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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 14, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Minnesota Wild 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 7

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 60% of the time.

TOR winsMIN wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against MIN's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Zuccarello–Hartman–KaprizovJohansson–Eriksson Ek–BoldyMaroon–Duhaime–DewarFoligno–Gaudreau–RossiFoligno–Kaprizov–RossiZuccarello–Kaprizov–DewarZuccarello–Kaprizov–BoldyBrodin–FaberGoligoski–MiddletonMerrill–AddisonGoligoski–BrodinMerrill–FaberMiddleton–FaberBrodin–AddisonMiddleton–AddisonMerrill–BrodinGoligoski–MerrillMerrill–Middleton
Bertuzzi–Marner–Matthews6:070.24–0.282:360.00–0.001:530.00–0.011:170.09–0.207:570.12–0.262:000.38–0.020:340.00–0.121:000.08–0.000:550.00–0.000:580.15–0.08
Reaves–Gregor–Kampf0:430.00–0.012:180.05–0.661:080.12–0.000:550.00–0.310:510.00–0.000:340.00–0.021:590.00–0.460:320.05–0.002:550.00–0.551:020.12–0.00
Tavares–Domi–Nylander1:420.23–0.081:280.03–0.052:120.33–0.001:070.10–0.263:050.18–0.151:220.05–0.020:490.33–0.000:430.00–0.04
Jarnkrok–Knies–Minten1:210.00–0.001:130.00–0.001:590.31–0.000:410.00–0.000:300.00–0.001:270.00–0.002:360.00–0.001:270.31–0.000:390.00–0.00
Tavares–Jarnkrok–Nylander1:590.13–0.010:360.00–0.000:320.00–0.001:350.05–0.011:010.08–0.000:370.00–0.09
Domi–Knies–Minten0:520.00–0.000:380.00–0.000:410.00–0.000:360.00–0.060:500.00–0.000:410.00–0.01
Brodie–Rielly6:170.26–0.023:170.00–0.001:530.10–0.000:410.00–0.027:370.07–0.032:500.38–0.031:370.41–0.020:490.00–0.001:140.00–0.000:400.00–0.01
Klingberg–McCabe4:080.31–0.323:520.14–0.662:540.33–0.011:040.00–0.314:070.09–0.593:460.29–0.102:590.05–0.741:180.33–0.001:050.08–0.000:380.00–0.09
Giordano–Liljegren1:230.00–0.181:300.00–0.052:230.00–0.003:250.40–0.200:520.00–0.110:320.00–0.003:390.17–0.352:500.00–0.052:330.31–0.180:370.00–0.001:090.00–0.141:070.00–0.00
McCabe–Liljegren0:450.00–0.00
Klingberg–Rielly0:360.03–0.020:390.00–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMarner FMatthews FBertuzzi FTavares FNylander FDomi FJarnkrok FKnies FMinten FGregor FReaves FKampf FRielly DBrodie DMcCabe DKlingberg DLiljegren DGiordano DSamsonov GZuccarello FHartman FKaprizov FBoldy FEriksson Ek FJohansson FFoligno FRossi FGaudreau FDewar FMaroon FDuhaime FFaber DBrodin DGoligoski DMiddleton DAddison DMerrill DGustavsson G
TORMINFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jonas BrodinMIN2825:160:541:5635
Brock FaberMIN2824:230:521:3835
Kirill KaprizovMIN2122:041:032:3961
Morgan RiellyTOR2721:260:481:4523
John KlingbergTOR2321:020:552:0221
Mitch MarnerTOR2320:050:522:0224
Jake McCabeTOR2619:580:461:3411
Jake MiddletonMIN2419:540:501:2910
TJ BrodieTOR2719:490:441:1414
Auston MatthewsTOR2319:380:511:5844
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2718:480:421:3324
John TavaresTOR1817:340:591:5713
Ryan HartmanMIN2017:320:532:3450
Mats ZuccarelloMIN1917:270:552:0660
Jon MerrillMIN1917:120:541:4813
William NylanderTOR1917:050:541:5714
Joel Eriksson EkMIN2116:410:481:4134
Tyler BertuzziTOR2016:360:501:3013
Alex GoligoskiMIN1916:040:511:5910
Matt BoldyMIN1716:030:572:0021
Mark GiordanoTOR2315:510:411:3823
Marcus JohanssonMIN2115:470:451:4322
Calen AddisonMIN1815:220:511:5321
Calle JarnkrokTOR1914:080:451:3824
Fraser MintenTOR1614:000:531:4211
Connor DewarMIN1813:380:451:2920
Max DomiTOR1913:360:431:1701
Matthew KniesTOR1513:130:531:4111
Brandon DuhaimeMIN1612:340:471:2930
David KampfTOR1811:500:391:1243
Marco RossiMIN1611:490:441:5733
Noah GregorTOR1811:420:391:1022
Patrick MaroonMIN1611:400:441:1520
Marcus FolignoMIN1610:470:400:5733
Frederick GaudreauMIN159:510:391:0434
Ryan ReavesTOR149:390:411:0822