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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 16, 2023·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Colorado Avalanche 5, Ottawa Senators 4

Away

Colorado Avalanche

5

Final

Home

Ottawa Senators

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 60% of the time.

OTT winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:33Shot by Rantanen, saved by Sogaard
  3. P1 2:35Goal by Makar (Rantanen, MacKinnon)+13 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Watson, Brown, Chychrun, Gambrell · COL MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Makar

  4. P1 2:51Shot by Rantanen, saved by Sogaard
  5. P1 3:49Hamonic: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Chychrun, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle · COL Johnson, Cogliano, Eller, Makar, O'Connor

  6. P1 4:31Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Sogaard4v5
  7. P1 4:42Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Sogaard4v5
  8. P1 5:00Goal by Nichushkin (Makar, Rantanen)4v5+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Watson, Chychrun, Brannstrom · COL Compher, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Rantanen, Makar

  9. P1 5:33Shot by Hunt, saved by Sogaard
  10. P1 5:44Johnson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Gauthier, DeBrincat, Chychrun, Pinto · COL Johnson, Cogliano, Eller, Hunt, O'Connor

  11. P1 7:15Shot by Chychrun, saved by Johansson5v4
  12. P1 7:32Shot by Chychrun, saved by Johansson5v4
  13. P1 8:06Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Sogaard
  14. P1 8:17Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Johansson
  15. P1 8:22Shot by Greig, saved by Johansson
  16. P1 9:01Greig: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Hamonic, Chabot, DeBrincat, Greig · COL Compher, MacKinnon, Nichushkin, Toews, Makar

  17. P1 10:44Shot by Sanderson, saved by Johansson4v5
  18. P1 10:51Shot by Stützle, saved by Johansson4v5
  19. P1 12:03MacKinnon: Holding (2 min)6v5

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Chabot, DeBrincat, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle · COL Cogliano, MacKinnon, Toews, Makar, O'Connor

  20. P1 12:55Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Johansson5v4
  21. P1 13:37Shot by Brassard, saved by Johansson5v4
  22. P1 14:31Shot by Sanderson, saved by Johansson
  23. P1 17:13Shot by Sanderson, saved by Johansson
  24. P1 17:53Shot by Nieto, saved by Sogaard
  25. P1 18:23Shot by Johnson, saved by Sogaard
  26. P1 18:26Newhook: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Watson, Brown, Chabot, Gambrell, Brannstrom · COL Johnson, Nieto, Hunt, Galchenyuk, Newhook

  27. P1 18:36Shot by Chabot, saved by Johansson5v4
  28. P1 19:33Goal by Batherson (Stützle, Sanderson)5v4+14 pts WP

    On ice: OTT DeBrincat, Batherson, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle · COL Cogliano, Toews, Makar, O'Connor

  29. P1 0:00Period end
  30. P2 0:00Period start
  31. P2 0:10Shot by Batherson, saved by Johansson
  32. P2 3:17Shot by Hamonic, saved by Johansson
  33. P2 3:35Shot by Nieto, saved by Sogaard
  34. P2 4:23Goal by Rantanen (MacKinnon, Byram)+15 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Chabot, DeBrincat, Chychrun, Batherson, Greig · COL MacKinnon, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Girard, Byram

  35. P2 4:55Shot by Byram, saved by Sogaard
  36. P2 5:29Shot by Byram, saved by Sogaard
  37. P2 6:35Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Sogaard
  38. P2 7:40Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Johansson
  39. P2 7:57Shot by Hamonic, saved by Johansson
  40. P2 8:20Goal by Pinto (Gauthier, Brannstrom)+15 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Brassard, Chabot, Gauthier, Brannstrom, Pinto · COL Nieto, Galchenyuk, Girard, Byram, Newhook

  41. P2 8:28Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Sogaard
  42. P2 8:44Shot by Sanderson, saved by Johansson
  43. P2 9:37Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Sogaard
  44. P2 11:14Shot by Greig, saved by Johansson
  45. P2 11:25Shot by Chychrun, saved by Johansson
  46. P2 11:29Shot by Giroux, saved by Johansson
  47. P2 12:11Shot by Rantanen, saved by Sogaard
  48. P2 12:18Shot by Rodrigues, saved by Sogaard
  49. P2 14:56Shot by Byram, saved by Sogaard
  50. P2 15:17Goal by Rodrigues (MacKinnon)+16 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub · COL MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Makar

  51. P2 17:21Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Sogaard
  52. P2 17:43Shot by Toews, saved by Sogaard
  53. P2 17:56Shot by Brassard, saved by Johansson
  54. P2 18:09Goal by Eller, unassisted+7 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Batherson, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub · COL Johnson, Cogliano, Eller, Girard, O'Connor

  55. P2 18:09Tkachuk: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Batherson, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle, Zub · COL Johnson, Cogliano, Eller, Girard, O'Connor

  56. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 2:49Shot by Stützle, saved by Johansson
  59. P3 2:52Goal by Hamonic (Stützle, Tkachuk)+6 pts WP

    On ice: OTT Hamonic, Chychrun, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle · COL Nieto, Galchenyuk, Girard, Byram, Newhook

  60. P3 3:54Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Johansson
  61. P3 5:22Shot by Cogliano, saved by Sogaard
  62. P3 5:26Shot by Byram, saved by Sogaard
  63. P3 7:33Shot by Nichushkin, saved by Sogaard
  64. P3 9:36Shot by Greig, saved by Johansson
  65. P3 12:45Rantanen: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Brassard, Chabot, Gauthier, Greig, Zub · COL MacKinnon, Toews, Rantanen, Rodrigues, Makar

  66. P3 13:18Goal by Tkachuk (Stützle, Sanderson)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: OTT DeBrincat, Batherson, Tkachuk, Sanderson, Stützle · COL Compher, Nichushkin, Toews, Makar

  67. P3 14:06Byram: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Chabot, DeBrincat, Brannstrom, Greig · COL Cogliano, Eller, Girard, O'Connor, Byram

  68. P3 14:06Giroux: Embellishment (2 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Giroux, Chabot, DeBrincat, Brannstrom, Greig · COL Cogliano, Eller, Girard, O'Connor, Byram

  69. P3 14:10Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Johansson4v4
  70. P3 14:11Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Johansson4v4
  71. P3 16:07Shot by Tkachuk, saved by Johansson
  72. P3 16:47Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Sogaard
  73. P3 17:01Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Johansson
  74. P3 17:40Shot by O'Connor, saved by Sogaard
  75. P3 18:13Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Johansson
  76. P3 18:36Tkachuk: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: OTT Chychrun, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle, Zub · COL Johnson, Cogliano, Compher, Girard, O'Connor

  77. P3 18:36MacKinnon: Roughing (2 min)4v5

    On ice: OTT Chychrun, Batherson, Tkachuk, Stützle, Zub · COL Johnson, Cogliano, Compher, Girard, O'Connor

  78. P3 18:43Shot by Toews, saved by Sogaard4v4
  79. P3 19:19Toews: Tripping (2 min)5v4

    On ice: OTT Giroux, DeBrincat, Batherson, Sanderson, Stützle · COL Compher, Nichushkin, Toews, Makar

  80. P3 19:51Shot by Stützle, saved by Johansson5v3
  81. P3 19:52Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Johansson5v3
  82. P3 19:53Shot by Batherson, saved by Johansson5v3
  83. P3 19:54Shot by Chychrun, saved by Johansson5v3
  84. P3 0:00Period end5v3
  85. P3 0:00Final