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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 12, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Winnipeg Jets 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2

Away

Winnipeg Jets

3

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 60% of the time.

TBL winsWPG wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:19Goal by Killorn (Cirelli, Hagel)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Cole, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · WPG Wheeler, Scheifele, Schmidt, Connor, Stanley

  3. P1 2:31Shot by Maroon, saved by Hellebuyck
  4. P1 3:41Shot by Stanley, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 4:15Shot by Killorn, saved by Hellebuyck
  6. P1 5:08Shot by Wheeler, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 6:07Shot by Perry, saved by Hellebuyck
  8. P1 10:15Goal by Schmidt (Stanley)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Perry, Cole, Stamkos, Cernak, Eyssimont · WPG Schmidt, Maenalanen, Stenlund, Stanley, Gustafsson

  9. P1 11:03Shot by Colton, saved by Hellebuyck
  10. P1 14:05Shot by Ehlers, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 14:59Shot by Colton, saved by Hellebuyck
  12. P1 15:26Shot by Hedman, saved by Hellebuyck
  13. P1 0:00Period end5v6
  14. P2 0:00Period start
  15. P2 0:33Shot by DeMelo, saved by Vasilevskiy
  16. P2 0:34Colton: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Paul, Raddysh, Sergachev, Colton, Jeannot · WPG DeMelo, Lowry, Appleton, Samberg, Barron

  17. P2 0:51Shot by Connor, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  18. P2 1:01Goal by Niederreiter (Scheifele, Wheeler)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Cole, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · WPG Wheeler, Niederreiter, Scheifele, Connor, Pionk

  19. P2 1:33Shot by Appleton, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P2 1:54Shot by Raddysh, saved by Hellebuyck
  21. P2 1:59Shot by Stamkos, saved by Hellebuyck
  22. P2 3:51Shot by Hagel, saved by Hellebuyck
  23. P2 4:12Shot by Cirelli, saved by Hellebuyck
  24. P2 4:45Shot by Hedman, saved by Hellebuyck
  25. P2 8:39Shot by Perbix, saved by Hellebuyck
  26. P2 9:01Shot by Dillon, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P2 9:04Goal by Barron (Dillon, Appleton)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Paul, Sergachev, Colton, Jeannot, Perbix · WPG Dillon, Stenlund, Appleton, Pionk, Barron

  28. P2 9:04Perry: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Paul, Sergachev, Colton, Jeannot, Perbix · WPG Dillon, Stenlund, Appleton, Pionk, Barron

  29. P2 9:53Shot by Scheifele, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  30. P2 10:01Goal by Cirelli (Hagel)4v5+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Cole, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · WPG Wheeler, Niederreiter, Scheifele, Connor, Pionk

  31. P2 11:09Connor: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Perry, Killorn, Hedman, Kucherov, Sergachev, Hagel · WPG Schmidt, Ehlers, Connor, Pionk, Barron

  32. P2 11:36Shot by Stamkos, saved by Hellebuyck5v4
  33. P2 12:47Shot by Hedman, saved by Hellebuyck5v4
  34. P2 14:20Scheifele: Illegal check to head (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Cole, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · WPG Niederreiter, Scheifele, Schmidt, Connor, Stanley

  35. P2 15:18Stenlund: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Killorn, Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev · WPG Maenalanen, Stenlund, Samberg, Pionk

  36. P2 15:31Shot by Perry, saved by Hellebuyck5v3
  37. P2 16:03Shot by Kucherov, saved by Hellebuyck5v3
  38. P2 16:04Shot by Killorn, saved by Hellebuyck5v3
  39. P2 16:23Shot by Kucherov, saved by Hellebuyck5v4
  40. P2 17:06Shot by Colton, saved by Hellebuyck5v4
  41. P2 19:35Shot by DeMelo, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 0:30Shot by Paul, saved by Hellebuyck
  45. P3 0:34Shot by Sergachev, saved by Hellebuyck
  46. P3 0:41Shot by Sergachev, saved by Hellebuyck
  47. P3 1:13Shot by Kucherov, saved by Hellebuyck
  48. P3 3:02Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Hellebuyck
  49. P3 3:22Shot by Killorn, saved by Hellebuyck
  50. P3 3:39Shot by Raddysh, saved by Hellebuyck
  51. P3 3:46Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P3 4:04Shot by Maenalanen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  53. P3 4:45Shot by Connor, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P3 5:20Shot by Ehlers, saved by Vasilevskiy
  55. P3 6:39Shot by Barron, saved by Vasilevskiy
  56. P3 7:44Shot by Lowry, saved by Vasilevskiy
  57. P3 8:39Shot by Wheeler, saved by Vasilevskiy
  58. P3 10:20Shot by Paul, saved by Hellebuyck
  59. P3 12:20Shot by DeMelo, saved by Vasilevskiy
  60. P3 12:59Shot by Sergachev, saved by Hellebuyck
  61. P3 13:28Shot by Hagel, saved by Hellebuyck
  62. P3 14:36Shot by Kucherov, saved by Hellebuyck
  63. P3 16:01Shot by Paul, saved by Hellebuyck
  64. P3 16:08Shot by Appleton, saved by Vasilevskiy
  65. P3 16:23Shot by Killorn, saved by Hellebuyck
  66. P3 16:57Shot by Stenlund, saved by Vasilevskiy
  67. P3 18:19Shot by Killorn, saved by Hellebuyck6v5
  68. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  69. P3 0:00Final