Wed, Mar 15, 2023·Capital One Arena, Washington
Buffalo Sabres 4, Washington Capitals 5 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 56% of the time.
48%
8%
36%
WSH winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 27:34 | 0.10 | 64.4% | +15.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 26:22 | 0.00 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 24:11 | 0.01 | 65.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23:29 | 0.76 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:32 | 0.41 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:17 | 0.29 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:11 | 0.00 | 31.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 15:40 | 0.05 | 79.4% | +28.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:56 | 0.35 | 77.5% | +15.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:47 | 0.03 | 41.3% | +13.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:45 | 0.26 | 42.4% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 14:42 | 0.11 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:23 | 0.09 | 31.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:18 | 0.09 | 87.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:54 | 0.38 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:36 | 0.08 | 50.7% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 11:50 | 0.04 | 55.2% | +13.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:00 | 0.33 | 55.9% | +14.3 |
| O | 39 | 35 | 4 | .897 | 3.75 | −0.3 | 65:00 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 26:31 | 0.03 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:22 | 0.10 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 24:44 | 0.14 | 53.0% | +13.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19:32 | 0.63 | 34.9% | +25.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:40 | 0.03 | 69.6% | +15.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:18 | 0.15 | 23.5% | +47.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:15 | 0.06 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:07 | 0.16 | 41.9% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:48 | 0.00 | 51.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 16:43 | 0.37 | 61.1% | +25.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 16:30 | 0.08 | 38.6% | +47.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:17 | 0.03 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:12 | 0.19 | 67.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14:04 | 0.70 | 54.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 13:54 | 0.44 | 48.9% | +27.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 13:18 | 0.63 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:12 | 0.02 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:58 | 0.00 | 57.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 3.39 | −0.6 | 64:32 |