Wed, Mar 15, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Colorado Avalanche 2, Toronto Maple Leafs 1 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Colorado Avalanche win this game 70% of the time.
21%
9%
8%
62%
TOR winsCOL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against COL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Cogliano–Eller–O'Connor | MacKinnon–Rantanen–Rodrigues | Compher–Nichushkin–Malgin | Nieto–Galchenyuk–Newhook | Compher–MacKinnon–Rantanen | Toews–Makar | Girard–Byram | Makar–Byram | Toews–Girard | Johnson–Hunt | Johnson–Makar | Johnson–Girard | Johnson–Byram | Hunt–Byram | Toews–Byram | Girard–Makar | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarnkrok–Marner–Matthews | 1:140.11–0.06 | 5:030.41–0.39 | 1:300.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:590.09–0.05 | 4:280.21–0.18 | 3:450.18–0.16 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:100.22–0.16 | |||||||
| Tavares–Nylander–Bunting | 4:310.11–0.04 | 3:250.00–0.44 | 2:450.06–0.10 | 2:200.00–0.30 | 0:340.00–0.03 | 1:010.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:320.05–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.05 | |||||||
| Acciari–Aston-Reese–Kampf | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.03 | 1:550.00–0.10 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Bunting–Marner–Matthews | 0:570.05–0.09 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:360.05–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Kerfoot–Acciari–Kampf | 1:140.12–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 | 0:530.12–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Tavares–Marner–Matthews | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:320.09–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Jarnkrok–Kerfoot–Lafferty | ||||||||||||||||
| Kerfoot–Nylander–Lafferty | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Holl–McCabe | 1:150.00–0.02 | 5:460.38–0.27 | 1:480.00–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.05 | 5:190.33–0.20 | 2:060.00–0.11 | 0:430.05–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 0:560.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Brodie–Rielly | 1:290.00–0.00 | 1:120.17–0.12 | 3:590.02–0.34 | 0:320.04–0.00 | 2:230.05–0.26 | 1:080.02–0.03 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.05 | 0:360.13–0.12 | ||||||
| Giordano–Liljegren | 1:590.00–0.16 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:300.00–0.10 | 2:010.00–0.10 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 0:320.11–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Rielly–Gustafsson | 2:070.10–0.02 | 1:000.06–0.02 | 0:360.00–0.05 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:430.04–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Giordano–Gustafsson | 1:240.00–0.06 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.03 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.06 | ||||||||||
| Gustafsson–Liljegren | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.03 | 0:570.00–0.03 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:440.09–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Brodie–Liljegren | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.03 | 0:330.00–0.05 | 1:140.00–0.03 | ||||||||||||
| Brodie–Gustafsson | 0:570.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Brodie–McCabe | 0:420.00–0.07 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORCOLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Cale MakarCOL | 32 | 30:34 | 0:57 | 1:33 | 8 | 5 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 31 | 29:10 | 0:56 | 2:47 | 3 | 8 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 29 | 26:52 | 0:56 | 2:53 | 4 | 4 |
 Devon ToewsCOL | 33 | 26:37 | 0:48 | 1:45 | 2 | 4 |
 Mikko RantanenCOL | 30 | 25:02 | 0:50 | 2:00 | 11 | 3 |
 Nathan MacKinnonCOL | 29 | 24:52 | 0:51 | 1:34 | 10 | 3 |
 J.T. CompherCOL | 26 | 23:43 | 0:55 | 2:08 | 6 | 6 |
 Valeri NichushkinCOL | 24 | 22:12 | 0:56 | 2:06 | 5 | 4 |
 William NylanderTOR | 25 | 21:12 | 0:51 | 1:56 | 4 | 0 |
 Samuel GirardCOL | 29 | 21:08 | 0:44 | 1:27 | 7 | 4 |
 Bowen ByramCOL | 30 | 20:46 | 0:42 | 1:30 | 5 | 2 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 24 | 20:43 | 0:52 | 2:02 | 1 | 3 |
 John TavaresTOR | 22 | 19:57 | 0:54 | 1:46 | 5 | 0 |
 TJ BrodieTOR | 24 | 19:27 | 0:49 | 1:35 | 1 | 4 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 25 | 18:28 | 0:44 | 2:00 | 1 | 4 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 23 | 18:14 | 0:48 | 1:44 | 1 | 5 |
 Justin HollTOR | 21 | 16:54 | 0:48 | 1:48 | 1 | 9 |
 Erik GustafssonTOR | 17 | 16:13 | 0:57 | 1:30 | 2 | 2 |
 Evan RodriguesCOL | 24 | 15:48 | 0:40 | 1:07 | 7 | 1 |
 Lars EllerCOL | 22 | 15:46 | 0:43 | 1:28 | 1 | 2 |
 Michael BuntingTOR | 19 | 15:04 | 0:48 | 1:15 | 1 | 0 |
 Logan O'ConnorCOL | 20 | 15:04 | 0:45 | 1:28 | 0 | 1 |
 Andrew CoglianoCOL | 22 | 14:49 | 0:40 | 1:32 | 0 | 2 |
 Jack JohnsonCOL | 20 | 14:16 | 0:43 | 1:32 | 0 | 2 |
 Timothy LiljegrenTOR | 18 | 14:13 | 0:47 | 1:34 | 3 | 3 |
 Mark GiordanoTOR | 18 | 14:01 | 0:47 | 1:31 | 0 | 2 |
 David KampfTOR | 20 | 13:58 | 0:42 | 1:03 | 1 | 7 |
 Noel AcciariTOR | 16 | 13:12 | 0:50 | 1:25 | 2 | 1 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 15 | 11:36 | 0:46 | 1:08 | 0 | 2 |
 Denis MalginCOL | 16 | 11:28 | 0:43 | 1:01 | 3 | 2 |
 Sam LaffertyTOR | 15 | 10:04 | 0:40 | 1:02 | 1 | 2 |
 Alex NewhookCOL | 12 | 8:45 | 0:44 | 1:38 | 3 | 0 |
 Matt NietoCOL | 12 | 8:14 | 0:41 | 0:58 | 1 | 1 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseTOR | 10 | 7:04 | 0:42 | 1:03 | 0 | 2 |
 Brad HuntCOL | 9 | 6:34 | 0:44 | 1:14 | 0 | 0 |
 Alex GalchenyukCOL | 5 | 3:22 | 0:40 | 0:48 | 0 | 0 |