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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 21, 2023·UBS Arena, Elmont

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, New York Islanders 7

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Final

Home

New York Islanders

7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 52% of the time.

NYI winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:55Shot by Bunting, saved by Sorokin
  3. P1 1:31Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Sorokin
  4. P1 2:05Shot by Dobson, saved by Samsonov
  5. P1 2:11Shot by Dobson, saved by Samsonov
  6. P1 5:10Shot by Dobson, saved by Samsonov
  7. P1 6:46Shot by Marner, saved by Sorokin
  8. P1 10:26Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Sorokin
  9. P1 11:01Goal by Lafferty (Liljegren, McMann)+16 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Parise, Palmieri, Pageau, Mayfield, Pelech · TOR McCabe, Nylander, Lafferty, Liljegren, McMann

  10. P1 11:13Shot by Horvat, saved by Samsonov
  11. P1 12:19Shot by Tavares, saved by Sorokin
  12. P1 12:21Shot by Tavares, saved by Sorokin
  13. P1 12:37Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Sorokin
  14. P1 13:35Shot by Dobson, saved by Samsonov
  15. P1 15:07Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Samsonov
  16. P1 16:37Shot by Lee, saved by Samsonov
  17. P1 16:41Shot by Lee, saved by Samsonov
  18. P1 16:56Shot by Horvat, saved by Samsonov
  19. P1 17:02Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Samsonov
  20. P1 19:35Romanov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NYI Parise, Fasching, Horvat, Pulock, Romanov · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Gustafsson, Bunting, Marner

  21. P1 19:52Matthews: Hooking (2 min)4v5

    On ice: NYI Parise, Pageau, Mayfield, Pelech · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  22. P1 0:00Period end4v4
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 0:28Goal by Parise (Mayfield, Pageau)4v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Parise, Pageau, Mayfield, Pelech · TOR Tavares, McCabe, Marner, Liljegren

  25. P2 2:37Shot by Matthews, saved by Sorokin
  26. P2 2:51Shot by Matthews, saved by Sorokin
  27. P2 4:04Shot by Bolduc, saved by Samsonov
  28. P2 4:48Lafferty: Tripping (2 min)6v5

    On ice: NYI Parise, Lee, Pageau, Horvat, Dobson, Bolduc · TOR Giordano, Holl, Nylander, Lafferty, McMann

  29. P2 5:26Shot by Kampf, saved by Sorokin5v4
  30. P2 8:01Shot by Matthews, saved by Sorokin
  31. P2 9:59Shot by Nylander, saved by Sorokin
  32. P2 10:46Shot by Acciari, saved by Sorokin
  33. P2 13:08Shot by Giordano, saved by Sorokin
  34. P2 13:20Shot by McCabe, saved by Sorokin
  35. P2 13:50Goal by Fasching, unassisted+22 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Parise, Fasching, Horvat, Dobson, Romanov · TOR Tavares, McCabe, Bunting, Liljegren, Kampf

  36. P2 14:38Shot by Cizikas, saved by Samsonov
  37. P2 15:37Shot by Pageau, saved by Samsonov
  38. P2 16:24Shot by Romanov, saved by Samsonov
  39. P2 16:57Shot by Bolduc, saved by Samsonov
  40. P2 17:26Goal by Clutterbuck (Pulock)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Clutterbuck, Cizikas, Pulock, Engvall, Romanov · TOR Rielly, Gustafsson, Acciari, Aston-Reese, Kampf

  41. P2 19:18Shot by Tavares, saved by Sorokin
  42. P2 19:57Shot by Cizikas, saved by Samsonov
  43. P2 0:00Period end
  44. P3 0:00Period start
  45. P3 3:29Goal by Marner (Matthews, Holl)+14 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Palmieri, Mayfield, Horvat, Engvall, Romanov · TOR Giordano, Holl, Marner, Matthews, Kampf

  46. P3 3:48Shot by Gustafsson, saved by Sorokin
  47. P3 4:13Goal by Clutterbuck, unassisted+15 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Pageau, Pelech, Pulock · TOR Jarnkrok, Rielly, Gustafsson, Marner, Matthews

  48. P3 4:40Shot by Tavares, saved by Sorokin
  49. P3 7:13Shot by Liljegren, saved by Sorokin
  50. P3 9:56Shot by Lee, saved by Samsonov
  51. P3 9:58Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Samsonov
  52. P3 10:00Goal by Holmstrom (Lee)+4 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Lee, Mayfield, Pelech, Horvat, Holmstrom · TOR Jarnkrok, McCabe, Marner, Matthews, Liljegren

  53. P3 10:57Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Sorokin
  54. P3 11:10Shot by Rielly, saved by Sorokin
  55. P3 12:29Shot by Liljegren, saved by Sorokin
  56. P3 13:56Goal by Dobson (Pageau)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Pageau, Pelech, Dobson · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Bunting, Marner, Matthews

  57. P3 16:01Shot by Nylander, saved by Sorokin
  58. P3 16:35Shot by Holmstrom, saved by Samsonov
  59. P3 16:40Martin: Fighting (5 min)

    On ice: NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Dobson, Bolduc · TOR Giordano, Holl, Acciari, Aston-Reese, Kampf

  60. P3 16:40Acciari: Fighting (5 min)4v5

    On ice: NYI Clutterbuck, Martin, Cizikas, Dobson, Bolduc · TOR Giordano, Holl, Acciari, Aston-Reese, Kampf

  61. P3 16:46Goal by Lee (Dobson, Clutterbuck)0 pts WP

    On ice: NYI Clutterbuck, Cizikas, Lee, Dobson, Bolduc · TOR Giordano, Holl, Lafferty, Aston-Reese, Kampf

  62. P3 17:52Shot by Horvat, saved by Samsonov
  63. P3 18:03Shot by Nylander, saved by Sorokin
  64. P3 18:19Shot by Bunting, saved by Sorokin
  65. P3 18:44Shot by Cizikas, saved by Samsonov
  66. P3 19:09Shot by Lee, saved by Samsonov
  67. P3 0:00Period end
  68. P3 0:00Final