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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 13, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Buffalo Sabres 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3

Away

Buffalo Sabres

4

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 78% of the time.

TOR winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 4:00Shot by Matthews, saved by Anderson
  3. P1 4:16Shot by McCabe, saved by Anderson
  4. P1 5:02Shot by Nylander, saved by Anderson
  5. P1 7:16Shot by Matthews, saved by Anderson
  6. P1 9:12Shot by Tuch, saved by Murray
  7. P1 10:08Shot by Nylander, saved by Anderson
  8. P1 10:10Shot by McCabe, saved by Anderson
  9. P1 10:11Shot by Bunting, saved by Anderson
  10. P1 10:36Shot by Tavares, saved by Anderson
  11. P1 13:03Shot by Okposo, saved by Murray
  12. P1 15:19Shot by Dahlin, saved by Murray
  13. P1 15:30Shot by Acciari, saved by Anderson
  14. P1 17:12Okposo: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Kerfoot, Marner, Matthews · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jokiharju, Krebs, Power

  15. P1 18:10Shot by Nylander, saved by Anderson5v4
  16. P1 18:49Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Anderson5v4
  17. P1 19:08Shot by Bunting, saved by Anderson5v4
  18. P1 0:00Period end
  19. P2 0:00Period start
  20. P2 0:09Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Anderson
  21. P2 1:11Goal by Matthews (Kerfoot, Marner)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Kerfoot, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Bryson, Dahlin, Krebs

  22. P2 3:47Shot by Okposo, saved by Murray
  23. P2 4:13Goal by Jarnkrok (Marner, Matthews)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Jarnkrok, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Bryson, Dahlin, Krebs

  24. P2 6:12Shot by Jost, saved by Murray
  25. P2 6:56Shot by Tuch, saved by Murray
  26. P2 7:09Shot by Thompson, saved by Murray
  27. P2 7:10Kerfoot: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Gustafsson, Kerfoot, Lafferty, Matthews · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Power

  28. P2 8:13Shot by Cozens, saved by Murray4v5
  29. P2 8:16Shot by Skinner, saved by Murray4v5
  30. P2 10:01Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Murray
  31. P2 10:39Shot by Girgensons, saved by Murray
  32. P2 11:01Shot by Thompson, saved by Murray
  33. P2 11:05Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Murray
  34. P2 12:52Giordano: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Gustafsson, Marner, Matthews, Kampf · BUF Greenway, Jost, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Power

  35. P2 13:34Shot by Thompson, saved by Murray4v5
  36. P2 14:03Shot by Thompson, saved by Murray4v5
  37. P2 14:58Goal by Quinn (Peterka, Power)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander, Liljegren · BUF Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Quinn, Peterka, Power

  38. P2 15:16Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Murray
  39. P2 15:28Shot by Skinner, saved by Murray
  40. P2 17:32Shot by Tuch, saved by Murray
  41. P2 18:46Shot by Thompson, saved by Murray
  42. P2 0:00Period end
  43. P3 0:00Period start
  44. P3 1:22Shot by Nylander, saved by Anderson
  45. P3 2:11Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Anderson
  46. P3 3:39Goal by Tuch (Thompson, Power)+25 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Kerfoot, Lafferty, Marner, Liljegren · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Jokiharju, Power

  47. P3 3:50Shot by Marner, saved by Anderson
  48. P3 4:30Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Anderson
  49. P3 4:57Shot by Bunting, saved by Anderson
  50. P3 5:42Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Anderson
  51. P3 6:14Shot by Okposo, saved by Murray
  52. P3 7:18Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Anderson
  53. P3 9:11Shot by Thompson, saved by Murray
  54. P3 9:37Shot by Cozens, saved by Murray
  55. P3 9:39Goal by Cozens (Stillman, Peterka)+34 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Jarnkrok, Lafferty, Bunting, Liljegren · BUF Stillman, Lyubushkin, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka

  56. P3 10:07Nylander: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Gustafsson, Nylander, Bunting · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jost, Jokiharju, Power

  57. P3 10:52Shot by Thompson, saved by Murray4v5
  58. P3 11:19Goal by Tuch (Skinner, Cozens)4v5+13 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Holl, Marner, Acciari · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Cozens

  59. P3 11:50Shot by Matthews, saved by Anderson
  60. P3 12:50Shot by Cozens, saved by Murray
  61. P3 14:13Shot by Krebs, saved by Murray
  62. P3 14:23Shot by Bunting, saved by Anderson
  63. P3 16:37Shot by Rielly, saved by Anderson6v5
  64. P3 18:47Shot by Bunting, saved by Anderson6v5
  65. P3 18:58Goal by Nylander (Matthews)6v5+4 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, Marner, Matthews · BUF Greenway, Dahlin, Lyubushkin, Cozens, Quinn

  66. P3 19:07Shot by Matthews, saved by Anderson6v5
  67. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  68. P3 0:00Final