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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 1, 2023·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Buffalo Sabres 6, Philadelphia Flyers 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 54% of the time.

PHI winsBUF wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:45Shot by Tuch, saved by Sandstrom
  3. P1 2:01Shot by Skinner, saved by Sandstrom
  4. P1 3:28Shot by Okposo, saved by Sandstrom
  5. P1 4:23Shot by Hayes, saved by Luukkonen
  6. P1 4:27Shot by Seeler, saved by Luukkonen
  7. P1 5:07Shot by Lemieux, saved by Luukkonen
  8. P1 5:32Shot by Sanheim, saved by Luukkonen
  9. P1 6:48Shot by Girgensons, saved by Sandstrom
  10. P1 7:16Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Luukkonen
  11. P1 7:55Shot by Konecny, saved by Luukkonen
  12. P1 8:03Shot by Lemieux, saved by Luukkonen
  13. P1 9:09Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Luukkonen
  14. P1 9:11Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Luukkonen
  15. P1 16:35Goal by Frost (Lemieux, Allison)+19 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Braun, Deslauriers, Seeler, Lemieux, Frost · BUF Jokiharju, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power

  16. P1 17:14Shot by Frost, saved by Luukkonen
  17. P1 18:51Shot by Hayes, saved by Luukkonen
  18. P1 19:32Shot by Seeler, saved by Luukkonen
  19. P1 19:36Shot by Seeler, saved by Luukkonen
  20. P1 19:50Goal by Okposo (Krebs, Samuelsson)+19 pts WP

    On ice: PHI van Riemsdyk, Seeler, DeAngelo, Allison, Frost · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs

  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:44Shot by Konecny, saved by Luukkonen
  24. P2 1:25Goal by Tuch (Mittelstadt)+19 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Hayes, Lemieux, Konecny, Provorov, York · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Stillman, Mittelstadt, Power

  25. P2 2:26Shot by Greenway, saved by Sandstrom
  26. P2 2:29Shot by Dahlin, saved by Sandstrom
  27. P2 2:38Shot by Jost, saved by Sandstrom
  28. P2 2:40Goal by Greenway (Jost, Dahlin)+15 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Braun, van Riemsdyk, Hayes, DeAngelo, Konecny · BUF Olofsson, Greenway, Jost, Samuelsson, Dahlin

  29. P2 3:16Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Luukkonen
  30. P2 3:34Shot by Quinn, saved by Sandstrom
  31. P2 3:45Shot by Skinner, saved by Sandstrom
  32. P2 3:46Goal by Skinner (Mittelstadt, Power)+9 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Ristolainen, Provorov, Tippett, Frost, Farabee · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power

  33. P2 3:58Shot by Tippett, saved by Luukkonen
  34. P2 5:48Shot by Hayes, saved by Luukkonen
  35. P2 6:04Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Luukkonen
  36. P2 6:11Shot by Peterka, saved by Sandstrom
  37. P2 6:13Shot by Cozens, saved by Sandstrom
  38. P2 7:32Shot by Lemieux, saved by Luukkonen
  39. P2 7:35Shot by Braun, saved by Luukkonen
  40. P2 9:36Shot by Allison, saved by Luukkonen
  41. P2 9:45Shot by DeAngelo, saved by Luukkonen
  42. P2 9:55Shot by Cozens, saved by Sandstrom
  43. P2 10:30Shot by Tippett, saved by Luukkonen
  44. P2 11:13Shot by Sanheim, saved by Luukkonen
  45. P2 11:19Cates: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Ristolainen, Sanheim, Lemieux, Konecny, Cates · BUF Girgensons, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Krebs, Quinn

  46. P2 12:23Shot by Skinner, saved by Sandstrom4v5
  47. P2 13:18Shot by Cozens, saved by Sandstrom4v5
  48. P2 13:26Shot by Konecny, saved by Luukkonen
  49. P2 13:47Shot by Hayes, saved by Luukkonen
  50. P2 13:54Shot by Provorov, saved by Luukkonen
  51. P2 14:47Shot by Skinner, saved by Sandstrom
  52. P2 14:56Shot by Hayes, saved by Luukkonen
  53. P2 16:02Goal by Tuch (Mittelstadt, Skinner)+3 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Laughton, Ristolainen, Sanheim, Konecny, Cates · BUF Skinner, Tuch, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin

  54. P2 16:24Goal by Frost (Farabee, Sanheim)+3 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Ristolainen, Sanheim, Tippett, Frost, Farabee · BUF Jokiharju, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka, Power

  55. P2 17:02Shot by Girgensons, saved by Sandstrom
  56. P2 18:39Shot by Frost, saved by Luukkonen
  57. P2 19:41Shot by Okposo, saved by Sandstrom
  58. P2 0:00Period end
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 1:34Shot by Seeler, saved by Luukkonen
  61. P3 2:20Provorov: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Braun, van Riemsdyk, Hayes, Lemieux, Provorov · BUF Olofsson, Greenway, Jost, Samuelsson, Dahlin

  62. P3 5:11Goal by Konecny (Cates)+5 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Braun, Konecny, Provorov, Allison, Cates · BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jokiharju, Samuelsson, Krebs

  63. P3 5:58Shot by Konecny, saved by Luukkonen
  64. P3 6:00Dahlin: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Laughton, DeAngelo, Konecny, Allison · BUF Tuch, Greenway, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Lyubushkin

  65. P3 6:50Shot by Tippett, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  66. P3 7:44Shot by York, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  67. P3 8:48Shot by Cates, saved by Luukkonen
  68. P3 9:35Shot by Skinner, saved by Sandstrom
  69. P3 9:52Shot by van Riemsdyk, saved by Luukkonen
  70. P3 10:06Shot by Tuch, saved by Sandstrom
  71. P3 13:21Shot by Laughton, saved by Luukkonen
  72. P3 13:24Shot by Jokiharju, saved by Sandstrom
  73. P3 14:39Shot by Frost, saved by Luukkonen
  74. P3 14:40Dahlin: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: PHI DeAngelo, Tippett, Frost, Farabee, York · BUF Samuelsson, Dahlin, Cozens, Quinn, Peterka

  75. P3 14:44Shot by Cates, saved by Luukkonen5v4
  76. P3 15:46Shot by Tuch, saved by Sandstrom5v4
  77. P3 16:33Goal by Tuch (Quinn)5v4+1 pts WP

    On ice: PHI van Riemsdyk, Hayes, Frost, Farabee, York · BUF Tuch, Stillman, Lyubushkin, Quinn

  78. P3 18:42Shot by Girgensons, saved by Sandstrom
  79. P3 18:45Shot by Skinner, saved by Sandstrom
  80. P3 18:56Shot by Ristolainen, saved by Luukkonen
  81. P3 19:10Laughton: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Laughton, Ristolainen, Sanheim, Tippett, Frost · BUF Skinner, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Quinn, Power

  82. P3 19:10Laughton: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: PHI Laughton, Ristolainen, Sanheim, Tippett, Frost · BUF Skinner, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Quinn, Power

  83. P3 19:10Mittelstadt: Misconduct (10 min)4v5

    On ice: PHI Laughton, Ristolainen, Sanheim, Tippett, Frost · BUF Skinner, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Quinn, Power

  84. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  85. P3 0:00Final