Sun, Mar 26, 2023·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Nashville Predators 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 77% of the time.
16%
70%
NSH winsTOR wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Jarnkrok–Marner–Matthews | Tavares–Kerfoot–Nylander | Lafferty–Bunting–Acciari | Simmonds–Aston-Reese–Kampf | Lafferty–Aston-Reese–Kampf | Kerfoot–Nylander–Matthews | Acciari–Aston-Reese–Kampf | Brodie–McCabe | Giordano–Holl | Schenn–Rielly | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novak–Sherwood–Evangelista | 3:380.01–0.33 | 2:540.02–0.13 | 2:320.03–0.14 | 3:380.04–0.31 | 3:480.13–0.25 | 2:400.02–0.05 | ||||
| Sissons–Trenin–Smith | 7:110.01–0.40 | 4:520.00–0.40 | 1:230.00–0.00 | 1:220.01–0.01 | ||||||
| Duchene–Glass–Tomasino | 0:530.09–0.08 | 1:280.00–0.00 | 2:060.23–0.42 | 0:400.01–0.00 | 2:170.00–0.42 | 2:080.34–0.08 | 1:360.03–0.00 | |||
| Jankowski–Asplund–Afanasyev | 1:010.00–0.00 | 1:240.00–0.12 | 0:460.00–0.00 | 1:400.04–0.00 | 1:390.00–0.12 | 1:400.00–0.00 | ||||
| Glass–Tomasino–Afanasyev | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:440.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Jankowski–Asplund–Sherwood | 0:540.00–0.13 | 0:320.00–0.07 | 0:450.00–0.13 | |||||||
| Jankowski–Sissons–Glass | 0:440.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Barrie–Gross | 4:070.09–0.53 | 2:560.00–0.12 | 4:040.26–0.49 | 1:060.09–0.00 | 3:420.03–0.53 | 6:370.47–0.56 | 2:390.01–0.05 | |||
| McDonagh–Fabbro | 8:250.01–0.51 | 1:290.00–0.00 | 5:420.04–0.40 | 1:380.00–0.00 | 3:350.06–0.12 | |||||
| Lauzon–Foote | 0:540.00–0.07 | 2:250.03–0.02 | 3:480.04–0.13 | 1:340.00–0.07 | 4:480.01–0.27 | 2:330.03–0.02 | 2:550.02–0.00 | |||
| Lauzon–Gross | 0:530.00–0.04 | |||||||||
| Fabbro–Foote | 0:440.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
NSHTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 TJ BrodieTOR | 25 | 23:24 | 0:56 | 1:42 | 1 | 6 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 24 | 22:28 | 0:56 | 1:59 | 5 | 4 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 24 | 22:16 | 0:56 | 1:42 | 1 | 1 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 21 | 21:58 | 1:03 | 2:08 | 2 | 0 |
 Ryan McDonaghNSH | 22 | 21:33 | 0:59 | 1:45 | 1 | 5 |
 Dante FabbroNSH | 23 | 20:40 | 0:54 | 1:45 | 1 | 5 |
 Mark GiordanoTOR | 23 | 20:35 | 0:54 | 2:04 | 0 | 3 |
 Tyson BarrieNSH | 20 | 20:30 | 1:02 | 2:37 | 2 | 0 |
 Luke EvangelistaNSH | 17 | 19:11 | 1:08 | 2:35 | 5 | 0 |
 Jordan GrossNSH | 21 | 19:06 | 0:55 | 1:47 | 2 | 0 |
 Tommy NovakNSH | 18 | 18:28 | 1:02 | 2:32 | 5 | 0 |
 Colton SissonsNSH | 23 | 18:05 | 0:47 | 1:29 | 0 | 4 |
 Cody GlassNSH | 18 | 18:03 | 1:00 | 2:04 | 6 | 0 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 20 | 18:03 | 0:54 | 1:49 | 4 | 2 |
 Kiefer SherwoodNSH | 19 | 17:57 | 0:57 | 2:35 | 2 | 1 |
 William NylanderTOR | 20 | 17:51 | 0:54 | 1:38 | 6 | 2 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 23 | 17:11 | 0:45 | 1:34 | 1 | 0 |
 Philip TomasinoNSH | 18 | 16:36 | 0:55 | 2:17 | 4 | 0 |
 Cole SmithNSH | 19 | 16:18 | 0:51 | 1:23 | 0 | 5 |
 Cal FooteNSH | 19 | 16:15 | 0:51 | 2:00 | 0 | 1 |
 Jeremy LauzonNSH | 20 | 16:13 | 0:49 | 1:09 | 0 | 1 |
 John TavaresTOR | 20 | 16:02 | 0:48 | 1:31 | 7 | 2 |
 Yakov TreninNSH | 20 | 15:51 | 0:48 | 1:30 | 0 | 1 |
 Justin HollTOR | 22 | 15:42 | 0:43 | 1:18 | 0 | 5 |
 Alexander KerfootTOR | 19 | 14:16 | 0:45 | 1:08 | 3 | 1 |
 Noel AcciariTOR | 17 | 13:38 | 0:48 | 1:28 | 0 | 1 |
 David KampfTOR | 18 | 13:20 | 0:44 | 1:11 | 0 | 5 |
 Sam LaffertyTOR | 16 | 13:12 | 0:50 | 1:42 | 0 | 2 |
 Luke SchennTOR | 18 | 13:10 | 0:44 | 1:17 | 1 | 1 |
 Michael BuntingTOR | 14 | 12:25 | 0:53 | 1:43 | 0 | 1 |
 Mark JankowskiNSH | 15 | 12:02 | 0:48 | 1:28 | 1 | 0 |
 Egor AfanasyevNSH | 14 | 10:53 | 0:47 | 1:13 | 1 | 0 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseTOR | 15 | 10:35 | 0:42 | 1:05 | 0 | 2 |
 Rasmus AsplundNSH | 14 | 8:02 | 0:34 | 1:11 | 1 | 1 |
 Matt DucheneNSH | 9 | 7:52 | 0:52 | 1:47 | 3 | 0 |
 Wayne SimmondsTOR | 11 | 7:49 | 0:43 | 1:06 | 0 | 0 |