Thu, Mar 9, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Dallas Stars 10, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 81% of the time.
12%
76%
BUF winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 0 | 23:59 | 0.03 | 59.8% | +9.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 4 | 20:04 | 0.18 | 81.6% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 0 | 20:02 | 0.00 | 68.2% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 19:05 | 0.16 | 66.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 18:43 | 0.82 | 68.3% | +20.8 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 18:30 | 0.29 | 53.4% | +8.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 17:57 | 0.03 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:47 | 0.54 | 48.1% | +1.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:10 | 0.49 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 | 17:05 | 0.30 | 84.3% | +14.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 16:12 | 0.31 | 43.4% | +12.4 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 2 | 16:06 | 0.25 | 86.4% | +26.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 15:00 | 0.10 | 86.7% | +18.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 15:00 | 0.00 | 67.6% | +8.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14:13 | 0.00 | 69.4% | +8.1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 6 | 13:35 | 0.71 | 77.2% | +1.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 12:11 | 0.28 | 80.2% | +9.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:21 | 0.04 | 74.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 2.27 | −1.7 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:07 | 0.07 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 21:46 | 0.06 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 20:27 | 0.04 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 19:19 | 0.00 | 34.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:15 | 0.03 | 37.4% | +8.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 17:04 | 0.05 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16:55 | 0.22 | 38.0% | +8.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:54 | 0.92 | 74.9% | +8.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:21 | 0.01 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 15:06 | 0.12 | 20.8% | +9.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 14:51 | 0.22 | 22.0% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:40 | 0.06 | 74.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:38 | 0.07 | 23.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 14:28 | 0.16 | 20.4% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:26 | 0.13 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 13:52 | 0.06 | 8.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 13:30 | 0.05 | 8.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 13:00 | 0.00 | 8.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 49 | 39 | 10 | .796 | 4.53 | −5.5 | 60:00 |