Sat, Oct 14, 2023·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Calgary Flames 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 71% of the time.
64%
23%
PIT winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 24:09 | 0.29 | 72.9% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 0 | 23:28 | 0.00 | 62.0% | +0.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:41 | 0.09 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 19:50 | 0.27 | 45.5% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 19:50 | 0.11 | 49.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:20 | 0.27 | 84.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 18:25 | 0.49 | 48.8% | +0.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:30 | 0.05 | 21.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:43 | 0.22 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −4 | 1 | 14:43 | 0.16 | 33.4% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:36 | 0.05 | 54.8% | +0.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:23 | 0.27 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:54 | 0.19 | 56.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 13:48 | 0.21 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:42 | 0.07 | 80.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:55 | 0.08 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:39 | 0.06 | 78.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:35 | 0.00 | 43.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 24 | 4 | .857 | 3.01 | −1.0 | 57:49 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 25:15 | 0.13 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 24:19 | 0.03 | 39.6% | +38.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 21:43 | 0.00 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 21:35 | 0.08 | 42.2% | +24.9 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 19:34 | 1.06 | 39.4% | +38.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 19:26 | 0.74 | 50.9% | +25.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 18:04 | 0.41 | 45.1% | +13.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 17:46 | 0.69 | 43.5% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 15:34 | 0.09 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 14:57 | 0.10 | 40.9% | +26.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:16 | 0.23 | 49.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:30 | 0.00 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:21 | 0.08 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:00 | 0.00 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:39 | 0.19 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:31 | 0.06 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:27 | 0.00 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:22 | 0.24 | 47.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 36 | 34 | 2 | .944 | 2.87 | +0.9 | 59:42 |