Sun, Mar 12, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Winnipeg Jets 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 60% of the time.
51%
9%
9%
31%
TBL winsWPG wins
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Neal PionkD · #4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23:45 | 0.03 | 43.6% | 0.0 |
 Brenden DillonD · #5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:23 | 0.23 | 50.7% | +17.2 |
 Kyle ConnorLW · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:14 | 0.26 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
 Nate SchmidtD · #88 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:13 | 0.02 | 30.5% | +18.3 |
 Dylan DeMeloD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:43 | 0.03 | 66.1% | 0.0 |
 Mark ScheifeleC · #55 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 19:24 | 0.83 | 48.8% | +16.7 |
 Adam LowryC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:07 | 0.03 | 47.4% | 0.0 |
 Nino NiederreiterRW · #62 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:14 | 0.20 | 72.7% | +16.7 |
 Dylan SambergD · #54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:14 | 0.00 | 65.8% | 0.0 |
 Mason AppletonC · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:00 | 0.18 | 52.0% | +17.2 |
 Logan StanleyD · #64 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:42 | 0.03 | 15.8% | +18.3 |
 Morgan BarronC · #36 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:11 | 0.28 | 47.4% | +17.2 |
 Nikolaj EhlersLW · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:05 | 0.12 | 50.4% | 0.0 |
 Blake WheelerRW · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 13:11 | 0.13 | 57.1% | +16.7 |
 Vladislav NamestnikovC · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:06 | 0.00 | 48.4% | 0.0 |
 Kevin StenlundC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 11:36 | 0.14 | 46.0% | 0.0 |
 Saku MaenalanenRW · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:26 | 0.02 | 13.7% | 0.0 |
 David GustafssonC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 8:29 | 0.08 | 38.0% | 0.0 |
 Connor Hellebuyck#37 | W | 35 | 33 | 2 | .943 | 3.25 | +1.3 | 59:57 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Mikhail SergachevD · #98 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 25:15 | 0.08 | 52.5% | 0.0 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:45 | 0.20 | 47.2% | 0.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 21:12 | 0.34 | 51.5% | +32.7 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 20:02 | 0.17 | 48.6% | 0.0 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:26 | 0.27 | 41.6% | 0.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:00 | 0.02 | 44.3% | 0.0 |
 Alex KillornLW · #17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 18:56 | 0.63 | 66.6% | +17.6 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:52 | 0.21 | 30.2% | 0.0 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:49 | 0.24 | 51.4% | 0.0 |
 Ian ColeD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:28 | 0.05 | 75.7% | 0.0 |
 Nick PerbixD · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:40 | 0.04 | 40.9% | 0.0 |
 Tanner JeannotLW · #84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:50 | 0.03 | 43.3% | 0.0 |
 Ross ColtonC · #79 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:08 | 0.18 | 45.2% | 0.0 |
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:00 | 0.10 | 76.3% | 0.0 |
 Corey PerryRW · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:32 | 0.13 | 80.8% | 0.0 |
 Michael EyssimontC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:54 | 0.12 | 82.0% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 10:40 | 0.24 | 87.3% | +32.7 |
 Patrick MaroonLW · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:58 | 0.21 | 86.2% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | L | 22 | 19 | 3 | .864 | 2.02 | −1.0 | 58:06 |