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Ice Lab

Wed, Mar 15, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Colorado Avalanche 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 1 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 70% of the time.

TOR winsCOL wins

Colorado Avalanche

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Cale MakarD · #80110430:340.3351.4%+18.4
Devon ToewsD · #70000126:370.0551.9%0.0
Mikko RantanenRW · #96101−1525:020.4647.9%+18.4
Nathan MacKinnonC · #29011−1224:520.2246.3%+18.4
J.T. CompherLW · #370000123:430.1560.1%0.0
Valeri NichushkinRW · #130000422:120.5480.0%0.0
Samuel GirardD · #49000−1121:080.0169.3%0.0
Bowen ByramD · #4000−1020:460.1662.1%0.0
Evan RodriguesC · #9000−1215:480.2646.3%0.0
Lars EllerC · #200000215:460.0370.4%0.0
Logan O'ConnorRW · #250000115:040.1354.3%0.0
Andrew CoglianoC · #110000214:490.1949.5%0.0
Jack JohnsonD · #30000014:160.0052.5%0.0
Denis MalginC · #810000111:280.1985.3%0.0
Alex NewhookC · #18000018:450.15100.0%0.0
Matt NietoLW · #83000008:140.0072.5%0.0
Brad HuntD · #17000016:340.0576.5%0.0
Alex GalchenyukC · #47000013:220.03100.0%0.0
Alexandar Georgiev#40W18171.9441.83+0.865:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Mitch MarnerRW · #16011+1129:100.0353.7%+17.8
Auston MatthewsC · #34000+1526:520.6954.3%0.0
William NylanderRW · #880000321:120.2224.3%0.0
Morgan RiellyD · #44101+1320:430.2135.8%+17.8
John TavaresC · #910000119:570.1328.8%0.0
TJ BrodieD · #78000+1119:270.0232.9%0.0
Calle JarnkrokC · #19011+1118:280.2054.1%+17.8
Jake McCabeD · #220000118:140.0745.9%0.0
Justin HollD · #30000116:540.0359.1%0.0
Erik GustafssonD · #560000016:130.1231.6%0.0
Michael BuntingLW · #580000015:040.0027.5%0.0
Timothy LiljegrenD · #370000014:130.0045.3%0.0
Mark GiordanoD · #550000014:010.0035.3%0.0
David KampfC · #640000013:580.1026.7%0.0
Noel AcciariC · #520000013:120.0021.2%0.0
Alexander KerfootC · #150000011:360.0050.9%0.0
Sam LaffertyC · #280000110:040.0128.1%0.0
Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #12000007:040.0018.0%0.0
Ilya Samsonov#35O29281.9662.95+1.964:19