Thu, Mar 16, 2023·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Colorado Avalanche 5, Ottawa Senators 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 60% of the time.
51%
8%
33%
OTT winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 27:03 | 0.03 | 53.1% | +27.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 23:54 | 0.04 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:58 | 0.00 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 6 | 21:30 | 0.56 | 69.5% | +44.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 21:20 | 0.50 | 56.0% | +15.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:16 | 0.07 | 69.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 20:50 | 0.52 | 67.8% | +42.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:49 | 0.40 | 48.5% | +13.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:39 | 0.16 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 15:22 | 0.33 | 75.3% | +15.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:45 | 0.37 | 76.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:58 | 0.25 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:33 | 0.23 | 69.4% | +7.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:41 | 0.00 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:50 | 0.02 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 6:58 | 0.25 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 5:41 | 0.04 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 4:08 | 0.01 | 57.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 32 | 4 | .889 | 4.39 | +0.4 | 60:00 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 4 | 24:17 | 0.29 | 27.4% | +25.9 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | −1 | 3 | 22:46 | 0.53 | 31.9% | +31.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:11 | 0.09 | 30.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:13 | 0.53 | 30.2% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 21:01 | 0.50 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:50 | 0.55 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 5 | 19:09 | 0.84 | 32.9% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:09 | 0.02 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:59 | 0.07 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:07 | 0.26 | 59.1% | +5.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:39 | 0.00 | 47.3% | +15.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:17 | 0.27 | 21.2% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 11:49 | 0.23 | 54.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 10:41 | 0.18 | 19.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:39 | 0.00 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:22 | 0.00 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:19 | 0.00 | 28.7% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:13 | 0.03 | 35.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 25 | 5 | .833 | 3.43 | −1.6 | 58:44 |