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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 15, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Colorado Avalanche 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 1 (SO)

Away

Colorado Avalanche

2

Final

Shootout

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 70% of the time.

TOR winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:51Shot by Rielly, saved by Georgiev
  3. P1 3:11Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Samsonov
  4. P1 3:41Goal by Rielly (Marner, Jarnkrok)+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Jarnkrok, Rielly, Marner, Matthews · COL MacKinnon, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Girard, Byram

  5. P1 4:25Shot by Lafferty, saved by Georgiev
  6. P1 4:43Shot by Galchenyuk, saved by Samsonov
  7. P1 6:06Shot by Matthews, saved by Georgiev
  8. P1 6:52Shot by Rantanen, saved by Samsonov
  9. P1 7:16Shot by Malgin, saved by Samsonov
  10. P1 8:37Shot by Cogliano, saved by Samsonov
  11. P1 8:52Shot by Newhook, saved by Samsonov
  12. P1 9:30Shot by Matthews, saved by Georgiev
  13. P1 10:05Shot by Matthews, saved by Georgiev
  14. P1 11:19Shot by Hunt, saved by Samsonov
  15. P1 12:39Giordano: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Giordano, Jarnkrok, Gustafsson, Marner, Matthews · COL Johnson, Cogliano, Eller, Girard, O'Connor

  16. P1 13:29Shot by Makar, saved by Samsonov4v5
  17. P1 14:08Goal by Rantanen (Makar, MacKinnon)4v5+18 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Kerfoot, Lafferty, Liljegren · COL Compher, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Rantanen, Makar

  18. P1 16:40Newhook: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, Marner, Matthews · COL Johnson, Hunt, Nichushkin, Rodrigues, Newhook

  19. P1 17:10Shot by Nylander, saved by Georgiev5v4
  20. P1 0:00Period end
  21. P2 0:00Period start
  22. P2 2:30Shot by Eller, saved by Samsonov
  23. P2 2:32Shot by Eller, saved by Samsonov
  24. P2 2:49Shot by Toews, saved by Samsonov
  25. P2 3:21Shot by Matthews, saved by Georgiev
  26. P2 3:21Rodrigues: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Jarnkrok, Holl, Rielly, Marner, Matthews · COL MacKinnon, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Girard, Byram

  27. P2 3:29Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Samsonov5v4
  28. P2 4:01Shot by Tavares, saved by Georgiev5v4
  29. P2 5:17Bunting: Too many men on the ice (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Gustafsson, Nylander, Bunting, Marner, Matthews · COL Cogliano, Nieto, Toews, Byram

  30. P2 5:53Shot by Makar, saved by Samsonov4v5
  31. P2 6:51Shot by Rantanen, saved by Samsonov4v5
  32. P2 7:47Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Samsonov
  33. P2 11:25Shot by O'Connor, saved by Samsonov
  34. P2 11:56Brodie: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Lafferty, Acciari, Matthews · COL Cogliano, Hunt, MacKinnon, O'Connor, Byram

  35. P2 13:28Rodrigues: Interference (2 min)4v5

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Kerfoot, Liljegren, Kampf · COL Toews, Rodrigues, Girard, Byram, Newhook

  36. P2 15:06Shot by Rielly, saved by Georgiev5v4
  37. P2 17:25Shot by Girard, saved by Samsonov
  38. P2 18:13Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Georgiev
  39. P2 19:21Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Samsonov
  40. P2 0:00Period end
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 0:58Shot by Brodie, saved by Georgiev
  43. P3 1:18Bunting: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Bunting · COL Compher, Nichushkin, Malgin, Girard, Byram

  44. P3 4:31Kampf: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Nylander, Aston-Reese, Kampf · COL Hunt, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Byram

  45. P3 5:34Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Samsonov4v5
  46. P3 7:51Shot by Rantanen, saved by Samsonov
  47. P3 8:52Shot by Cogliano, saved by Samsonov
  48. P3 8:56Shot by Makar, saved by Samsonov
  49. P3 9:16Shot by Nylander, saved by Georgiev
  50. P3 10:27Shot by Marner, saved by Georgiev
  51. P3 12:20Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Samsonov
  52. P3 13:13Shot by Matthews, saved by Georgiev
  53. P3 14:39Shot by Holl, saved by Georgiev
  54. P3 15:58Shot by Makar, saved by Samsonov
  55. P3 16:21Shot by McCabe, saved by Georgiev
  56. P3 19:43Shot by Nylander, saved by Georgiev
  57. P3 0:00Period end
  58. OT 0:00Period start
  59. OT 3:34Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Samsonov3v3
  60. OT 3:56Shot by Rantanen, saved by Samsonov3v3
  61. OT 4:50Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Samsonov3v3
  62. OT 4:59Shot by Compher, saved by Samsonov3v3
  63. OT 5:00Period endother
  64. SO Period start
  65. SO Shot by Nylander, saved by Georgievother
  66. SO Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Samsonovother
  67. SO Goal by MacKinnon, unassistedother
  68. SO Period endother
  69. SO Final