Skip to content
Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 15, 2023·Capital One Arena, Washington

Buffalo Sabres 4, Washington Capitals 5 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 56% of the time.

WSH winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Skinner–Tuch–ThompsonGreenway–Jost–MittelstadtOkposo–Girgensons–KrebsCozens–Quinn–PeterkaOkposo–Girgensons–JostGreenway–Krebs–QuinnJokiharju–PowerBryson–DahlinStillman–LyubushkinJokiharju–DahlinDahlin–PowerBryson–PowerJokiharju–Bryson
Dowd–Aube-Kubel–Protas9:520.75–0.390:330.03–0.000:430.09–0.085:510.16–0.421:580.50–0.040:300.10–0.001:070.12–0.001:270.00–0.00
Ovechkin–Kuznetsov–Wilson1:350.03–0.114:190.00–0.141:020.00–0.090:520.00–0.001:520.06–0.272:530.00–0.003:310.00–0.070:430.00–0.00
Oshie–Sheary–Strome3:520.13–0.170:340.00–0.050:570.00–0.210:300.00–0.002:590.25–0.292:220.00–0.151:170.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Backstrom–Smith–Mantha0:330.04–0.000:360.08–0.001:300.00–0.233:190.28–0.141:430.08–0.141:240.04–0.002:320.28–0.230:420.00–0.000:340.09–0.00
Ovechkin–Sheary–Strome1:450.25–0.091:130.08–0.080:450.00–0.001:310.31–0.171:010.02–0.00
Oshie–Kuznetsov–Wilson0:310.00–0.041:140.15–0.000:560.09–0.000:450.00–0.04
Ovechkin–Backstrom–Smith0:340.00–0.000:460.00–0.150:440.00–0.020:410.00–0.00
Smith–Sheary–Strome0:510.00–0.020:490.00–0.02
van Riemsdyk–Sandin1:170.13–0.003:500.17–0.133:070.00–0.424:450.36–0.301:380.00–0.154:290.13–0.373:210.11–0.145:080.30–0.321:530.00–0.001:080.21–0.000:440.00–0.00
Jensen–Fehérváry8:500.96–0.460:570.06–0.101:500.00–0.001:490.00–0.276:450.08–0.684:130.50–0.142:340.33–0.000:410.00–0.00
Irwin–Alexeyev4:190.16–0.102:580.00–0.001:140.00–0.040:310.03–0.001:180.08–0.044:320.09–0.102:220.00–0.000:420.00–0.000:340.03–0.00
Fehérváry–Alexeyev2:040.10–0.080:540.00–0.000:540.00–0.040:450.00–0.000:380.10–0.040:520.00–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Alexeyev0:450.00–0.000:330.25–0.000:470.25–0.00
Fehérváry–Sandin0:310.00–0.120:480.00–0.12
Jensen–Sandin0:460.01–0.311:040.05–0.05
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndDowd FProtas FAube-Kubel FKuznetsov FOvechkin FWilson FStrome FOshie FSheary FBackstrom FSmith FMantha FJensen DFehérváry DSandin Dvan Riemsdyk DIrwin DAlexeyev DLindgren GSkinner FThompson FTuch FKrebs FOkposo FGirgensons FGreenway FJost FMittelstadt FQuinn FCozens FPeterka FJokiharju DPower DBryson DDahlin DLyubushkin DStillman DLuukkonen G
WSHBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Owen PowerBUF3327:340:501:3466
Rasmus SandinWSH3226:310:501:55103
Rasmus DahlinBUF3226:220:492:2093
Martin FehérváryWSH3125:220:491:4939
Trevor van RiemsdykWSH3124:440:481:3975
Henri JokiharjuBUF2924:110:501:1946
Tage ThompsonBUF2823:290:501:2751
Alex TuchBUF2622:320:521:2650
Alex OvechkinWSH2519:320:471:1893
Jeff SkinnerBUF2519:170:461:1850
Alexander AlexeyevWSH2318:400:491:3905
Jacob BrysonBUF2418:110:451:3053
Tom WilsonWSH2117:180:491:5574
Nick JensenWSH2317:150:451:4135
Evgeny KuznetsovWSH2617:070:401:2574
Nic DowdWSH2516:480:401:1119
Dylan StromeWSH1916:430:531:3141
Nicklas BackstromWSH2216:300:451:2763
Conor ShearyWSH2016:170:491:2943
Peyton KrebsBUF2015:400:471:2943
Nicolas Aube-KubelWSH2315:120:401:3216
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1914:560:471:2034
Ilya LyubushkinBUF2214:470:401:5524
Tyson JostBUF1914:450:471:2434
Casey MittelstadtBUF1914:420:461:2043
Jordan GreenwayBUF1914:230:452:1533
Kyle OkposoBUF2014:180:431:1323
Aliaksei ProtasWSH2214:040:381:1616
T.J. OshieWSH1813:540:461:3852
Craig SmithWSH2013:180:401:2643
Matt IrwinWSH1913:120:421:1604
Dylan CozensBUF1912:540:411:2353
Jack QuinnBUF1612:360:471:3442
Riley StillmanBUF1811:500:391:5522
JJ PeterkaBUF1511:000:441:2423
Anthony ManthaWSH139:580:461:2332