Mon, Mar 20, 2023·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Ottawa Senators 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 72% of the time.
65%
21%
PIT winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:55 | 0.02 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:43 | 0.40 | 46.7% | +43.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21:21 | 0.51 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:00 | 0.00 | 35.0% | +17.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:01 | 0.14 | 24.3% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:42 | 0.09 | 22.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:57 | 0.04 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17:45 | 0.21 | 55.8% | +43.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:29 | 0.23 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:11 | 0.47 | 57.5% | +43.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:04 | 0.00 | 18.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:00 | 0.03 | 12.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:21 | 0.02 | 6.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:19 | 0.00 | 7.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:54 | 0.00 | 1.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:33 | 0.06 | 6.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:27 | 0.06 | 29.4% | +17.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:18 | 0.01 | 15.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 49 | 48 | 1 | .980 | 3.65 | +2.6 | 60:00 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 29:33 | 0.20 | 73.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23:43 | 0.20 | 77.7% | +39.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22:35 | 0.88 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:17 | 0.09 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:48 | 0.39 | 59.4% | +39.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:56 | 0.03 | 71.9% | +39.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19:04 | 0.60 | 90.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:48 | 0.13 | 70.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:28 | 0.04 | 62.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:22 | 0.27 | 85.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:35 | 0.14 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:10 | 0.09 | 77.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:48 | 0.00 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12:04 | 0.30 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 10:34 | 0.05 | 64.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:30 | 0.10 | 92.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:22 | 0.07 | 90.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:10 | 0.08 | 80.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 21 | 19 | 2 | .905 | 1.88 | −0.1 | 58:17 |