Wed, Mar 29, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Florida Panthers 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 56% of the time.
48%
8%
37%
TOR winsFLA wins
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 25:16 | 0.03 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 24:23 | 0.25 | 23.0% | +93.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 24:15 | 0.28 | 46.0% | +41.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24:06 | 0.37 | 24.5% | +52.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 20:59 | 0.47 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 20:21 | 0.32 | 69.2% | +93.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:24 | 0.14 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:10 | 0.36 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:35 | 0.17 | 46.9% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:23 | 0.02 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:14 | 0.67 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:35 | 0.00 | 38.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:03 | 0.45 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:43 | 0.22 | 52.3% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:06 | 0.00 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:02 | 0.03 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 4:17 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 3:29 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 40 | 38 | 2 | .950 | 3.73 | +1.7 | 60:23 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 24:09 | 0.46 | 53.3% | +26.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 23:26 | 0.49 | 68.7% | +26.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:44 | 0.09 | 57.7% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:37 | 0.24 | 43.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 20:34 | 0.25 | 54.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:54 | 0.06 | 57.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19:26 | 0.14 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:19 | 0.06 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:41 | 0.63 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:58 | 0.20 | 80.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:39 | 0.02 | 30.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 13:50 | 0.34 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:44 | 0.20 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:06 | 0.02 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:07 | 0.23 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 8:27 | 0.65 | 76.9% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:56 | 0.00 | 54.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 6:14 | 0.00 | 72.4% | +19.9 |
| O | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 3.78 | +0.8 | 61:33 |