Sat, Mar 4, 2023·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Colorado Avalanche 3, Dallas Stars 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 58% of the time.
49%
10%
9%
33%
DAL winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Cale MakarD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:27 | 0.13 | 47.5% | 0.0 |
 Devon ToewsD · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:38 | 0.13 | 15.3% | 0.0 |
 Bowen ByramD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 21:07 | 0.32 | 78.5% | 0.0 |
 Samuel GirardD · #49 | 1 | 2 | 3 | −1 | 2 | 20:05 | 0.06 | 71.1% | +13.4 |
 J.T. CompherLW · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:48 | 0.02 | 51.6% | 0.0 |
 Nathan MacKinnonC · #29 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 6 | 18:46 | 0.25 | 67.5% | 0.0 |
 Jack JohnsonD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:33 | 0.00 | 52.2% | 0.0 |
 Artturi LehkonenLW · #62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:46 | 0.07 | 58.3% | 0.0 |
 Mikko RantanenRW · #96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:26 | 0.22 | 71.0% | 0.0 |
 Brad HuntD · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:43 | 0.20 | 32.5% | 0.0 |
 Andrew CoglianoC · #11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:52 | 0.20 | 50.7% | +0.1 |
 Lars EllerC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:43 | 0.06 | 38.8% | 0.0 |
 Denis MalginC · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:37 | 0.13 | 43.1% | 0.0 |
 Logan O'ConnorRW · #25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:14 | 0.13 | 51.7% | +0.1 |
 Alex NewhookC · #18 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 2 | 12:26 | 0.22 | 47.5% | +13.2 |
 Evan RodriguesC · #9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 12:24 | 0.26 | 37.5% | +0.2 |
 Matt NietoLW · #83 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:55 | 0.10 | 25.8% | 0.0 |
 Ben MeyersC · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 8:54 | 0.00 | 43.2% | 0.0 |
 Keith Kinkaid#30 | – | 9 | 8 | 1 | .889 | 1.10 | +0.1 | 27:57 |
 Alexandar Georgiev#40 | L | 19 | 14 | 5 | .737 | 1.23 | −3.8 | 31:39 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Miro HeiskanenD · #4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 22:13 | 0.08 | 55.9% | +12.5 |
 Esa LindellD · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 20:45 | 0.00 | 44.3% | +3.0 |
 Jani HakanpääD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 1 | 20:10 | 0.05 | 54.7% | 0.0 |
 Ryan SuterD · #20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:22 | 0.08 | 45.3% | +7.6 |
 Wyatt JohnstonC · #53 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:53 | 0.26 | 58.3% | +0.5 |
 Colin MillerD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:44 | 0.03 | 50.2% | 0.0 |
 Evgenii DadonovLW · #63 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 16:20 | 0.34 | 62.1% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:12 | 0.23 | 39.2% | 0.0 |
 Mason MarchmentLW · #27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:08 | 0.07 | 45.9% | +7.6 |
 Ty DellandreaC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:57 | 0.03 | 31.2% | 0.0 |
 Tyler SeguinC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:57 | 0.12 | 46.4% | +7.6 |
 Radek FaksaC · #12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:25 | 0.15 | 33.1% | +3.0 |
 Nils LundkvistD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:09 | 0.02 | 43.2% | 0.0 |
 Roope HintzC · #24 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 0 | 14:44 | 0.08 | 68.0% | +31.0 |
 Jason RobertsonLW · #21 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 14:41 | 0.79 | 68.3% | +31.2 |
 Joe PavelskiC · #16 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 14:22 | 0.56 | 50.1% | +31.0 |
 Jamie BennLW · #14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:45 | 0.00 | 55.2% | +12.5 |
 Fredrik OlofssonLW · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:30 | 0.00 | 31.2% | 0.0 |
 Jake Oettinger#29 | W | 35 | 32 | 3 | .914 | 2.49 | −0.5 | 59:56 |