Tue, Mar 21, 2023·UBS Arena, Elmont
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, New York Islanders 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 52% of the time.
39%
9%
9%
43%
NYI winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
NYI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Acciari–Aston-Reese–Kampf | Tavares–Bunting–Marner | Tavares–Nylander–Bunting | Jarnkrok–Kerfoot–Matthews | Nylander–Lafferty–McMann | Jarnkrok–Marner–Matthews | Kerfoot–Lafferty–McMann | Nylander–Marner–Matthews | Tavares–Nylander–Marner | Rielly–Gustafsson | McCabe–Liljegren | Giordano–Holl | Rielly–McCabe | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee–Horvat–Holmstrom | 2:090.00–0.02 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 1:580.00–0.15 | 0:590.27–0.00 | 1:380.02–0.06 | 0:420.00–0.19 | 3:440.29–0.07 | 3:110.56–0.35 | 2:150.00–0.00 | ||||
| Parise–Pageau–Fasching | 0:570.00–0.00 | 1:510.00–0.07 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:220.07–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.04 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 3:060.07–0.00 | 1:520.00–0.04 | 1:420.00–0.06 | ||||
| Clutterbuck–Martin–Cizikas | 0:540.01–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.04 | 0:510.00–0.13 | 1:010.01–0.10 | 1:060.00–0.13 | 2:310.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Palmieri–Cizikas–Engvall | 0:370.00–0.04 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:370.02–0.00 | 1:480.00–0.00 | 2:000.02–0.00 | 1:420.00–0.04 | |||||||
| Palmieri–Nelson–Engvall | 0:470.00–0.12 | 1:270.00–0.14 | 1:050.00–0.40 | 2:020.00–0.29 | 0:340.01–0.00 | ||||||||
| Palmieri–Lee–Horvat | 0:460.00–0.19 | 0:400.03–0.00 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.17 | 1:020.03–0.02 | ||||||||
| Clutterbuck–Martin–Horvat | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.12 | 0:530.00–0.10 | ||||||||||
| Cizikas–Lee–Holmstrom | 0:520.00–0.13 | ||||||||||||
| Palmieri–Pageau–Engvall | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Parise–Fasching–Horvat | 0:380.10–0.00 | 0:380.10–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Palmieri–Horvat–Engvall | 0:500.00–0.12 | 1:010.00–0.25 | |||||||||||
| Clutterbuck–Martin–Pageau | 0:350.07–0.08 | 0:370.07–0.09 | |||||||||||
| Pulock–Romanov | 2:370.11–0.00 | 4:230.02–0.22 | 3:050.10–0.34 | 0:400.00–0.14 | 0:510.02–0.18 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 4:340.21–0.71 | 5:280.04–0.67 | 4:280.00–0.05 | ||||
| Mayfield–Pelech | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 1:360.00–0.05 | 3:480.34–0.03 | 0:540.00–0.19 | 2:470.77–0.00 | 0:410.15–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.19 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 7:150.56–0.05 | 5:100.54–0.42 | 1:220.00–0.13 | |
| Dobson–Bolduc | 3:370.01–0.05 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 2:480.04–0.04 | 1:380.00–0.00 | 2:340.13–0.02 | 1:540.02–0.00 | 7:520.13–0.07 | ||||||
| Mayfield–Romanov | 1:170.00–0.12 | 0:330.00–0.10 | 0:580.14–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.10 | 0:490.00–0.25 | ||||||||
| Pelech–Pulock | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:440.07–0.03 | 0:540.00–0.13 | 1:010.07–0.03 | 1:290.00–0.13 | ||||||||
| Pelech–Romanov |
Every shift, one row per player.
NYITORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Bo HorvatNYI | 31 | 22:05 | 0:43 | 1:53 | 3 | 3 |
 Ryan PulockNYI | 30 | 21:58 | 0:44 | 1:15 | 2 | 3 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 26 | 21:26 | 0:49 | 1:35 | 3 | 2 |
 Adam PelechNYI | 30 | 21:14 | 0:42 | 2:08 | 1 | 6 |
 Alexander RomanovNYI | 28 | 21:10 | 0:45 | 1:54 | 1 | 2 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 26 | 20:46 | 0:48 | 1:22 | 5 | 1 |
 Scott MayfieldNYI | 28 | 20:33 | 0:44 | 1:36 | 1 | 6 |
 William NylanderTOR | 25 | 20:32 | 0:49 | 1:43 | 5 | 1 |
 Timothy LiljegrenTOR | 26 | 19:38 | 0:45 | 1:21 | 5 | 1 |
 Erik GustafssonTOR | 26 | 19:29 | 0:45 | 1:28 | 4 | 2 |
 Mark GiordanoTOR | 25 | 19:15 | 0:46 | 1:28 | 1 | 4 |
 Anders LeeNYI | 26 | 18:58 | 0:44 | 1:41 | 2 | 0 |
 Kyle PalmieriNYI | 25 | 18:57 | 0:45 | 1:14 | 3 | 1 |
 Noah DobsonNYI | 22 | 18:36 | 0:51 | 1:52 | 3 | 0 |
 Justin HollTOR | 24 | 18:33 | 0:46 | 1:34 | 0 | 4 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI | 31 | 18:30 | 0:36 | 1:18 | 1 | 6 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 22 | 17:40 | 0:48 | 1:12 | 6 | 2 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 21 | 17:31 | 0:50 | 1:50 | 5 | 1 |
 Casey CizikasNYI | 26 | 16:24 | 0:38 | 1:15 | 3 | 3 |
 John TavaresTOR | 21 | 16:23 | 0:47 | 1:18 | 4 | 1 |
 Samuel BolducNYI | 20 | 15:59 | 0:48 | 1:30 | 4 | 1 |
 Michael BuntingTOR | 19 | 15:57 | 0:50 | 1:20 | 3 | 1 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 20 | 14:37 | 0:44 | 1:27 | 5 | 1 |
 Pierre EngvallNYI | 22 | 14:34 | 0:40 | 1:07 | 2 | 1 |
 Zach PariseNYI | 24 | 13:38 | 0:34 | 0:59 | 0 | 5 |
 David KampfTOR | 21 | 13:31 | 0:39 | 1:29 | 0 | 7 |
 Simon HolmstromNYI | 19 | 13:30 | 0:43 | 1:23 | 1 | 0 |
 Hudson FaschingNYI | 21 | 13:20 | 0:38 | 1:08 | 1 | 1 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 17 | 13:14 | 0:47 | 1:18 | 2 | 2 |
 Sam LaffertyTOR | 17 | 13:11 | 0:47 | 1:12 | 2 | 2 |
 Cal ClutterbuckNYI | 22 | 12:59 | 0:35 | 1:07 | 4 | 4 |
 Noel AcciariTOR | 18 | 12:16 | 0:41 | 1:22 | 1 | 4 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseTOR | 19 | 11:35 | 0:37 | 1:05 | 0 | 4 |
 Matt MartinNYI | 17 | 11:06 | 0:39 | 1:17 | 3 | 2 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 15 | 10:52 | 0:43 | 0:59 | 2 | 1 |
 Brock NelsonNYI | 8 | 4:46 | 0:36 | 0:48 | 2 | 0 |