Thu, Oct 19, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Calgary Flames 4, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 79% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 0:46Shot by Lindholm, saved by Levi
- P1 0:49Goal by Huberdeau (Lindholm, Andersson)+14 pts WP
On ice: BUF Greenway, Mittelstadt, Samuelsson, Dahlin, Benson · CGY Huberdeau, Lindholm, Mangiapane, Hanifin, Andersson
- P1 1:04Shot by Hanifin, saved by Levi
- P1 1:19Shot by Backlund, saved by Levi
- P1 1:28Jost: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Johnson, Okposo, Girgensons, Clifton, Jost · CGY Backlund, Tanev, Coleman, Gilbert, Coronato
- P1 1:51Shot by Kadri, saved by Levi4v5
- P1 4:46Shot by Power, saved by Vladar
- P1 5:08Shot by Skinner, saved by Vladar
- P1 6:06Goal by Johnson (Dahlin, Okposo)+15 pts WP
On ice: BUF Johnson, Okposo, Dahlin, Krebs, Cozens · CGY Backlund, Coleman, Weegar, Zadorov, Coronato
- P1 6:47Duehr: Slashing (2 min)6v5
On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power · CGY Tanev, Greer, Gilbert, Sharangovich, Duehr
- P1 6:50Shot by Dahlin, saved by Vladar5v4
- P1 7:55Shot by Sharangovich, saved by Levi5v4
- P1 10:15Goal by Duehr (Greer, Sharangovich)+16 pts WP
On ice: BUF Johnson, Skinner, Clifton, Tuch, Thompson · CGY Hanifin, Andersson, Greer, Sharangovich, Duehr
- P1 10:36Zadorov: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Greenway, Mittelstadt, Jokiharju, Power, Benson · CGY Backlund, Coleman, Weegar, Zadorov, Coronato
- P1 13:53Weegar: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: BUF Johnson, Skinner, Clifton, Tuch, Thompson · CGY Weegar, Zadorov, Greer, Sharangovich, Duehr
- P1 14:20Shot by Skinner, saved by Vladar5v4
- P1 14:28Goal by Thompson (Cozens, Dahlin)5v4+16 pts WP
On ice: BUF Skinner, Tuch, Thompson, Dahlin, Cozens · CGY Backlund, Tanev, Lindholm, Zadorov
- P1 15:01Mittelstadt: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Johnson, Okposo, Clifton, Greenway, Mittelstadt · CGY Kadri, Hanifin, Andersson, Dube, Ruzicka
- P1 16:12Shot by Andersson, saved by Levi4v5
- P1 16:36Shot by Lindholm, saved by Levi4v5
- P1 16:37Shot by Ruzicka, saved by Levi4v5
- P1 17:04Shot by Weegar, saved by Levi
- P1 19:21Shot by Samuelsson, saved by Vladar
- P1 19:48Shot by Andersson, saved by Levi
- P1 0:00Period end
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 3:15Shot by Johnson, saved by Vladar
- P2 4:55Shot by Coronato, saved by Levi
- P2 6:28Dube: Cross checking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Jokiharju, Krebs, Cozens, Peterka, Power · CGY Kadri, Tanev, Gilbert, Dube, Ruzicka
- P2 6:40Shot by Dahlin, saved by Vladar5v4
- P2 8:05Shot by Power, saved by Vladar5v4
- P2 10:44Shot by Gilbert, saved by Levi
- P2 10:59Shot by Zadorov, saved by Levi
- P2 11:55Shot by Hanifin, saved by Levi
- P2 12:30Shot by Skinner, saved by Vladar
- P2 12:56Shot by Kadri, saved by Levi
- P2 13:05Shot by Backlund, saved by Levi
- P2 13:38Shot by Krebs, saved by Vladar
- P2 14:02Shot by Johnson, saved by Vladar
- P2 16:27Clifton: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: BUF Johnson, Okposo, Girgensons, Clifton, Jost · CGY Backlund, Coleman, Hanifin, Andersson, Coronato
- P2 16:55Shot by Backlund, saved by Levi4v5
- P2 17:33Shot by Backlund, saved by Levi4v5
- P2 17:54Shot by Andersson, saved by Levi4v5
- P2 19:07Shot by Peterka, saved by Vladar
- P2 19:23Shot by Backlund, saved by Levi
- P2 19:35Shot by Lindholm, saved by Levi
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:12Shot by Tuch, saved by Vladar
- P3 0:38Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Vladar
- P3 0:48Shot by Dahlin, saved by Vladar
- P3 1:52Goal by Coleman (Coronato, Gilbert)+26 pts WP
On ice: BUF Johnson, Greenway, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Benson · CGY Backlund, Tanev, Coleman, Gilbert, Coronato
- P3 1:57Shot by Tanev, saved by Levi
- P3 3:01Shot by Power, saved by Vladar
- P3 3:14Goal by Peterka (Cozens, Jokiharju)+27 pts WP
On ice: BUF Jokiharju, Krebs, Cozens, Peterka, Power · CGY Weegar, Zadorov, Greer, Sharangovich, Duehr
- P3 3:27Shot by Coronato, saved by Levi
- P3 4:35Goal by Ruzicka (Kadri, Dube)+28 pts WP
On ice: BUF Johnson, Clifton, Greenway, Mittelstadt, Benson · CGY Kadri, Tanev, Gilbert, Dube, Ruzicka
- P3 5:18Shot by Weegar, saved by Levi
- P3 6:35Clifton: Tripping (2 min)
On ice: BUF Johnson, Clifton, Thompson, Krebs, Peterka · CGY Kadri, Tanev, Gilbert, Dube, Ruzicka
- P3 7:59Shot by Dube, saved by Levi4v5
- P3 8:43Shot by Weegar, saved by Levi
- P3 10:25Shot by Sharangovich, saved by Levi
- P3 10:29Shot by Duehr, saved by Levi
- P3 10:57Shot by Greer, saved by Levi
- P3 11:58Shot by Clifton, saved by Vladar
- P3 12:33Mangiapane: High sticking (2 min)
On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jost, Samuelsson, Dahlin · CGY Huberdeau, Lindholm, Mangiapane, Hanifin, Andersson
- P3 12:33Dahlin: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jost, Samuelsson, Dahlin · CGY Huberdeau, Lindholm, Mangiapane, Hanifin, Andersson
- P3 12:33Mangiapane: Roughing (2 min)
On ice: BUF Okposo, Girgensons, Jost, Samuelsson, Dahlin · CGY Huberdeau, Lindholm, Mangiapane, Hanifin, Andersson
- P3 12:42Shot by Skinner, saved by Vladar5v4
- P3 14:07Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Vladar5v4
- P3 14:27Shot by Power, saved by Vladar5v4
- P3 15:09Shot by Weegar, saved by Levi
- P3 15:17Shot by Peterka, saved by Vladar
- P3 15:57Shot by Thompson, saved by Vladar
- P3 16:58Shot by Dahlin, saved by Vladar
- P3 17:42Shot by Mittelstadt, saved by Vladar
- P3 18:11Shot by Weegar, saved by Levi
- P3 18:28Shot by Huberdeau, saved by Levi
- P3 18:53Peterka: Too many men on the ice (2 min)
On ice: BUF Tuch, Greenway, Mittelstadt, Dahlin, Cozens, Power · CGY Coleman, Huberdeau, Hanifin, Andersson, Greer
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final