Fri, Mar 31, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
New York Rangers 2, Buffalo Sabres 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, New York Rangers win this game 60% of the time.
32%
8%
8%
52%
BUF winsNYR wins
New York Rangers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 23:20 | 0.33 | 64.4% | +27.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 23:10 | 0.14 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:45 | 0.04 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:03 | 0.02 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 17:22 | 0.21 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:06 | 0.40 | 60.3% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:00 | 0.01 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:43 | 0.01 | 60.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:33 | 0.00 | 22.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:28 | 0.15 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:02 | 0.08 | 57.7% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:59 | 0.20 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:12 | 0.40 | 63.0% | +14.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:32 | 0.14 | 31.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 13:45 | 0.04 | 18.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:01 | 0.39 | 84.4% | +27.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 12:54 | 0.47 | 81.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 12:35 | 0.32 | 84.8% | +27.8 |
| O | 34 | 31 | 3 | .912 | 2.82 | −0.2 | 61:50 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27:01 | 0.04 | 47.6% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 25:04 | 0.00 | 52.0% | +48.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:58 | 0.03 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:13 | 0.01 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:18 | 0.31 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 17:07 | 0.03 | 45.9% | +62.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:52 | 0.50 | 59.2% | +48.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:47 | 0.09 | 52.6% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:45 | 0.04 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 15:43 | 0.47 | 52.3% | +18.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15:20 | 0.52 | 38.7% | +18.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:38 | 0.11 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14:33 | 0.16 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:49 | 0.02 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:32 | 0.04 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:28 | 0.01 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11:45 | 0.44 | 54.1% | +14.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:37 | 0.00 | 36.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 3.37 | +1.4 | 61:50 |