 8:54 | 0:49 | 1:33 | 1 | 0 |