Mon, Mar 27, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Montréal Canadiens 4, Buffalo Sabres 3 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 86% of the time.
10%
81%
BUF winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 29:05 | 0.32 | 57.9% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 24:48 | 0.17 | 64.9% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 22:29 | 0.84 | 57.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:09 | 0.07 | 78.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 19:41 | 0.12 | 77.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:22 | 0.81 | 79.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:53 | 0.20 | 79.3% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:16 | 0.82 | 78.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:24 | 0.29 | 60.8% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:00 | 0.03 | 82.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16:44 | 0.13 | 75.1% | +27.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:05 | 0.06 | 58.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:06 | 0.30 | 70.6% | +27.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:50 | 0.09 | 56.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 13:19 | 0.46 | 85.5% | +27.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 10:40 | 0.22 | 50.0% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:49 | 0.00 | 18.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:25 | 0.00 | 21.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 2.26 | −0.7 | 65:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 29:58 | 0.04 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27:39 | 0.14 | 28.3% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 23:50 | 0.05 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:22 | 0.06 | 16.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 21:43 | 0.40 | 25.5% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:37 | 0.15 | 25.3% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:28 | 0.11 | 28.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:04 | 0.24 | 5.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:58 | 0.23 | 8.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:53 | 0.09 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:34 | 0.18 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 14:32 | 0.08 | 4.4% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:09 | 0.17 | 82.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:00 | 0.04 | 48.2% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 10:01 | 0.03 | 49.1% | +13.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:35 | 0.02 | 45.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 9:03 | 0.14 | 48.2% | +33.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:59 | 0.10 | 52.1% | +20.5 |
| O | 41 | 38 | 3 | .927 | 4.92 | +1.9 | 64:42 |