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Ice Lab

Sun, Mar 26, 2023·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Nashville Predators 2

Away

Toronto Maple Leafs

3

Final

Home

Nashville Predators

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 77% of the time.

NSH winsTOR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:56Shot by Barrie, saved by Woll
  3. P1 1:05Shot by Glass, saved by Woll
  4. P1 1:55Shot by Sherwood, saved by Woll
  5. P1 2:44Shot by McDonagh, saved by Woll
  6. P1 2:52Shot by McDonagh, saved by Woll
  7. P1 2:57Shot by Duchene, saved by Woll
  8. P1 2:59Shot by Barrie, saved by Woll
  9. P1 3:34Shot by Barrie, saved by Woll
  10. P1 4:50Shot by Evangelista, saved by Woll
  11. P1 5:29Shot by Giordano, saved by Lankinen
  12. P1 6:42Shot by Glass, saved by Woll
  13. P1 7:16Shot by Matthews, saved by Lankinen
  14. P1 7:18Shot by Marner, saved by Lankinen
  15. P1 12:39Shot by Acciari, saved by Lankinen
  16. P1 12:54Shot by Matthews, saved by Lankinen
  17. P1 14:46Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Lankinen
  18. P1 15:37Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Lankinen
  19. P1 16:02Shot by Gross, saved by Woll
  20. P1 16:07Shot by Gross, saved by Woll
  21. P1 17:18Trenin: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Sissons, Trenin, Fabbro, Smith · TOR Brodie, Jarnkrok, McCabe, Marner, Matthews

  22. P1 18:06Goal by Tavares (Marner, Matthews)4v5+16 pts WP

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Jankowski, Fabbro, Smith · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  23. P1 19:23Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Lankinen
  24. P1 19:28Shot by Brodie, saved by Lankinen
  25. P1 0:00Period end
  26. P2 0:00Period start
  27. P2 1:02Goal by Kerfoot (Tavares, Holl)+15 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Barrie, Glass, Gross, Tomasino · TOR Giordano, Tavares, Holl, Kerfoot, Nylander

  28. P2 1:43Holl: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Duchene, Barrie, Glass, Gross, Tomasino · TOR Giordano, Holl, Lafferty, Bunting, Acciari

  29. P2 2:15Shot by Marner, saved by Lankinen5v4
  30. P2 3:40Shot by Sherwood, saved by Woll5v4
  31. P2 4:52Shot by Matthews, saved by Lankinen
  32. P2 7:14Jankowski: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Jankowski, Lauzon, Trenin, Asplund, Foote · TOR McCabe, Nylander, Lafferty, Acciari, Matthews

  33. P2 10:32Shot by Simmonds, saved by Lankinen
  34. P2 10:49Shot by Aston-Reese, saved by Lankinen
  35. P2 10:49Simmonds: Interference goalkeeper (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Barrie, Novak, Sherwood, Gross, Evangelista · TOR Simmonds, Schenn, Rielly, Aston-Reese, Kampf

  36. P2 12:38Shot by Glass, saved by Woll5v4
  37. P2 12:46Shot by Evangelista, saved by Woll5v4
  38. P2 14:17Asplund: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Sissons, Lauzon, Trenin, Asplund, Foote · TOR Giordano, Jarnkrok, Kerfoot, Marner, Matthews

  39. P2 14:38Shot by Matthews, saved by Lankinen4v5
  40. P2 15:25Shot by Matthews, saved by Lankinen4v5
  41. P2 16:37Shot by Kampf, saved by Lankinen
  42. P2 16:56Shot by Barrie, saved by Woll
  43. P2 18:23Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Lankinen
  44. P2 18:55Shot by Nylander, saved by Lankinen
  45. P2 0:00Period end
  46. P3 0:00Period start
  47. P3 1:07Shot by Tavares, saved by Lankinen
  48. P3 1:10Shot by Holl, saved by Lankinen
  49. P3 2:12Tomasino: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Barrie, Glass, Gross, Tomasino, Afanasyev · TOR Schenn, Rielly, Lafferty, Bunting, Acciari

  50. P3 2:32Shot by Rielly, saved by Lankinen4v5
  51. P3 3:36Shot by Bunting, saved by Lankinen4v5
  52. P3 4:09Shot by Giordano, saved by Lankinen4v5
  53. P3 4:22Shot by Sissons, saved by Woll
  54. P3 4:22McCabe: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Barrie, Sissons, Fabbro, Tomasino, Smith · TOR Giordano, McCabe, Lafferty, Bunting, Acciari

  55. P3 4:47Shot by Evangelista, saved by Woll5v4
  56. P3 5:36Shot by Novak, saved by Woll5v4
  57. P3 8:43Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Lankinen
  58. P3 12:17Shot by Nylander, saved by Lankinen
  59. P3 12:27Tavares: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: NSH Barrie, Jankowski, Asplund, Sherwood, Gross · TOR Giordano, Tavares, Holl, Kerfoot, Nylander

  60. P3 12:37Goal by Glass (Barrie, Novak)5v4+12 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Barrie, Novak, Glass, Tomasino, Evangelista · TOR Brodie, Holl, Marner, Kampf

  61. P3 12:48Shot by McCabe, saved by Lankinen
  62. P3 14:16Foote: High sticking (2 min)5v6

    On ice: NSH Novak, Lauzon, Foote, Sherwood, Evangelista · TOR Schenn, Tavares, Rielly, Kerfoot, Nylander, Matthews

  63. P3 14:58Shot by Nylander, saved by Lankinen4v5
  64. P3 15:08Shot by Rielly, saved by Lankinen4v5
  65. P3 15:09Goal by Tavares (Rielly, Matthews)4v5+10 pts WP

    On ice: NSH McDonagh, Sissons, Fabbro, Smith · TOR Tavares, Rielly, Nylander, Marner, Matthews

  66. P3 15:29Shot by Sherwood, saved by Woll
  67. P3 16:03Shot by Kerfoot, saved by Lankinen
  68. P3 17:53Shot by Holl, saved by Lankinen
  69. P3 18:14Shot by Sherwood, saved by Woll6v5
  70. P3 18:18Goal by Barrie (Tomasino)6v5+6 pts WP

    On ice: NSH Barrie, Novak, Sherwood, Gross, Tomasino, Evangelista · TOR Giordano, Holl, Kerfoot, Acciari, Kampf

  71. P3 18:30Shot by McCabe, saved by Lankinen
  72. P3 19:08Shot by Barrie, saved by Woll6v5
  73. P3 19:59Shot by Evangelista, saved by Woll6v5
  74. P3 0:00Period end6v5
  75. P3 0:00Final