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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 20, 2023·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Ottawa Senators 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 72% of the time.

PIT winsOTT wins

Ottawa Senators

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Artem ZubD · #20000121:550.0236.9%0.0
Jake SandersonD · #85011+1021:430.4046.7%+43.7
Tim StützleC · #180000321:210.5154.0%0.0
Claude GirouxRW · #280110121:000.0035.0%+17.7
Thomas ChabotD · #721010320:010.1424.3%+17.7
Jakob ChychrunD · #60000019:420.0922.5%0.0
Travis HamonicD · #230000118:570.0426.2%0.0
Brady TkachukLW · #70110617:450.2155.8%+43.7
Alex DeBrincatRW · #120000117:290.2330.8%0.0
Drake BathersonRW · #191010216:110.4757.5%+43.7
Erik BrannstromD · #26000−1016:040.0018.6%0.0
Shane PintoC · #570000116:000.0312.6%0.0
Austin WatsonLW · #160000012:210.026.9%0.0
Derick BrassardC · #610000012:190.007.4%0.0
Dylan GambrellC · #270000011:540.001.2%0.0
Julien GauthierRW · #770000010:330.066.7%0.0
Ridly GreigC · #170110110:270.0629.4%+17.7
Patrick BrownC · #38000018:180.0115.8%0.0
Dylan Ferguson#34W49481.9803.65+2.660:00

Pittsburgh Penguins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Kris LetangD · #58000+1529:330.2073.6%0.0
Evgeni MalkinC · #710110423:430.2077.7%+39.5
Jake GuentzelC · #590000522:350.8858.4%0.0
Sidney CrosbyC · #870000222:170.0956.4%0.0
Rickard RakellRW · #67101+1221:480.3959.4%+39.5
Pierre-Olivier JosephD · #73011+1320:560.0371.9%+39.5
Bryan RustRW · #170000619:040.6090.2%0.0
Brian DumoulinD · #80000318:480.1370.5%0.0
Chad RuhwedelD · #2000−1117:280.0462.4%0.0
Jason ZuckerLW · #160000217:220.2785.9%0.0
Mikael GranlundC · #64000−1315:350.1458.5%0.0
Mark FriedmanD · #520000315:100.0977.8%0.0
Ryan PoehlingC · #250000012:480.0065.2%0.0
Danton HeinenLW · #430000512:040.3058.0%0.0
Taylor FedunD · #4000−1210:340.0564.7%0.0
Jeff CarterC · #77000016:300.1092.0%0.0
Josh ArchibaldRW · #15000016:220.0790.8%0.0
Drew O'ConnorLW · #10000016:100.0880.8%0.0
Tristan Jarry#35L21192.9051.88−0.158:17