Tue, Mar 21, 2023·UBS Arena, Elmont
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, New York Islanders 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 52% of the time.
39%
9%
9%
43%
NYI winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 21:26 | 0.08 | 41.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:46 | 0.16 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:32 | 0.19 | 79.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 19:38 | 0.13 | 60.9% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 19:29 | 0.17 | 38.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:15 | 0.07 | 79.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:33 | 0.00 | 79.3% | +14.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −3 | 2 | 17:40 | 0.27 | 54.2% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 17:31 | 0.42 | 41.4% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 16:23 | 0.59 | 79.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:57 | 0.13 | 83.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 14:37 | 0.14 | 23.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:31 | 0.23 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:14 | 0.00 | 25.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:11 | 0.13 | 49.1% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:16 | 0.04 | 74.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:35 | 0.13 | 36.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:52 | 0.00 | 51.4% | +15.8 |
| L | 28 | 22 | 6 | .786 | 2.48 | −3.5 | 59:34 |
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 22:05 | 0.17 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 21:58 | 0.00 | 16.3% | +14.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 21:14 | 0.00 | 65.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:10 | 0.02 | 23.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:33 | 0.00 | 59.4% | +18.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 18:58 | 0.46 | 58.0% | +3.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 18:57 | 0.00 | 13.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 5 | 18:36 | 0.46 | 84.5% | +0.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 18:30 | 0.00 | 65.0% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 16:24 | 0.41 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:59 | 0.06 | 76.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:34 | 0.02 | 13.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:38 | 0.27 | 50.0% | +18.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 13:30 | 0.47 | 63.1% | +3.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:20 | 0.14 | 67.8% | +21.6 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 2 | 12:59 | 0.17 | 58.7% | +29.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 11:06 | 0.14 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:46 | 0.00 | 2.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 2.88 | +0.9 | 59:43 |