Sat, Apr 1, 2023·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Buffalo Sabres 6, Philadelphia Flyers 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 54% of the time.
36%
10%
47%
PHI winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:59 | 0.02 | 40.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 22:35 | 0.00 | 58.7% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:39 | 0.00 | 44.9% | +9.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 19:48 | 0.07 | 61.3% | +15.3 | |
| 3 | 0 | 3 | +4 | 6 | 18:51 | 0.87 | 55.9% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:47 | 0.00 | 40.5% | +19.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17:43 | 0.19 | 51.8% | +19.2 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 0 | 17:04 | 0.00 | 61.2% | +31.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:05 | 0.00 | 39.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:02 | 0.31 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 7 | 15:37 | 0.69 | 55.6% | +11.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 14:44 | 0.00 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 14:39 | 0.33 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:25 | 0.08 | 35.2% | +1.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:24 | 0.18 | 44.1% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:12 | 0.11 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:57 | 0.09 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:29 | 0.14 | 43.5% | +15.3 |
| W | 42 | 39 | 3 | .929 | 2.81 | −0.2 | 60:00 |
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 21:54 | 0.25 | 60.3% | +5.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:30 | 0.18 | 88.0% | +5.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:04 | 0.29 | 51.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:48 | 0.01 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:33 | 0.12 | 42.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 18:01 | 0.15 | 55.8% | +2.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:57 | 0.11 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:54 | 0.04 | 62.8% | +2.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 16:50 | 0.08 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 5 | 16:49 | 0.38 | 53.7% | +21.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 5 | 16:45 | 0.24 | 54.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:06 | 0.10 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:08 | 0.11 | 63.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 13:59 | 0.17 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:43 | 0.19 | 50.7% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:11 | 0.01 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:17 | 0.06 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9:41 | 0.32 | 52.3% | +18.9 |
| L | 29 | 23 | 6 | .793 | 3.09 | −2.9 | 60:00 |