Tue, Apr 4, 2023·FLA Live Arena, Sunrise
Buffalo Sabres 1, Florida Panthers 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 52% of the time.
40%
8%
45%
FLA winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 25:42 | 0.32 | 54.9% | +8.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24:24 | 0.02 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:42 | 0.01 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:31 | 0.00 | 53.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19:51 | 0.46 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:57 | 0.19 | 30.9% | +8.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 17:54 | 0.77 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:18 | 0.10 | 58.4% | +8.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:12 | 0.29 | 25.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:23 | 0.31 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:02 | 0.01 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:24 | 0.13 | 76.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:22 | 0.29 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:23 | 0.12 | 70.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11:49 | 1.02 | 82.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:54 | 0.04 | 73.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:55 | 0.00 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:30 | 0.00 | 27.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 36 | 34 | 2 | .944 | 3.93 | +1.9 | 59:08 |
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 25:13 | 0.07 | 44.5% | +40.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23:59 | 0.41 | 40.5% | +16.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:12 | 0.10 | 41.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22:09 | 0.28 | 33.3% | +16.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 21:33 | 0.61 | 62.0% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:30 | 0.21 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:54 | 0.00 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 17:13 | 0.31 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:45 | 0.31 | 61.0% | +23.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15:45 | 0.62 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:27 | 0.04 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:15 | 0.00 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:48 | 0.46 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:08 | 0.18 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:29 | 0.03 | 64.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:17 | 0.09 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:40 | 0.00 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5:59 | 0.21 | 61.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 40 | 39 | 1 | .975 | 4.10 | +3.1 | 60:00 |