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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 12, 2023·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Boston Bruins 3, Detroit Red Wings 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 50% of the time.

DET winsBOS wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BOS's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Hathaway–Nosek–GreerBergeron–Marchand–BertuzziKrejci–Pastrnak–ZachaBergeron–Marchand–DeBruskCoyle–DeBrusk–FredericCoyle–Zacha–FredericKrejci–Bertuzzi–PastrnakCoyle–Bertuzzi–FredericCoyle–Pastrnak–FredericGrzelcyk–McAvoyOrlov–CarloForbort–CliftonOrlov–CliftonForbort–CarloOrlov–McAvoyGrzelcyk–Clifton
Veleno–Zadina–Berggren2:040.00–0.000:570.05–0.191:370.00–0.000:310.11–0.000:470.00–0.001:290.00–0.151:040.11–0.124:290.06–0.04
Larkin–Suter–Raymond2:470.05–0.250:410.00–0.131:470.01–0.040:340.00–0.013:170.06–0.282:070.00–0.071:110.00–0.17
Perron–Kubalik–Copp0:420.00–0.000:530.01–0.001:240.00–0.001:450.15–0.191:540.00–0.041:590.15–0.000:480.06–0.000:360.00–0.190:310.01–0.00
Chiasson–Erne–Czarnik5:250.29–0.280:360.06–0.002:260.03–0.001:570.26–0.281:020.00–0.01
Kubalik–Copp–Suter1:330.00–0.120:300.09–0.001:420.01–0.120:300.09–0.00
Perron–Larkin–Raymond0:390.00–0.040:470.00–0.001:030.00–0.13
Erne–Czarnik–Raymond0:540.00–0.001:010.00–0.00
Kubalik–Copp–Erne1:150.00–0.021:150.00–0.02
Erne–Suter–Veleno0:450.12–0.09
Chiarot–Maatta1:560.03–0.001:350.00–0.071:580.01–0.171:500.00–0.190:550.06–0.002:310.37–0.110:390.00–0.015:290.06–0.133:420.03–0.071:300.06–0.001:210.00–0.290:510.13–0.000:370.18–0.09
Walman–Seider3:390.00–0.301:420.15–0.083:350.01–0.080:460.00–0.005:180.16–0.453:190.00–0.001:360.08–0.001:040.00–0.081:250.00–0.13
Hagg–Oesterle3:520.00–0.281:170.00–0.001:320.40–0.091:400.12–0.000:480.11–0.000:370.00–0.001:190.03–0.043:140.26–0.125:230.34–0.320:570.00–0.01
Maatta–Oesterle0:450.00–0.240:350.00–0.000:400.11–0.00
Maatta–Hagg0:350.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndCopp FPerron FKubalik FSuter FRaymond FLarkin FZadina FBerggren FVeleno FCzarnik FErne FChiasson FMaatta DChiarot DWalman DSeider DOesterle DHagg DHusso GHathaway FBertuzzi FNosek FFrederic FZacha FCoyle FBergeron FMarchand FDeBrusk FKrejci FPastrnak FGreer FForbort DClifton DGrzelcyk DMcAvoy DCarlo DOrlov DSwayman G
DETBOSFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Olli MaattaDET2824:140:521:3835
Moritz SeiderDET2922:470:472:0329
Charlie McAvoyBOS2722:440:511:3281
Dmitry OrlovBOS2521:170:512:0434
Jake WalmanDET2721:110:471:4307
Matt GrzelcykBOS2620:460:481:5551
Ben ChiarotDET2720:220:451:1635
Andrew CoppDET2320:090:531:3525
Brad MarchandBOS2319:380:511:48101
Pius SuterDET2419:010:481:1507
David PastrnakBOS2218:350:511:3862
Lucas RaymondDET1818:341:021:3422
Dylan LarkinDET2118:160:521:1915
Patrice BergeronBOS2317:190:451:58102
David KrejciBOS2217:100:471:2360
Brandon CarloBOS2217:030:471:3915
Tyler BertuzziBOS2317:020:441:1751
Connor CliftonBOS2117:000:491:5422
Derek ForbortBOS2216:540:461:4203
Jake DeBruskBOS2216:490:461:5480
Charlie CoyleBOS2116:120:461:4313
Pavel ZachaBOS2115:150:441:2544
Adam ErneDET1915:120:481:2322
Robert HaggDET2115:060:431:2511
David PerronDET1714:220:511:2532
Joseph VelenoDET1613:430:511:3611
Jordan OesterleDET1813:400:462:0311
Trent FredericBOS1812:460:431:2022
Filip ZadinaDET1412:320:541:4300
Dominik KubalikDET1812:270:421:1513
Alex ChiassonDET1511:150:451:0740
Tomas NosekBOS1310:310:491:2403
Jonatan BerggrenDET1310:040:461:2400
Garnet HathawayBOS139:390:451:2302
Austin CzarnikDET129:050:451:2510
A.J. GreerBOS129:010:451:1602