Thu, Oct 19, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Calgary Flames 4, Buffalo Sabres 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 79% of the time.
15%
73%
BUF winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 23:52 | 0.49 | 55.1% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:47 | 0.18 | 43.1% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 22:38 | 0.08 | 58.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 21:12 | 0.11 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19:24 | 1.10 | 69.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:22 | 0.14 | 53.3% | +14.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 18:11 | 0.00 | 85.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:52 | 0.82 | 34.4% | +27.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:34 | 0.01 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:21 | 0.25 | 24.7% | +27.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:01 | 0.22 | 52.3% | +27.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:53 | 0.11 | 70.9% | +26.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:33 | 0.00 | 52.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:13 | 0.41 | 57.8% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 11:50 | 0.04 | 89.3% | +26.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11:09 | 0.10 | 63.9% | +26.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:32 | 0.12 | 58.0% | +16.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:01 | 0.30 | 57.5% | +16.0 |
| W | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 2.47 | −0.5 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 26:00 | 0.30 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 23:25 | 0.14 | 47.1% | +30.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 21:16 | 0.16 | 20.9% | +15.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:25 | 0.23 | 21.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:12 | 0.01 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:07 | 0.32 | 26.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 17:38 | 0.22 | 65.9% | +42.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:01 | 0.00 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 14:57 | 0.25 | 22.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:35 | 0.00 | 49.0% | +26.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 13:46 | 0.09 | 20.1% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 13:29 | 0.00 | 15.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 13:00 | 0.22 | 78.7% | +15.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:58 | 0.44 | 62.2% | +26.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 12:45 | 0.08 | 77.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 12:08 | 0.00 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:34 | 0.00 | 80.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:40 | 0.00 | 48.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 36 | 32 | 4 | .889 | 3.62 | −0.4 | 58:58 |