Tue, Mar 28, 2023·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Pittsburgh Penguins 4, Detroit Red Wings 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 62% of the time.
54%
31%
DET winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 26:57 | 0.17 | 51.2% | +25.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24:26 | 0.11 | 59.8% | +24.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:31 | 0.07 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 22:45 | 0.43 | 18.8% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:34 | 0.33 | 33.2% | +24.7 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 6 | 21:04 | 0.51 | 68.8% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −3 | 1 | 20:57 | 0.21 | 45.4% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:31 | 0.07 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 16:05 | 0.42 | 53.5% | +7.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:31 | 0.01 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 13:55 | 0.17 | 60.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:33 | 0.11 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11:38 | 0.82 | 57.4% | +24.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:17 | 0.00 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:24 | 0.03 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 9:03 | 0.17 | 87.5% | +25.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:20 | 0.12 | 88.6% | +25.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:29 | 0.00 | 16.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 18 | 6 | .750 | 2.70 | −3.3 | 57:52 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 0 | 26:42 | 0.10 | 59.5% | +48.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 1 | 24:14 | 0.60 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 21:35 | 0.39 | 56.8% | +48.2 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 20:20 | 1.71 | 46.5% | +33.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:43 | 0.02 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 17:50 | 0.27 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 17:49 | 0.00 | 42.6% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 17:02 | 0.04 | 33.5% | +16.6 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 16:36 | 0.29 | 45.8% | +69.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:58 | 0.00 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 15:35 | 0.27 | 48.0% | +7.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:41 | 0.06 | 40.9% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:36 | 0.00 | 50.7% | +7.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:31 | 0.00 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 10:52 | 0.44 | 53.7% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 10:42 | 0.07 | 22.3% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:55 | 0.08 | 90.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:57 | 0.09 | 56.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 39 | 35 | 4 | .897 | 3.75 | −0.2 | 60:00 |