Mon, Apr 10, 2023·Mullett Arena, Tempe
Seattle Kraken 4, Arizona Coyotes 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 72% of the time.
By period
Goals and shots on goal in each period.
| Team | P1 | P2 | P3 | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | 011 | 315 | 111 | 437 |
| ARI | 18 | 07 | 08 | 123 |
Goals, with shots on goal in grey.
Scoring
Every goal, with the change it made to the home team's win probability.
- P1 9:22ARIJack McBainAssists: Liam O'Brien · Tip-in, 0.16 xG0–1
- P2 3:12SEAOliver BjorkstrandPPAssists: Alexander Wennberg, Eeli Tolvanen · Snap, 0.12 xG1–1
- P2 14:56SEAJustin SchultzGWGUnassisted · Wrist, 0.15 xG2–1
- P2 16:10SEAMatty BeniersAssists: Jared McCann, Will Borgen · Snap, 0.07 xG3–1
- P3 14:39SEAJared McCannPPAssists: Justin Schultz · Snap, 0.12 xG4–1
Penalties (12)
- P2 1:55ARIBarrett Hayton: High sticking2 min · PPG
- P2 8:02SEAAlexander Wennberg: Tripping2 min
- P2 12:48SEAJustin Schultz: Boarding2 min
- P3 4:53ARINick Schmaltz: Slashing2 min
- P3 9:49SEAJordan Eberle: Hooking2 min
- P3 13:40ARIClayton Keller: Tripping2 min · PPG
- P3 16:05SEAJesper Froden: Cross checking2 min
- P3 18:44ARIJack McBain: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:44SEAYanni Gourde: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:44ARILiam O'Brien: Roughing2 min
- P3 18:44ARIJack McBain: Fighting5 min
- P3 18:44SEACarson Soucy: Fighting5 min
Replay
Watch the game unfold on the ice: every shot, hit, turnover and faceoff appears as it happened, then fades. Drag the timeline to jump; goals are marked on it.
20:00
P1
- P1 20:00Wennberg won the faceoff against McBain
- Goal
- Shot
- Miss
- Block
- Hit
- Takeaway
- Giveaway
- Faceoff
- Penalty
The numbers
Team totals, side by side.
Line combinations that worked
Model-basedEach team's forward lines and defence pairs at 5-on-5 (two minutes or more together), best first by expected goals for minus against.
Seattle Kraken
Forward lines
- bestDonato – Sprong – Geekie7:26
xG 0.87–0.00 (100%)attempts 11–1goals 0–0
- Eberle – McCann – Beniers8:44
xG 0.28–0.02 (93%)attempts 7–4goals 1–0
- Gourde – Tolvanen – Froden9:25
xG 0.31–0.24 (56%)attempts 12–2goals 0–0
- Bjorkstrand – Wennberg – Tanev8:57
xG 0.17–0.19 (47%)attempts 7–8goals 0–0
Defence pairs
- bestOleksiak – Borgen14:48
xG 1.13–0.26 (82%)attempts 13–4goals 1–0
- Larsson – Megna14:20
xG 0.50–0.54 (48%)attempts 20–8goals 0–0
- Schultz – Soucy10:59
xG 0.24–0.41 (37%)attempts 7–11goals 0–0
Arizona Coyotes
Forward lines
- Crouse – Hayton – Maccelli7:35
xG 0.21–0.25 (45%)attempts 5–7goals 0–0
- Boyd – Schmaltz – Keller12:29
xG 0.64–0.76 (46%)attempts 14–8goals 0–0
- Ritchie – Dauphin – Kelemen6:00
xG 0.02–0.18 (11%)attempts 2–8goals 0–0
- O'Brien – Fischer – McBain6:27
xG 0.28–0.48 (36%)attempts 3–13goals 1–1
Defence pairs
- bestVälimäki – Soderstrom2:10
xG 0.11–0.00 (100%)attempts 1–0goals 0–0
- Nemeth – Moser11:13
xG 0.22–0.16 (58%)attempts 5–9goals 0–1
- Välimäki – Mackey12:46
xG 0.53–0.96 (36%)attempts 14–13goals 1–0
How the game flowed
Model-basedChance quality for each side, minute by minute, with pressure underneath.
Running total of expected goals for each team. Steep climbs are spells of pressure; dots are goals. Shaded bands mark power plays (team colour), 4-on-4 or 3-on-3 (grey) and empty nets.
Tempo: attempts, hits and takeaways per minute
Win probability
Model-basedHow each goal and each minute changed the likely winner.
ARI's chance of winning through the game. Above the middle line ARI is favoured, below it SEA. Dots are goals.
Did the better team win?
Every shot replayed 10,000 times, scoring with its expected-goal probability.
Based on shot quality alone, Seattle Kraken win this game 72% of the time.
Simulated goal difference (ARI − SEA), 10,000 replays
The outlined bar is the actual result (excluding the shootout).