Mon, Mar 13, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Buffalo Sabres 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 78% of the time.
15%
72%
TOR winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Henri JokiharjuD · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 27:00 | 0.08 | 67.2% | 0.0 |
 Owen PowerD · #25 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 26:31 | 0.00 | 69.4% | +39.0 |
 Rasmus DahlinD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 21:18 | 0.34 | 34.1% | 0.0 |
 Tage ThompsonC · #72 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 20:56 | 0.70 | 78.8% | +24.6 |
 Alex TuchRW · #89 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 20:23 | 1.12 | 77.4% | +37.4 |
 Jeff SkinnerLW · #53 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:22 | 0.15 | 76.1% | +12.8 |
 Dylan CozensC · #24 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15:55 | 0.47 | 54.9% | +46.8 |
 Tyson JostC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:42 | 0.07 | 51.9% | 0.0 |
 Ilya LyubushkinD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:36 | 0.02 | 81.5% | 0.0 |
 Casey MittelstadtC · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:45 | 0.00 | 33.5% | 0.0 |
 Jack QuinnRW · #22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:00 | 0.31 | 76.0% | +14.4 |
 Jordan GreenwayLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:50 | 0.02 | 22.4% | 0.0 |
 JJ PeterkaRW · #77 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 12:56 | 0.10 | 76.0% | +48.4 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:50 | 0.11 | 48.9% | 0.0 |
 Riley StillmanD · #61 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:43 | 0.00 | 83.3% | +34.0 |
 Kyle OkposoRW · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 12:38 | 0.18 | 53.9% | 0.0 |
 Jacob BrysonD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:53 | 0.00 | 15.4% | 0.0 |
 Peyton KrebsC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 8:43 | 0.01 | 21.0% | 0.0 |
 Craig Anderson#41 | W | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 1.96 | −1.0 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 23:20 | 0.23 | 45.2% | +37.5 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 22:30 | 0.02 | 49.3% | +33.2 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22:24 | 0.41 | 45.9% | +4.3 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:40 | 0.32 | 70.1% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:34 | 0.04 | 14.8% | 0.0 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:55 | 0.00 | 23.9% | 0.0 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:19 | 0.00 | 53.6% | 0.0 |
 Michael BuntingLW · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16:51 | 0.44 | 67.7% | 0.0 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:59 | 0.09 | 49.7% | 0.0 |
 Timothy LiljegrenD · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:58 | 0.00 | 22.5% | 0.0 |
 Noel AcciariC · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:19 | 0.11 | 31.8% | 0.0 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:16 | 0.00 | 31.8% | 0.0 |
 Erik GustafssonD · #56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:33 | 0.07 | 67.5% | 0.0 |
 Mark GiordanoD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:54 | 0.01 | 42.8% | 0.0 |
 Sam LaffertyC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:59 | 0.00 | 1.3% | 0.0 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:41 | 0.11 | 23.2% | +13.8 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 12:13 | 0.03 | 31.7% | +19.4 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:08 | 0.08 | 32.6% | 0.0 |
 Matt Murray#30 | L | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 2.78 | −1.2 | 56:15 |