Thu, Mar 16, 2023·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Colorado Avalanche 5, Ottawa Senators 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 60% of the time.
51%
8%
33%
OTT winsCOL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against COL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| MacKinnon–Rantanen–Rodrigues | Compher–Nichushkin–Malgin | Cogliano–Eller–O'Connor | Nieto–Galchenyuk–Newhook | MacKinnon–Nichushkin–Rantanen | Compher–MacKinnon–Nichushkin | Cogliano–Compher–O'Connor | Toews–Makar | Girard–Byram | Johnson–Hunt | Johnson–Girard | Hunt–Byram | Johnson–Byram | Makar–Byram | Toews–Girard | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Batherson–Tkachuk–Stützle | 5:290.16–0.28 | 1:540.16–0.00 | 2:350.02–0.49 | 0:550.28–0.15 | 5:470.16–0.16 | 3:170.38–0.49 | 1:270.02–0.34 | 1:080.05–0.15 | |||||||
| Giroux–DeBrincat–Greig | 4:230.13–0.00 | 2:550.17–0.18 | 0:350.00–0.12 | 1:530.18–0.17 | 4:410.14–0.05 | 0:410.00–0.11 | 1:120.09–0.01 | ||||||||
| Brassard–Gauthier–Pinto | 0:310.00–0.02 | 2:250.00–0.13 | 1:080.00–0.00 | 1:010.06–0.06 | 1:160.01–0.09 | 1:490.06–0.13 | 1:390.00–0.06 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Watson–Brown–Gambrell | 1:460.03–0.03 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:220.04–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.16 | 1:460.03–0.03 | 2:010.04–0.16 | 0:330.00–0.00 | ||||||||
| Giroux–DeBrincat–Pinto | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:440.08–0.00 | 1:080.08–0.09 | ||||||||||||
| Gauthier–DeBrincat–Pinto | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.18 | ||||||||||||
| DeBrincat–Batherson–Stützle | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Chabot–Brannstrom | 5:210.25–0.00 | 4:170.00–0.35 | 2:070.09–0.22 | 2:220.12–0.00 | 5:010.16–0.35 | 2:280.00–0.22 | 1:290.02–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Sanderson–Zub | 6:550.28–0.37 | 1:110.00–0.13 | 0:470.08–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.00 | 6:310.27–0.15 | 2:120.00–0.29 | 1:000.00–0.34 | 1:110.00–0.25 | |||||||
| Hamonic–Chychrun | 2:000.00–0.11 | 2:340.06–0.00 | 3:170.11–0.02 | 0:480.28–0.00 | 2:060.01–0.12 | 2:080.32–0.02 | 1:430.02–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.06 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 0:410.09–0.00 | 0:590.00–0.18 | ||||
| Chabot–Chychrun | 0:370.00–0.12 | 0:350.00–0.12 | 1:220.00–0.20 | 0:430.10–0.12 | |||||||||||
| Hamonic–Sanderson | 0:500.00–0.00 | 0:300.09–0.07 | 0:590.09–0.07 | 0:380.00–0.05 | |||||||||||
| Chabot–Zub | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.11 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.11 |
Every shift, one row per player.
OTTCOLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Cale MakarCOL | 28 | 27:03 | 0:58 | 2:28 | 4 | 5 |
 Jake SandersonOTT | 27 | 24:17 | 0:54 | 1:41 | 3 | 5 |
 Devon ToewsCOL | 29 | 23:54 | 0:49 | 1:40 | 3 | 5 |
 J.T. CompherCOL | 24 | 22:58 | 0:57 | 2:07 | 4 | 5 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 29 | 22:46 | 0:47 | 1:50 | 8 | 0 |
 Thomas ChabotOTT | 25 | 22:11 | 0:53 | 1:50 | 4 | 3 |
 Nathan MacKinnonCOL | 26 | 21:30 | 0:50 | 1:48 | 3 | 1 |
 Bowen ByramCOL | 27 | 21:20 | 0:47 | 2:05 | 1 | 2 |
 Samuel GirardCOL | 28 | 21:16 | 0:46 | 1:41 | 1 | 3 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 28 | 21:13 | 0:45 | 1:47 | 8 | 0 |
 Alex DeBrincatOTT | 23 | 21:01 | 0:55 | 1:53 | 6 | 4 |
 Mikko RantanenCOL | 25 | 20:50 | 0:50 | 1:33 | 4 | 0 |
 Valeri NichushkinCOL | 23 | 20:49 | 0:54 | 2:03 | 3 | 5 |
 Jakob ChychrunOTT | 29 | 19:50 | 0:41 | 1:46 | 4 | 1 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 27 | 19:09 | 0:43 | 1:50 | 9 | 0 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 23 | 18:09 | 0:47 | 1:35 | 2 | 3 |
 Claude GirouxOTT | 24 | 17:59 | 0:45 | 1:19 | 3 | 5 |
 Travis HamonicOTT | 25 | 16:07 | 0:39 | 1:27 | 2 | 0 |
 Erik BrannstromOTT | 19 | 15:39 | 0:49 | 1:47 | 3 | 2 |
 Logan O'ConnorCOL | 22 | 15:39 | 0:43 | 1:33 | 0 | 2 |
 Evan RodriguesCOL | 20 | 15:22 | 0:46 | 1:30 | 2 | 0 |
 Shane PintoOTT | 20 | 15:17 | 0:46 | 1:29 | 4 | 0 |
 Jack JohnsonCOL | 22 | 14:45 | 0:40 | 1:23 | 2 | 3 |
 Andrew CoglianoCOL | 23 | 13:58 | 0:36 | 1:28 | 0 | 3 |
 Lars EllerCOL | 19 | 13:33 | 0:43 | 1:36 | 0 | 3 |
 Ridly GreigOTT | 18 | 11:49 | 0:39 | 1:04 | 4 | 3 |
 Denis MalginCOL | 12 | 11:41 | 0:58 | 2:04 | 1 | 1 |
 Derick BrassardOTT | 15 | 10:41 | 0:43 | 1:19 | 3 | 0 |
 Austin WatsonOTT | 16 | 9:39 | 0:36 | 1:27 | 0 | 4 |
 Dylan GambrellOTT | 14 | 9:22 | 0:40 | 1:27 | 0 | 2 |
 Julien GauthierOTT | 14 | 9:19 | 0:40 | 0:58 | 2 | 0 |
 Brad HuntCOL | 13 | 8:50 | 0:41 | 1:23 | 2 | 0 |
 Patrick BrownOTT | 14 | 8:13 | 0:35 | 0:56 | 0 | 1 |
 Matt NietoCOL | 11 | 6:58 | 0:38 | 1:08 | 1 | 3 |
 Alex NewhookCOL | 12 | 5:41 | 0:28 | 0:41 | 1 | 3 |
 Alex GalchenyukCOL | 9 | 4:08 | 0:28 | 0:43 | 1 | 3 |