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Ice Lab

Mon, Mar 27, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Montréal Canadiens 4, Buffalo Sabres 3 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 86% of the time.

BUF winsMTL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MTL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Hoffman–Suzuki–Harvey-PinardDrouin–Gurianov–DachGallagher–Evans–YlonenBelzile–Tierney–PezzettaSavard–MathesonKovacevic–HarrisEdmundson–BarronEdmundson–KovacevicSavard–EdmundsonMatheson–Barron
Skinner–Tuch–Mittelstadt3:150.00–1.043:590.27–0.002:060.12–0.001:220.00–0.015:420.26–0.844:070.16–0.000:570.00–0.22
Okposo–Girgensons–Krebs3:140.29–0.052:510.08–0.051:470.00–0.002:050.16–0.033:360.47–0.082:470.02–0.052:310.04–0.000:560.05–0.00
Cozens–Quinn–Peterka2:560.00–0.221:160.02–0.072:510.00–0.175:040.02–0.321:170.00–0.122:570.02–0.030:440.00–0.20
Olofsson–Jost–Rousek1:350.00–0.001:590.00–0.081:240.02–0.190:580.00–0.033:220.10–0.193:000.02–0.090:520.17–0.00
Girgensons–Krebs–Quinn0:550.00–0.510:590.00–0.51
Lyubushkin–Power4:490.00–0.714:070.06–0.004:100.12–0.532:220.04–0.003:390.00–0.706:220.16–0.514:560.07–0.031:280.04–0.140:590.17–0.00
Jokiharju–Dahlin5:370.01–0.603:310.23–0.332:380.00–0.171:520.00–0.0410:360.24–0.562:330.00–0.292:550.00–0.221:110.00–0.20
Stillman–Bryson0:310.00–0.002:500.00–0.082:330.02–0.110:450.09–0.000:560.09–0.024:110.10–0.181:500.00–0.00
Dahlin–Power0:310.02–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndQuinn FCozens FPeterka FMittelstadt FSkinner FTuch FOkposo FKrebs FGirgensons FJost FOlofsson FRousek FJokiharju DDahlin DPower DLyubushkin DStillman DBryson DComrie GSuzuki FHarvey-Pinard FHoffman FGurianov FDach FDrouin FGallagher FEvans FYlonen FBelzile FTierney FPezzetta FMatheson DSavard DHarris DKovacevic DEdmundson DBarron DAllen G
BUFMTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus DahlinBUF3229:580:562:1055
Mike MathesonMTL2629:051:072:2527
Owen PowerBUF3027:390:551:5655
David SavardMTL2724:480:551:4219
Ilya LyubushkinBUF2723:500:531:5327
Kirby DachMTL2122:291:043:2026
Henri JokiharjuBUF2822:220:481:5324
Nick SuzukiMTL2322:090:581:5463
Alex TuchBUF2421:430:541:4472
Johnathan KovacevicMTL2319:410:511:5826
Casey MittelstadtBUF2219:370:541:3981
Rafael Harvey-PinardMTL2219:220:531:3053
Jordan HarrisMTL2018:530:571:4624
Jeff SkinnerBUF2218:280:501:4171
Mike HoffmanMTL2118:160:522:0253
Jack QuinnBUF2018:040:542:0223
Jonathan DrouinMTL2217:240:471:3145
Joel EdmundsonMTL2217:000:461:2935
Dylan CozensBUF2016:580:511:1724
Peyton KrebsBUF2216:530:461:2914
Jake EvansMTL2016:440:501:4306
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF2316:340:431:2035
Denis GurianovMTL1816:050:541:4723
Jesse YlonenMTL1515:061:001:5202
JJ PeterkaBUF1814:320:481:2822
Kyle OkposoBUF2114:090:401:2224
Justin BarronMTL1713:500:491:2930
Brendan GallagherMTL1713:190:471:1711
Victor OlofssonBUF1913:000:411:2781
Alex BelzileMTL1410:400:461:4613
Tyson JostBUF1310:010:461:2951
Jacob BrysonBUF149:350:411:0820
Lukas RousekBUF139:030:421:2441
Riley StillmanBUF138:590:410:4930
Chris TierneyMTL138:490:411:0604
Michael PezzettaMTL96:250:431:0502