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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 20, 2023·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Ottawa Senators 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 72% of the time.

PIT winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Batherson–Tkachuk–StützleGiroux–DeBrincat–GreigBrassard–Gauthier–PintoWatson–Brown–GambrellGiroux–Tkachuk–StützleBatherson–Tkachuk–PintoGiroux–DeBrincat–GambrellGiroux–Brown–GambrellBrassard–Gauthier–StützleBrassard–Watson–PintoGiroux–DeBrincat–PintoSanderson–ZubChabot–BrannstromHamonic–ChychrunChabot–ChychrunChabot–ZubChabot–Sanderson
Crosby–Rakell–Guentzel4:010.00–0.450:320.01–0.010:420.00–0.001:390.23–0.001:070.14–0.110:330.00–0.004:520.15–0.442:300.20–0.110:300.00–0.031:110.03–0.01
Granlund–Heinen–Poehling1:270.00–0.003:340.15–0.070:330.00–0.000:430.07–0.003:060.14–0.032:280.13–0.071:530.00–0.00
Malkin–Zucker–Rust0:450.10–0.003:100.03–0.121:210.07–0.001:360.10–0.002:110.14–0.003:230.12–0.070:540.25–0.00
Malkin–Zucker–Rakell0:410.10–0.001:450.18–0.000:530.21–0.000:460.00–0.000:500.00–0.003:260.40–0.00
Carter–Archibald–O'Connor1:190.18–0.000:470.00–0.000:410.00–0.000:430.09–0.001:350.17–0.001:260.17–0.000:320.00–0.00
Crosby–Rust–Guentzel2:580.28–0.010:330.00–0.001:190.02–0.000:340.00–0.001:590.26–0.01
Malkin–Zucker–Granlund
Malkin–Granlund–Heinen0:350.00–0.170:440.09–0.17
Letang–Joseph6:260.16–0.451:340.16–0.001:360.07–0.002:530.23–0.000:400.00–0.007:190.13–0.423:410.43–0.003:030.12–0.040:410.02–0.00
Dumoulin–Ruhwedel1:020.03–0.024:570.06–0.080:590.00–0.001:030.01–0.110:390.00–0.000:510.08–0.000:320.00–0.000:460.00–0.002:220.12–0.034:510.12–0.154:290.10–0.070:320.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Fedun–Friedman1:040.04–0.174:170.35–0.071:010.00–0.002:100.17–0.033:220.24–0.071:220.00–0.171:200.25–0.00
Letang–Friedman0:460.02–0.000:320.00–0.000:510.02–0.002:230.04–0.000:310.00–0.00
Letang–Dumoulin0:340.09–0.010:320.01–0.01
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGuentzel FRakell FCrosby FMalkin FZucker FRust FGranlund FHeinen FPoehling FO'Connor FArchibald FCarter FLetang DJoseph DRuhwedel DDumoulin DFedun DFriedman DJarry GTkachuk FStützle FBatherson FDeBrincat FGreig FGiroux FGauthier FPinto FBrassard FWatson FGambrell FBrown FZub DSanderson DChychrun DHamonic DChabot DBrannstrom DFerguson G
PITOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Kris LetangPIT2829:331:033:0564
Evgeni MalkinPIT2223:431:052:1250
Jake GuentzelPIT2422:350:562:1253
Sidney CrosbyPIT2422:170:562:0963
Artem ZubOTT2521:550:534:3624
Rickard RakellPIT2321:480:571:5272
Jake SandersonOTT2521:430:523:5724
Tim StützleOTT2621:210:492:4344
Claude GirouxOTT2821:000:451:47210
Pierre-Olivier JosephPIT2520:560:501:4653
Thomas ChabotOTT2020:011:002:3215
Jakob ChychrunOTT2419:420:491:3306
Bryan RustPIT2519:040:461:2944
Travis HamonicOTT2618:570:441:3308
Brian DumoulinPIT2418:480:471:4533
Brady TkachukOTT2317:450:461:4744
Alex DeBrincatOTT1917:290:552:0943
Chad RuhwedelPIT2317:280:461:2423
Jason ZuckerPIT2117:220:501:1940
Drake BathersonOTT2016:110:491:4131
Erik BrannstromOTT2316:040:421:2815
Shane PintoOTT1816:000:531:3912
Mikael GranlundPIT2015:350:471:4201
Mark FriedmanPIT1915:100:481:3200
Ryan PoehlingPIT2012:480:381:0303
Austin WatsonOTT2012:210:371:1114
Derick BrassardOTT1312:190:571:3201
Danton HeinenPIT1512:040:481:2601
Dylan GambrellOTT1811:540:401:5014
Taylor FedunPIT1410:340:451:1310
Julien GauthierOTT1110:330:581:3201
Ridly GreigOTT1610:270:391:2124
Patrick BrownOTT128:180:421:0511
Jeff CarterPIT126:300:331:1111
Josh ArchibaldPIT126:220:321:0721
Drew O'ConnorPIT116:100:341:0721