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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 27, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Montréal Canadiens 4, Buffalo Sabres 3 (SO)

Away

Montréal Canadiens

4

Final

Shootout

Home

Buffalo Sabres

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 86% of the time.

BUF winsMTL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:39Shot by Harvey-Pinard, saved by Comrie
  3. P1 1:20Shot by Harris, saved by Comrie
  4. P1 1:22Goal by Harris (Drouin, Matheson)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Quinn, Peterka · MTL Drouin, Gurianov, Kovacevic, Harris, Dach

  5. P1 3:49Goal by Rousek (Jost, Power)+13 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Olofsson, Jost, Lyubushkin, Rousek, Power · MTL Belzile, Matheson, Tierney, Ylonen, Barron

  6. P1 4:04Shot by Suzuki, saved by Comrie
  7. P1 5:23Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Allen
  8. P1 6:23Gallagher: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Krebs · MTL Savard, Gallagher, Evans, Ylonen, Barron

  9. P1 6:44Shot by Tuch, saved by Allen5v4
  10. P1 8:08Shot by Quinn, saved by Allen5v4
  11. P1 8:19Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Allen5v4
  12. P1 11:20Shot by Ylonen, saved by Comrie
  13. P1 12:13Shot by Power, saved by Allen
  14. P1 12:55Shot by Tuch, saved by Allen
  15. P1 15:19Shot by Girgensons, saved by Allen
  16. P1 15:25Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Allen
  17. P1 15:27Shot by Skinner, saved by Allen
  18. P1 16:07Shot by Matheson, saved by Comrie
  19. P1 17:38Edmundson: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Stillman, Bryson, Krebs · MTL Gallagher, Edmundson, Evans, Ylonen, Barron

  20. P1 18:19Shot by Tuch, saved by Allen5v4
  21. P1 19:19Shot by Peterka, saved by Allen5v4
  22. P1 19:31Shot by Cozens, saved by Allen5v4
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:56Shot by Tuch, saved by Allen6v5
  26. P2 0:57Drouin: Hooking (2 min)6v5

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Power · MTL Savard, Matheson, Gurianov, Suzuki, Dach

  27. P2 1:04Skinner: High sticking (2 min)5v4

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Olofsson, Mittelstadt, Power · MTL Edmundson, Suzuki, Kovacevic, Harvey-Pinard

  28. P2 1:26Shot by Savard, saved by Comrie4v4
  29. P2 2:46Shot by Kovacevic, saved by Comrie4v4
  30. P2 2:59Shot by Edmundson, saved by Comrie4v5
  31. P2 3:14Shot by Evans, saved by Comrie
  32. P2 3:50Shot by Krebs, saved by Allen
  33. P2 4:28Goal by Belzile (Savard)+20 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Olofsson, Jost, Bryson, Rousek, Power · MTL Savard, Belzile, Tierney, Pezzetta, Kovacevic

  34. P2 4:47Hoffman: Cross checking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Mittelstadt, Lyubushkin, Power · MTL Hoffman, Savard, Suzuki, Harris, Harvey-Pinard

  35. P2 5:49Goal by Peterka (Tuch, Mittelstadt)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Peterka · MTL Edmundson, Evans, Kovacevic, Dach

  36. P2 6:02Shot by Power, saved by Allen
  37. P2 6:14Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Allen
  38. P2 7:07Shot by Gallagher, saved by Comrie
  39. P2 7:10Shot by Gallagher, saved by Comrie
  40. P2 7:27Shot by Gallagher, saved by Comrie
  41. P2 7:28Shot by Ylonen, saved by Comrie
  42. P2 8:31Goal by Stillman (Olofsson, Rousek)+21 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Olofsson, Jost, Stillman, Bryson, Rousek · MTL Belzile, Evans, Pezzetta, Kovacevic, Harris

  43. P2 10:00Shot by Barron, saved by Comrie
  44. P2 10:04Shot by Hoffman, saved by Comrie
  45. P2 11:01Shot by Girgensons, saved by Allen
  46. P2 13:47Shot by Olofsson, saved by Allen
  47. P2 18:10Shot by Hoffman, saved by Comrie
  48. P2 18:27Shot by Hoffman, saved by Comrie
  49. P2 18:27Shot by Hoffman, saved by Comrie
  50. P2 18:53Okposo: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jokiharju, Dahlin, Krebs · MTL Savard, Matheson, Drouin, Gurianov, Dach

  51. P2 19:33Shot by Matheson, saved by Comrie4v5
  52. P2 19:37Shot by Dach, saved by Comrie4v5
  53. P2 19:37Shot by Harvey-Pinard, saved by Comrie4v5
  54. P2 19:38Shot by Harvey-Pinard, saved by Comrie4v5
  55. P2 19:55Shot by Tuch, saved by Allen4v5
  56. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 0:33Shot by Matheson, saved by Comrie4v5
  59. P3 1:12Shot by Belzile, saved by Comrie
  60. P3 1:17Shot by Gurianov, saved by Comrie
  61. P3 1:37Shot by Gurianov, saved by Comrie
  62. P3 2:28Shot by Olofsson, saved by Allen
  63. P3 2:50Shot by Evans, saved by Comrie
  64. P3 4:30Shot by Savard, saved by Comrie
  65. P3 5:11Shot by Bryson, saved by Allen
  66. P3 7:06Shot by Belzile, saved by Comrie
  67. P3 7:58Shot by Tuch, saved by Allen
  68. P3 8:17Shot by Skinner, saved by Allen
  69. P3 8:35Goal by Gallagher (Evans, Ylonen)+27 pts WP

    On ice: BUF Jokiharju, Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka · MTL Gallagher, Evans, Kovacevic, Harris, Ylonen

  70. P3 10:48Shot by Matheson, saved by Comrie
  71. P3 15:15Shot by Dahlin, saved by Allen
  72. P3 15:51Shot by Lyubushkin, saved by Allen
  73. P3 16:15Shot by Suzuki, saved by Comrie
  74. P3 17:40Shot by Evans, saved by Comrie
  75. P3 18:23Shot by Girgensons, saved by Allen
  76. P3 18:24Shot by Okposo, saved by Allen
  77. P3 18:39Shot by Drouin, saved by Comrie
  78. P3 18:46Shot by Drouin, saved by Comrie
  79. P3 19:54Shot by Dahlin, saved by Allen
  80. P3 0:00Period end
  81. OT 0:00Period start
  82. OT 1:14Shot by Cozens, saved by Allen3v3
  83. OT 2:08Shot by Quinn, saved by Allen3v3
  84. OT 2:18Shot by Dach, saved by Comrie3v3
  85. OT 2:20Krebs: Cross checking (2 min)3v3

    On ice: BUF Krebs, Quinn, Power · MTL Hoffman, Matheson, Dach

  86. OT 2:33Shot by Dach, saved by Comrie3v4
  87. OT 3:07Shot by Matheson, saved by Comrie3v4
  88. OT 3:09Shot by Harvey-Pinard, saved by Comrie3v4
  89. OT 5:00Period endother
  90. SO Period start
  91. SO Shot by Olofsson, saved by Allenother
  92. SO Shot by Peterka, saved by Allenother
  93. SO Shot by Drouin, saved by Comrieother
  94. SO Shot by Tuch, saved by Allenother
  95. SO Shot by Matheson, saved by Comrieother
  96. SO Goal by Quinn, unassistedother
  97. SO Goal by Ylonen, unassistedother
  98. SO Shot by Kovacevic, saved by Comrieother
  99. SO Shot by Cozens, saved by Allenother
  100. SO Goal by Pezzetta, unassistedother
  101. SO Period endother
  102. SO Final