Sun, Mar 26, 2023·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Nashville Predators 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 77% of the time.
16%
70%
NSH winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:24 | 0.14 | 93.1% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:28 | 0.29 | 89.9% | +16.3 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:16 | 0.01 | 86.1% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 21:58 | 0.54 | 97.0% | +26.5 |
 Mark GiordanoD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:35 | 0.09 | 59.0% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:03 | 0.15 | 60.7% | +10.2 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:51 | 0.38 | 84.3% | 0.0 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:11 | 0.21 | 99.0% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 16:02 | 0.61 | 69.7% | +41.6 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:42 | 0.14 | 60.8% | +15.1 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:16 | 0.18 | 78.5% | +15.1 |
 Noel AcciariC · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:38 | 0.21 | 67.2% | 0.0 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:20 | 0.07 | 69.6% | 0.0 |
 Sam LaffertyC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:12 | 0.00 | 42.8% | 0.0 |
 Luke SchennD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:10 | 0.00 | 68.8% | 0.0 |
 Michael BuntingLW · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:25 | 0.16 | 60.0% | 0.0 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10:35 | 0.52 | 67.8% | 0.0 |
 Wayne SimmondsRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:49 | 0.03 | 61.3% | 0.0 |
 Joseph Woll#60 | W | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 2.10 | +0.1 | 59:55 |
Nashville Predators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:33 | 0.04 | 12.5% | 0.0 |
 Dante FabbroD · #57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:40 | 0.01 | 31.7% | 0.0 |
 Tyson BarrieD · #22 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 20:30 | 0.33 | 32.8% | +17.9 |
 Luke EvangelistaRW · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 19:11 | 0.32 | 22.4% | 0.0 |
 Jordan GrossD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:06 | 0.07 | 30.2% | 0.0 |
 Tommy NovakC · #82 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:28 | 0.18 | 22.5% | +12.0 |
 Colton SissonsC · #10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:05 | 0.14 | 16.0% | 0.0 |
 Cody GlassC · #8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 18:03 | 0.52 | 42.2% | +12.0 |
 Kiefer SherwoodLW · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 17:57 | 0.35 | 15.8% | 0.0 |
 Philip TomasinoRW · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:36 | 0.03 | 43.2% | +5.9 |
 Cole SmithRW · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:18 | 0.00 | 22.5% | 0.0 |
 Cal FooteD · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:15 | 0.00 | 16.2% | 0.0 |
 Jeremy LauzonD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:13 | 0.02 | 15.3% | 0.0 |
 Yakov TreninC · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:51 | 0.00 | 1.0% | 0.0 |
 Mark JankowskiLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:02 | 0.00 | 24.4% | 0.0 |
 Egor AfanasyevLW · #70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:53 | 0.06 | 21.4% | 0.0 |
 Rasmus AsplundC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:02 | 0.00 | 16.9% | 0.0 |
 Matt DucheneC · #95 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:52 | 0.05 | 43.6% | 0.0 |
 Kevin Lankinen#32 | L | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 3.72 | +0.7 | 58:44 |